GOM mess......

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dixiebreeze
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GOM mess......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:36 am

looking better now. Have to wonder....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:37 am

Bring it on. :lol:

(still punch drunk from Ivan)
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caneman

Re: GOM mess......

#3 Postby caneman » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:39 am

dixiebreeze wrote:looking better now. Have to wonder....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg


Looking better? Come on Dixie quit trying to rack up the posts. :P

We get more impressive thunderstorms than that nearly every afternoon in Tampa. :D
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#4 Postby golter » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:52 am

The only thing its missing is tropical storm characteristics. It has none. It will not develop.
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#5 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:55 am

golter wrote:The only thing its missing is tropical storm characteristics. It has none. It will not develop.


Why are you so sure of that?
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#6 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:56 am

Late in the season (e.g. now) you have to watch these blobs, they can spin right up!
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#7 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:07 am

golter wrote:The only thing its missing is tropical storm characteristics. It has none. It will not develop.


And Ivan and/or his remnants will never make it West of Lake Charles either right? :roll:

Please tell us why you think it will not develop. I am not saying it will develop, but when you make a blanket statement like "it will not develop" please back it up with good weather facts.
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#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:10 am

Right, vbhoutex, stranger things have happened this summer and it's true that the GOM is pretty unpredictable at any time.
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#9 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:11 am

This is the time of year we have to watch blobs in the GOM carefully.

Next month, it will be the tail-end of stalled out fronts that hang out in the GOM, and we all just have to watch and wait.
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#10 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:12 am

Well its not likely due to shear..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
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#11 Postby iluvseashore » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:13 am

why is it that GOM storms are harder to predict? I've been hearing that since I moved here.
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#12 Postby kevin » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:13 am

Looks like a line. Not even an impressive blob. Wasn't mentioned in the TWO. I'm not impressed in the least.
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#13 Postby MetroMike » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:17 am

Time will tell. Right now its just a convective mass. If it persists it will have to be investigated perhaps.
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#14 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:17 am

kevin wrote:Looks like a line. Not even an impressive blob. Wasn't mentioned in the TWO. I'm not impressed in the least.




Huh?


Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on September 24, 2004


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jeanne...located about 290 miles east of great abaco island in the
northwestern Bahamas...on Hurricane Karl...located about 815 miles
west of the westernmost Azores...and on Tropical Depression Lisa...
located about 1295 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.
Tropical Depression Ivan...located over southeastern Texas near
Livingston...is producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of
East Texas and Louisiana. Additional information on this system can
be found in public advisories issued by the Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center under awipsheader tcpat4 and wmo header wtnt34
kwnh.

Showers and thunderstorms over the central Gulf of Mexico are
associated with a weak surface trough interacting with an
upper-level low. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for
any significant development of this system to occur.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Saturday.
Forecaster Stewart
$$
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#15 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:21 am

Needs a couple of days... right now I'm not impressed.
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#16 Postby Janie34 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:21 am

Certainly one wouldn't expect much development to occur with the shear out there. That being said, it does not preclude future development. It could be a case of "homebrew" as JB would say. Something to keep our eyes on, but I'm not particularly concerned about it at this point.
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#17 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:21 am

yoda wrote:Well its not likely due to shear..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html


30 kts of shear won't help at all...
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#18 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:22 am

dhweather wrote:
kevin wrote:Looks like a line. Not even an impressive blob. Wasn't mentioned in the TWO. I'm not impressed in the least.




Huh?


Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on September 24, 2004


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jeanne...located about 290 miles east of great abaco island in the
northwestern Bahamas...on Hurricane Karl...located about 815 miles
west of the westernmost Azores...and on Tropical Depression Lisa...
located about 1295 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.
Tropical Depression Ivan...located over southeastern Texas near
Livingston...is producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of
East Texas and Louisiana. Additional information on this system can
be found in public advisories issued by the Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center under awipsheader tcpat4 and wmo header wtnt34
kwnh.

Showers and thunderstorms over the central Gulf of Mexico are
associated with a weak surface trough interacting with an
upper-level low. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for
any significant development of this system to occur.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Saturday.
Forecaster Stewart
$$


I was about to post that but you beat me to it. Please note
the part about "any significant development". It did not say
"no development was likely".
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