Jeanne is simply not very impressive right now...

[otowntiger]

and getting less so by the hour. That dry air has really done a number on her. From the looks of her right now, she has the satellite signature of a weak cat 1. The way the dry air is so effectivey dimenshed her, I suspect that she won't come ashore any stronger than Francis, probably weaker. Of course it really is anybody's guess right now. It'd be really nice if the NHC can overcome their oft admitted shortcomings on the intensity forecasts, because in my mind how strong a storm is/will be is just as important as where it goes.

[TPACane04]

this dry air intrusion theory is cool and all, but this storm has 48 hours in which to get its act together (if it is be a Cat 3 as some suggest)

the reasons for the weakening (upwelling, dry air) have been addressed and I would not dismiss this storm and you suggest...let's see what you think 24 hours from now, when the dry air is overcome and SSTs go up by 5 or more degrees

[yoda]

this dry air intrusion theory is cool and all, but this storm has 48 hours in which to get its act together (if it is be a Cat 3 as some suggest)

the reasons for the weakening (upwelling, dry air) have been addressed and I would not dismiss this storm and you suggest...let's see what you think 24 hours from now, when the dry air is overcome and SSTs go up by 5 or more degrees

Don't forget the shear that NHC mentioned in their discussion...

[djti]

well the dry air isnt going anywhere....and the shear increases at some point......that leaves one positive....hence....jeanne will likely maintain up to landfall.....

[Josephine96]

I think she'll maintain Cat 2 status.. May make a run at Cat 3.. But I'm not sure..

[tronbunny]

plywood or no plywood 50 miles inland?
Hmmmm.

[Josephine96]

LOL Mine is still up lol

[djti]

i question if shes even cat 2 right now.....strongly

[djti]

whats it take to shatter windows? 110? 50 miles inland....nah.

[Josephine96]

May be.. may not be.. Maybe at 2.. we'll see if she's weakened any

[oviedofan]

plywood or no plywood 50 miles inland?
Hmmmm.

Am really hoping that Derek Ott's latest forecast holds up and then we might get a bit of a respite from Jeanne ALA Frances!

[djti]

oh..im not speaking of official advisories...those are meaningless right now as they have been wink wink nod nodded on intensity for the last 24 hours (even saying as much in the discussions)....

[tronbunny]

Am really hoping that Derek Ott's latest forecast holds up and then we might get a bit of a respite from Jeanne ALA Frances!

My thoughts, too.

[Josephine96]

Too many storms lol.. By the way Tron and Oviedo.. have you seen my outlook yet

[tronbunny]

umm, I sure would NEVER go through a Charley again without the wood.
I'd seriously consider putting it back up if we may see hurricane force here.

[Josephine96]

I went through Charley without plywood and my windows held up

[tronbunny]

I went through Charley without plywood and my windows held up

Mine did too, but I only think that's luck!
Neighbor had one broken window.
There just wasn't as much debris available to blow around as there is now.

[otowntiger]

plywood or no plywood 50 miles inland?
Hmmmm.

I sure wouldn't worry about it. This storm will give us NOTHING close to what we had in Charley (here in Orlando/Kissimmee area) and even in Charley, as bad as it was, I didn't have any window damage. I would have felt better during the storm with all the things crashing around outside, if we did have them covered, but as it turned out, we were fine. People put boards up all over the place for Francis and she was a wimp for us here, anyway.

[Josephine96]

Don't count your chicken eggs yet lol.. If this thing still comes on shore north and moves through the peninsula.. winds might still whip a bit