latest imagery indicate a more wsw

[Vortex]

wobble/movement...For those in SE florida this is very important. Also the organization continues to improve.

[KeyLargoDave]

Somebody just posted fixes that showed -.01 degree north. That's the first I heard of motion less than 270 since yesterday morning, I think.
Although, the NHC track also had a WSW bend before the turn north.

[calidoug]

Nope, a little N of W, actually. 8PM is 26.5 per NHC.

Also, this storm is sucking dry air again... convection decreasing and warming...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Kiern]

Due west still.

[ColdFront77]

West-southwestward movement or not... a more northerly track is anticipated, so the overall area being affected further north will probably end up about the same.

[chris_fit]

Not seeing any southward component

[tallywx]

Nope, a little N of W, actually. 8PM is 26.5 per NHC.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

26.5N was pulled out of nowhere. Well, actually I can suggest one possible place it was pulled from. Recon. had the position at 26.3N just 30 minutes ago, with absolutely no sign of a north motion between recon. fixes (in fact, the storm LOST 1 minute of latitude between the last two).

[LakeToho]

There is no WSW movement at this point. It maybe a little farther west than was predicted, but there is no southern component to the movement. Maybe the awkward shape of the eye is throwing you off. Still a little more west than forecasted though.

[calidoug]

Maybe the NHC made a satellite fix.

Check the loop. Looks like a jog N over the last few frames -- it's really quite readily apparent.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Everyone who lives S of the protected path refuses to acknowledge any N movement, as if there is some huge NHC conspiracy going on.

[miamijaaz]

Recent recon shows a -.1 degree change in latitute, from 26.4N to 26.3. I guess the guys in the planes must live in Fort Lauderdale too, huh?

[Dave C]

Still seems to be fighting dry air. Pressure down to 964 mb but convection-wise dosen't look very impressive(except se quad.) The warmer waters mentioned in TPC discussions should be reached tonite and Sat.... well see....

[cape_escape]

Recent recon shows a -.1 degree change in latitute, from 26.4N to 26.3. I guess the guys in the planes must live in Fort Lauderdale too, huh?

[CL]

LOL

[Sanibel]

We are slightly more humid here with a noticeably hazier sky. Not as dry as yesterday. I expect this to increase tomorrow, allowing a much more humid atmosphere than that for Frances...

[Scorpion]

Ok, last time I checked this storm was 100 mph. Not 130. Not 140. I think it looks pretty good for being only 100 mph. Frances was just a big blob and was 105. I think it looks ALOT better than Frances. Its just everyone is spoiled by Ivan and expects a perfect looking system. Most 100 mph systems arent.

[staggy]

quit using the NHC as gospel when data shows that they are slightly off

Uncalled for. I would guess that you are seeing the sat pic on a web page. I would say (or at least hope) there is a MUCH HIGHER probability of that web page being off then what NHC sees.

[hiflyer]

interesting most who look at IR say just S of W move those who look at WV say just N of W....don't know why but I see the same....hmmmm

[FooBob]

quit using the NHC as gospel when data shows that they are slightly off

This is true. Things are going well in Iraq too!

[Guest]

quit using the NHC as gospel when data shows that they are slightly off

This is true. Things are going well in Iraq too!

They are slightly off.

[Matthew5]

quit using the NHC as gospel when data shows that they are slightly off

Uncalled for. I would guess that you are seeing the sat pic on a web page. I would say (or at least hope) there is a MUCH HIGHER probability of that web page being off then what NHC sees.

Whats uncalled for? The recon says 26.3 north...In Derek knows more about tropical cyclones then most every one on this board. He is a pro in is working on his degree at this time. I would go by his forecast with my life...In the cyclone is moving due west.