new vortex....

#1 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:17 am

URNT12 KNHC 250801
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/0801Z
B. 26 DEG 29 MIN N
76 DEG 07 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2721 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 216 DEG 85 KT
G. 125 DEG 22 NM
H. 958 MB
I. 12 C/ 3076 M
J. 16 C/ 3088 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. RAGGED N
M. C40
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1 NM
P. AF968 1911A JEANNE OB 27
MAX FL WIND 101 KT NE QUAD 0548Z.

;

#2 Postby **ericinmia** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:20 am

Storm JEANNE: Observed By AF #968
Storm #11 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 101KT (116.2mph 187.1km/h) In NE Quadrant At 0548Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 90.9KT (104.5mph 168.4km/h) *
Misc Remarks:
Date/Time of Recon Report: Saturday, September 25, 2004 4:01:00 AM (Sat, 25 Sep 2004 08:01:00 UTC)
Position of the center: 26° 29' N 76° 07' W (26.5°N 76.1°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2721m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
No Bearing From Center To Estimated Surface Winds Was Measured
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 85KT (97.75mph 157.4km/h) From 216°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 22nm (25.3 miles) From Center At Bearing 125°
Minimum pressure: 958mb (28.29in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: RAGGED N
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 40 nm (46.0 mi 74.1km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.1nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm

yoda · #3 Postby **yoda** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:22 am

well.. the eye is now closed... but ragged north as it says...

958 MB... two MB drop since last Vortex...

An ever SLIGHT SHIFT NORTH by 1 min since last vortex...

101 kts NE = 116 mph... so 105 mph at surface

#4 Postby **ericinmia** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:23 am

If this was to come ashore in the center of palm beach county... miami dade would still get THE EYE WALL... dun dun dun...

That really goes to show to people that this is not a point on a skinny track.
-Eric

#5 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:23 am

It's actually only 1 minute north since the last vortex...

URNT12 KNHC 250556
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/0556Z
B. 26 DEG 28 MIN N
75 DEG 33 MIN W

URNT12 KNHC 250801
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/0801Z
B. 26 DEG 29 MIN N
76 DEG 07 MIN W

Foladar · #6 Postby **Foladar** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:24 am

I don't think if it comes ashore in Palm Beach that miami will get the eye, Broward maybe.

#7 Postby **ericinmia** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:27 am

I am using guidance software, that is mathmatically correct.

Remember the eye is over 40nm or ~46 miles large. That is larger than broward which is barely 22nm across.
-Eric

logybogy · #8 Postby **logybogy** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:27 am

The interesting thing about this hurricane is that most of the deep black intense convection is south of the eye.

So if it hits Palm Beach County, Broward and Dade are going to get a hell of a pounding.

Foladar · #9 Postby **Foladar** » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:30 am

well the news station I'm watching (one of them) showed an example (with previous wind miles, wasnt too much smaller though) and said if it did hit Palm Beach, Broward would get hurricane but Miami-Dade may get hurricane gusts, althoughjust tropical storm winds.

new vortex....

new vortex....

Who is online