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** WTNT21 KNHC 251439 ***
TCMAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004
1500Z SAT SEP 25 2004
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 AM EDT....1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA ARE REVISED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE
SUWANEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ENGLEWOOD TO
THE SUWANEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNE RIVER
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 77.6W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 75SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 77.6W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 77.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 75SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 35.0N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N 67.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 46.0N 54.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 77.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
