The Recurve Police are here..yeah!

[TPACane04]

now Sanibel insists that Jeanne is in reurve....

my definition of recurve is....the thing totally turns N or NE and does not directly strike the FL coastline...

so if THAT is your forecast, so be it...otherwise, any landfall would not be considered a recurve, as most people's perception of RECURVE is a storm that darts away and leaves the coast relatively unscathed..

otherwise, put a sock in the recurve talk, unless your official call is out to sea at this poiny with no FL landfall..

[TPACane04]

RECURVE...sorry for typo...stupid word is too dumb to type anyway...

[JPmia]

Well the Miami NWS indicates a just north of due west motion...that is not a recurve to me...although we shall see in the next 2-5 hours

[rtd2]

Well I respect Sanibel BUT Its not in a recurve at this time almost looks like its coming over a hump so to speak and it looks back due west or maybe 275* at the most but NO RECURVE YET!

[djtexillini]

Vero beach to get the worst of it. Possibly 10-20 miles north of there.

Northern eyewall.

[HurricaneQueen]

Due west at 2pm and again at 4pm - 27.0N. 3:50 recon showed just slightly S of 27.

[HurricaneQueen]

Due west at 2pm and again at 4pm - 27.0N. 3:50 recon showed just slightly S of 27.

[calidoug]

Radar shows another N trochoidal arc beginning

[KeyLargoDave]

Sanibel is a strong-minded and determined to be out front. He is trying to call the exact frame where the entire recurve begins. He may be right, but there's nothing to expect it not crash into S-central Florida coast.

I think Derek's forecast is valuable. He's been consistent and close as anyone. IMO.

[MBismyPlayground]

now Sanibel insists that Jeanne is in reurve....

my definition of recurve is....the thing totally turns N or NE and does not directly strike the FL coastline...

so if THAT is your forecast, so be it...otherwise, any landfall would not be considered a recurve, as most people's perception of RECURVE is a storm that darts away and leaves the coast relatively unscathed..

otherwise, put a sock in the recurve talk, unless your official call is out to sea at this poiny with no FL landfall..

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

now Sanibel insists that Jeanne is in reurve....

my definition of recurve is....the thing totally turns N or NE and does not directly strike the FL coastline...

so if THAT is your forecast, so be it...otherwise, any landfall would not be considered a recurve, as most people's perception of RECURVE is a storm that darts away and leaves the coast relatively unscathed..

otherwise, put a sock in the recurve talk, unless your official call is out to sea at this poiny with no FL landfall..

...i see you found one....

[djtexillini]

A strengthening cat 3 vs a weakening cat 3......faster mover too. Will this be worse than Ivan? I suspect the surge may not be but the widespread wind damage will. Is there any place for her to miss or is the entire Melbourne to Palm Beach area densely populated/constructed? How about Vero Beach.....I think they get the worse. How does that area compare with the Orange Beach to Pensacola corridor that bore the brunt of Ivan?

I have a bad feeling about this one being worse than may be expected.

[TPACane04]

nice...kitty......

[rtd2]

I've been a part of the infamous lefty group since FRANCES.... I see another track simular to FRANCES HERE...I think JEANNE will dip her toes into GOMEX with a 2ND L/F NEAR bif bend-p/H area