Radar shows double eyewall structure

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logybogy

Radar shows double eyewall structure

#1 Postby logybogy » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:27 pm

We could see one really really massive eye develop here.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/latest/D ... kamx.shtml
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:35 pm

THAT is the reason why the convection decreased. Dry air is NOT!
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THead
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#3 Postby THead » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:36 pm

notcied that too, gonna be a big ole eye. Not sure what thats going to do intensity-wise. Conditions really deteriorating in Broward. I managed not to lose power in Frances, will be amazed if I don't lose it thru Jeanne.
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#4 Postby adelphi_sky » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:36 pm

ERC = good news right?
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#5 Postby chris_fit » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:36 pm

agree
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#6 Postby chris_fit » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:41 pm

I also believe that the momemtum of the outer eyewall on the right side swinging around will nudge the hurricane to the north as it rotates.... after that perhaps another wobble to the south.
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#7 Postby tronbunny » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:43 pm

Vortex 23:33z shows open eyewall SE
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#8 Postby Terry » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:44 pm

No. ERC is not a good thing.
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#9 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:44 pm

Houstoner, a double eyewall doesn't cause convection to decrease and warm significantly across the entire system.

I don't know where you pulled that one from...
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#10 Postby djtexillini » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:44 pm

ERC (im not completely sold on that) is probably a very good thing this close to landfall.
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#11 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:45 pm

And yes, ERC is a "good thing" if by good, you mean a weaker system.

Landfall midway through the ERC would be ideal.

But it is unclear this is an ERC, and not just dry air ripping into the core of the storm.
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caneman

#12 Postby caneman » Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:17 pm

l of these ridiculous posts. The system is not weakening in fact if you look at the latest IR you will see reds re-appearing.
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#13 Postby djtexillini » Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:19 pm

Hmm...heres the latest....appears only the very last of the reds in the se quad holding on...


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/t ... N-793W.jpg

Recon, radar, and satellite all in fairly good agreement that 110-115mph max is being maintained and strengthening is not occuring.
Last edited by djtexillini on Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#14 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:22 pm

ERC is not good...

Okay folks here is what I SEE..

1.) Pressure is leveling off.. so further intensification is unlikely.

2.) YES, there is STILL DRY AIR around Jeanne.. BUT Jeanne is winning that battle and the dry air is going away quickly...

3.) Wind shear in upper levels are SLIGHTLY hampering Jeanne's strength..

4.) Jeanne's so big that she is unlikely to strengthen much more due to her HUGE windfield...

Feel free to comment.. but lets do it nicely please... :D
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#15 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:24 pm

I consider it similar to Ivan's perfect form prior to approaching the Gulf coast. The storm will probably level-off and cruise in at present intensity. The air is slightly cool here at 77*
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#16 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 25, 2004 7:30 pm

Meanwhile, Stephanie Abrams is getting soaked and might be blown away! :)
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