New UKMET 06Z Run Much Further West. Over Gulf and then ATL.

Wnghs2007 · #1 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 1:27 am

Gulf then atlanta. GFDL also a tad further west at 06Z waiting for the other models to see how this is going but this would require a west shift in track down the line if more models trend this way.

OPPSS FORGOT LINK.....HEAD IS LEAVING ME PEOPLE

#2 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 1:32 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:Gulf then atlanta. GFDL also a tad further west at 06Z waiting for the other models to see how this is going but this would require a west shift in track down the line if more models trend this way.

OPPSS FORGOT LINK.....HEAD IS LEAVING ME PEOPLE

Yeah based on the last 6 hours you could see this coming a mile away.
I'm surprised the NHC has been hanging on so long on the NW motion oh well who knows he may start moving northward all of the sudden. It's
been that kind of year.

#3 Postby **Steve** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 1:40 am

It seems to be going fairly slow on radar too. It also doesn't appear to be losing much strength. The latest wind velocity I looked at still showed > hurricane force offshore. The radars are showing torrential rains (as expected).

Anyone riding out the storm between Vero and West Palm is getting their money's worth. CNN earlier was talking about 30 hours until the eye was in Georgia. Jeanne really doesn't appear to be the type of storm that's just going to blow through and it's outta there. She's going to beat on people for a while. She's strong to the north, south, east and west of the eye.

Steve

Hurricane_Apu · #4 Postby **Hurricane_Apu** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 1:43 am

Think of the inland flooding if it takes one of those western tracks...

#5 Postby **Steve** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 1:58 am

lol at the guys sitting in the parking lot

Steve

Sanibel · #6 Postby **Sanibel** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:00 am

I'll testify to that. She's pretty strong to her SW side...

#7 Postby **ericinmia** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:02 am

lol, i love how the GFDL is so lost late in the forecast that it brings it back to FL.
If i was the owner of a company, and GFDL was a product i produced... i would be embaressed!
lol
-Eric

yoda · #8 Postby **yoda** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:03 am

ericinmia wrote:lol, i love how the GFDL is so lost late in the forecast that it brings it back to FL.
If i was the owner of a company, and GFDL was a product i produced... i would be embaressed!
lol
-Eric

Um.. that's not the GFDL.. that is the NHC track...

Wnghs2007 · #9 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:04 am

ericinmia wrote:lol, i love how the GFDL is so lost late in the forecast that it brings it back to FL.
If i was the owner of a company, and GFDL was a product i produced... i would be embaressed!
lol
-Eric

Thats the NHC advisory Track. ITs screwed up right now. The GFDL is that very light red model you see going up into maine at the end of its forecast.

GNWeather · #10 Postby **GNWeather** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:08 am

The GFDL and UKMET tracks are the 00Z runs posted at the times on the image. The NHC models (A98E, BAMM, BAMD & LBAR) are the 6Z runs.

#11 Postby **ericinmia** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:08 am

Aw damn!
I just had come back inside, and looked at it quick and did a quick reply. lol now i feel really stupid! All the same, i wonder why it is erroroness like that. You would think it would be corrected.

lol, sorry everyone! "D'OH"
-Eric

Wnghs2007 · #12 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:16 am

GNWeather wrote:The GFDL and UKMET tracks are the 00Z runs posted at the times on the image. The NHC models (A98E, BAMM, BAMD & LBAR) are the 6Z runs.

How do you say that when they say

Ukmet 06Z run and GFDL 0533Z those are the times the new ones alway run. So i dont know where you got that from but those are the new ones.

cape_escape · #13 Postby **cape_escape** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:21 am

Sanibel wrote:I'll testify to that. She's pretty strong to her SW side...

Well, my screen flew off from my slidingglass doors...so I'd say it's a bit gusty! Caught it on tape too, I was recording the kids next door at the time.

GNWeather · #14 Postby **GNWeather** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 2:22 am

Wnghs2007 wrote:
GNWeather wrote:The GFDL and UKMET tracks are the 00Z runs posted at the times on the image. The NHC models (A98E, BAMM, BAMD & LBAR) are the 6Z runs.

How do you say that when they say

Ukmet 06Z run and GFDL 0533Z those are the times the new ones alway run. So i dont know where you got that from but those are the new ones.

Cause I have a program that gets the 00Z runs of the UK and GFDL and they are the exact same runs. In addition over the past storms, if you followed this image, which is put out by the S FL Water Dept, you would see that the times posted on the image are the times the model track is posted. Only exception is the NHC track. Don't believe me, look at the time the GFDL 00Z run was released and look at the time stamp on the image. Here's the 00Z GFDL http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGQLM.0409260533

This should look similar

Website · #15 Postby **Brent** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 7:31 am

Ugh... Go Away Jeanne. We had Frances and Ivan up here and don't need another one. :grr:

Stormsfury · #16 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sun Sep 26, 2004 7:34 am

The UKMET is only run twice a day 00z and 12z runs ...

New UKMET 06Z Run Much Further West. Over Gulf and then ATL.

New UKMET 06Z Run Much Further West. Over Gulf and then ATL.

Re: New UKMET 06Z Run Much Further West. Over Gulf and then

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