STORMFURY: WHAT IS YOUR.....

[redfisher]

take on what we will experience here along the Grand Strand of SC?

Thanks!!!

[Stormsfury]

Grand Strand itself ...

later tonight, early tomorrow, showers developing along the onshore flow (currently now being observed in my location with scattered heavy showers feeding off the waters, and producing some brief but very heavy rainfalls ... in fact, just today, and tonight so far, already over 3/4" of rain ...

As the day progresses Monday, and into Monday Evening, rainbands continuing off the waters, eventually becoming a little more in the way of a steadier rain, with embedded heavier bands ... some of the precursor bands early have the capability of being SVR with possible TORN with embedded mesos/supercells within the convective bands ...

Jeanne is beginning to entrain in dry air, and IMHO, the response has been the influx of TORN warnings in SE GA at this time, with the drier air mixing to enhance SVR capabilities ...

Rainfall totals in the Grand Strand area may approach as high as 4", with gusty winds in the order of 35 to 45 mph in convective bands, with a general sustained winds of 20-30 mph ...

SF

[redfisher]

SF,

Thanks you very much for your timely and most informative reply!

I read all of your posts and visit your website often. You should be very proud of all of your work!

Thanks again

[rainstorm]

jeanne may also loop back around. i heard several forecasters are predicting this

[redfisher]

SF,

One more thing I meant to ask you. You mentioned in an earlier post that Jeanne was tracking east of the projected track and may recurve earlier than forecasted. Any current thoughts on that possibility?

Thanks!

[Stormsfury]

jeanne may also loop back around. i heard several forecasters are predicting this

Don't know who's suggesting that but Jeanne doesn't look to slow or stall out until its well out into the ATL and will likely be an extratropical system before that even thinks about some kind of stall ...

SF

[Stormsfury]

SF,

One more thing I meant to ask you. You mentioned in an earlier post that Jeanne was tracking east of the projected track and may recurve earlier than forecasted. Any current thoughts on that possibility?

Thanks!

Jeanne has been a little right of TPC guidance but not by much ... while this still doesn't place us in the heaviest of the solid rain core with Jeanne, bands coming off the water along a strong SE to S flow still can dump brief periods of very heavy rainfalls which in time can add up quite rapidly ... PWAT (precipitable water analyzed in the range of 2.2"-2.4") along with the highest values for supercell/significant tornadoes will be crossing into lower South Carolina by tomorrow morning and through the afternoon ...

SF

[redfisher]

SF,

Thanks again!

[rainstorm]

meteorologist brian norcross, whose famous call of hurricane andrew made it to the silver screen in the made for t.v. movie 'the truth about andrew', says that hurricane jeanne will loop back around the big bermuda high pressure ridge, for a return visit to the east coast.

from a florida poster. they heard him on tv

[Stormsfury]

Yet another very heavy rainband moving in to this location ...

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kclx.shtml

These scattered bands are producing some very, very heavy rainfalls in short periods of time ... already over an inch of rain has been recorded at this location ... the last band that came through about 15 minutes ago dumped .30" of rain in just 10 minutes time ...

[MBismyPlayground]

That radar is not a pretty sight. Guess it will be hitting Myrtle very soon.

RedFisher, which side of 17 are you on???

Rainband or SF, how possible is it that this storm could "loop" back around??? Not that it hasn't played this loopy game once already but, is there really a possibility????

[redfisher]

MBP,

I am in Murrells Inlet just west of 17-bypass near the new hospital.

[MBismyPlayground]

MBP,

I am in Murrells Inlet just west of 17-bypass near the new hospital.

Pretty safe then. Thank God I am on the other side of the waterway,Although we have to deal with all the trees on River Oaks Rd. That is why I have a big concern for tornados, so many trees. And alot are either dead or water logged.

[Wannabewxman79]

Well I am in Raleigh, what should I expect?