11am Jeanne-40 mph winds, FINAL ADVISORY

[Brent]

Tropical Storm Jeanne Forecast/Advisory Number 56

Statement as of 15:00Z on September 27, 2004

at 11 am EDT...1500z...the Tropical Storm Warning from Anclote key
to Apalachicola Florida is discontinued.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Flagler Beach
Florida to South Santee River South Carolina.

Tropical storm center located near 31.6n 83.9w at 27/1500z
position accurate within 20 nm

present movement toward the north or 360 degrees at 10 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 988 mb
Max sustained winds 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt.
12 ft seas..300ne 275se 180sw 0nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 31.6n 83.9w at 27/1500z
at 27/1200z center was located near 31.1n 83.9w

forecast valid 28/0000z 32.9n 83.5w...inland
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 45 kt.

Forecast valid 28/1200z 34.8n 81.7w...inland
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Forecast valid 29/0000z 36.3n 78.2w...inland
Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt.

Forecast valid 29/1200z 37.0n 74.4w...over water
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Forecast valid 30/1200z 38.0n 67.5w
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 01/1200z 38.5n 62.0w...becoming extratropical
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Outlook valid 02/1200z 39.0n 59.0w...extratropical
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 31.6n 83.9w

this is the last forecast/advisory issued by the
National Hurricane Center on this system

forecaster Pasch

[LAwxrgal]

Goodbye Jeanne and good riddance!

[wabbitoid]

Didn't they have her re-energizing when she leaves NC? I thought I saw an "S" out there.

[Brent]

Yeah... but she'll be extratropical.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

...JEANNE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...LIKELY TO BECOME A DEPRESSION IN
A FEW HOURS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ANCLOTE KEY
TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ALBANY GEORGIA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH JEANNE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM EXTREME EASTERN GEORGIA
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT.

THE NEXT REGULAR PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH.

FORECASTER PASCH

[Thunder44]

The last advisory, but hasn't even been downgraded to a TD yet.

[Brent]

The last advisory, but hasn't even been downgraded to a TD yet.

There will be an intermediate at 2pm in which it'll almost certainly be a TD and then the HPC will take over at 5pm.

[Thunder44]

The last advisory, but hasn't even been downgraded to a TD yet.

There will be an intermediate at 2pm in which it'll almost certainly be a TD and then the HPC will take over at 5pm.

Yes, I see now. That was the last Marine Advisory.