SW Caribbean Re-Fire!

[dhweather]

I don't think there's enough there to talk about right now.

[Guest]

Yesterday, Joe Bastardi said that the TUTT would serve to ventilate the system in the SW Caribbean.

Right now it looks like the TUTT is about to have this for dinner.

[CourierPR]

Just keep watching for the rabbit to come out of the hat in a few days.

[tronbunny]

Just keep watching for the rabbit to come out of the hat in a few days.

What?
Where?
When?
Who...me?

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all


ABNT20 KNHC 282104
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 1390 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

THE NWS/HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES
ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE...LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA ABOUT 10 MILES WEST OF WASHINGTON D.C. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
JEANNE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31
KWNH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART


The NHC is not looking at that area as a potential development one at this time as the TUTT dominates there.

[jenshops]

Forgive my ignorance, I'm new to all this, but what is a TUTT?

[MGC]

The CB's appear to be migrating westward into Central America. I doubt it spins in the Caribbean.....MGC

[Brent]

Forgive my ignorance, I'm new to all this, but what is a TUTT?

Upper Level low. Not favorable for development...

[Stormsfury]

Forgive my ignorance, I'm new to all this, but what is a TUTT?

TUTT = Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough

SF

[cycloneye]

Forgive my ignorance, I'm new to all this, but what is a TUTT?

The TUTT or (TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH) is a semipermanent trough that is located in the atlantic and caribbean that is more strong or more weak in many periods of time.

[BillC]

TUTT or no TUTT ... the continuing firing up of the convection in the NW Caribbean is impressive to me ...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Sanibel]

My view is that it has actually improved. If you noticed, the weaker cloud coverage down there is now rounded and larger. If anything this feature has just stepped another step up. This is persistence.

If it is going to develop you'll see that coverage bloom in red convection again on IR...

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W S OF 23N MOVING W 10-15 KT.  ISOLATED
SHOWERS MARK THE WAVE'S LOCATION IN ANY AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT.  TSTMS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN DO NOT APPEAR TO BE DIRECTLY
RELATED TO THE WAVE AND MORE ALIGNED WITH THE ITCZ. 


The above from the 8 PM discussion.

[Noah]

TUTT or no TUTT ... the continuing firing up of the convection in the NW Caribbean is impressive to me ...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

4pm view what is it now?

[BillC]

Noah, I think you misread the time. It was after 7 PM eastern when I posted it.

Note the counterclockwise twist at 15 N and 81 W in the IR imagery ...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[LaBreeze]

No mets mentioning anything about it around here. Mets in Florida may be mentioning it. Only topic of discussion around here is the expected cool front for this coming weekend - High temps in the 70's! Yahoo.

[Sanibel]

That TUTT looks like the same chainsaw that was sawing everything that entered the Caribbean apart back in July.

The Amazonian flow is obviously ripe and pumping deep moisture into that wave. It almost looks to be itching to pump up a storm. If the present wave moves over Central America, that deep stuff exiting Colombia looks like it will take its place. I think something is slowly cooking here in a battle with that TUTT regime trying to return.

There's enough thin cloud mass there for me to say it will re-fire tomorrow. Once something fires long enough over this prime area in late Septmber it is only a matter of time...

[bahamaswx]

That TUTT looks like the same chainsaw that was sawing everything that entered the Caribbean apart back in July.

The Amazonian flow is obviously ripe and pumping deep moisture into that wave. It almost looks to be itching to pump up a storm. If the present wave moves over Central America, that deep stuff exiting Colombia looks like it will take its place. I think something is slowly cooking here in a battle with that TUTT regime trying to return.

There's enough thin cloud mass there for me to say it will re-fire tomorrow. Once something fires long enough over this prime area in late Septmber it is only a matter of time...

Yep. Time to watch the disturbance moving off of Columbia instead now.

[gulfcoaster53]

That TUTT looks like the same chainsaw that was sawing everything that entered the Caribbean apart back in July.

The Amazonian flow is obviously ripe and pumping deep moisture into that wave. It almost looks to be itching to pump up a storm. If the present wave moves over Central America, that deep stuff exiting Colombia looks like it will take its place. I think something is slowly cooking here in a battle with that TUTT regime trying to return.

There's enough thin cloud mass there for me to say it will re-fire tomorrow. Once something fires long enough over this prime area in late Septmber it is only a matter of time...

The trough is digging in. This is going nowhere for the time being, but within a week or so my guess is something will show up that needs to be paid attention to. Too much dry air and too many westerlies for anything meaningful to organize over the next several days at least.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[therock1811]

This is kinda a newbie question (and I've been here over a year ), but what does TUTT mean? And no I'm not talking about King Tut LOL.