8 AM Caribbean discussion

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cycloneye
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8 AM Caribbean discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 01, 2004 6:42 am

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CARIBBEAN SEA...
LARGE MID/UPPER LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N79W WITH CYCLONIC FLOW
COVERING THE AREA FROM 9N-24N BETWEEN 72W-84W. A SURFACE
REFLECTION IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
TURKS AND CAICOS NEAR 22N72W THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE
TO OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 10N78W. A MID LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED NEAR 12N76W WITH A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED INLAND OVER
COLOMBIA NEAR 9N74W. THIS IS PRODUCING AREAS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA
FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 71W-78W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS
OVER THE GULF OF VENEZUELA AND LAKE MARACAIBO. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN. OVER THE E CARIBBEAN...AN INDUCED MID/UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N66W N ALONG
15N66W THEN NW THROUGH THE MONA PASSAGE TO 23N71W. ENVIRONMENT
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT.


Let's watch this area in the next few days as conditions will be a bit more favorable for tropical development.
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