Trying to organize?.......

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dixiebreeze
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Trying to organize?.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:00 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:03 pm

It seems that way. In what ways do you think this is interacting with that upper low just next to it?

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Oct 01, 2004 7:05 pm

I would guess that's what is spiking the convection, but the area is beginning to look like it has intentions of getting serious.
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#4 Postby hurrmia » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:19 pm

their saying when it get to nw carbbean it could get more tropical (tv weather man)
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:24 pm

It's possible we are seeing a disturbance finally form here over Jamaica. This would be big if it was. I guess people are hesitating because the wave has taken so long and the area is so unfavorable. Looks like possible persistence. If it forms where does it go?

Meanwhile the whole area looks to have a wide persisting wave-ish cloudiness throughout...
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#6 Postby boca » Fri Oct 01, 2004 8:32 pm

not north into Fl,but towards the Yucatan Peninsula and Southern Gulf.
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Noah
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Re: Trying to organize?.......

#7 Postby Noah » Fri Oct 01, 2004 9:23 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg



this is close to florida???
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 9:42 pm

It is warm and humid here tonight.

If something comes from this flare it should be on the upwind side of the ULL shear...
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#9 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 01, 2004 11:53 pm

Small burst 13N-79W


Back in SW area. See if it grows after eclipse...
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#10 Postby DAVE440 » Sat Oct 02, 2004 6:22 am

Not sure if this is the same area ur referring to...Im probably just seeing the new position. As of 2am 16N 80W
You can see a spin in the clear area to the north of the shower activity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD...STRONG MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE W CARIBBEAN IS THE PRIMARY FOCUS TONIGHT. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 16N80W AND ENCOMPASSES THE AREA FROM 9N-24N BETWEEN 72W-89W. THIS LOW IS INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS GENERATING MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 78W-86W INCLUDING THE COAST NICARAGUA/SE HONDURAS AND FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 75W-79W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF E CUBA/JAMAICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA W OF 66W.
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