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Matthew5
000
ABNT30 KNHC 011149
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...SUMMARY OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR SEPTEMBER 2004...
NOTE...MANY OF THE ESTIMATES OF WIND SPEEDS...DEATHS...AND DAMAGES
CONTAINED IN THIS REPORT ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE...PENDING A
POST-ANALYSIS OF ALL AVAILABLE DATA.
FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING SEPTEMBER. ALSO...HURRICANE
FRANCES...WHICH FORMED IN AUGUST...HIT FLORIDA AS A CATEGORY 2
HURRICANE.
FRANCES FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ON 24 AUGUST. MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM THE NEXT DAY AND A HURRICANE ON 26 AUGUST WHILE LOCATED IN
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. STEADILY STRENGTHENING...FRANCES
TURNED WESTWARD ON 30 AUGUST. FRANCES PASSED ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH
OF PUERTO RICO WITH WINDS OF 140 MPH ON 31 AUGUST...THEN IT TURNED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ON 1 SEPTEMBER. THIS BROUGHT THE HURRICANE NEAR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON 2
SEPTEMBER WITH WINDS OF 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FRANCES TURNED NORTHWESTWARD AND
WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT PASSED OVER SAN
SALVADOR ISLAND LATER THAT DAY. IT MOVED SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON 3-4 SEPTEMBER WHILE WEAKENING
TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. THE CENTER OF FRANCES REACHED THE
FLROIDA EAST COAST NEAR SEWALL'S POINT EARLY ON 5 SEPTEMBER...THEN
CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLOIRDA PENINSULA
TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY ON 6 SEPTEMBER.
FRANCES WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER FLORIDA...AND IT WAS
STILL A TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT MADE A FINAL LANDFALL NEAR ST. MARKS
FLORIDA LATER THAT DAY. FRANCES MOVED GENERALLY NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...FINALLY DISSIPATING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA ON 9 SEPTEMBER. SO FAR...FRANCES IS BELIEVED TO BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR 23 DEATHS. IT LEFT A BROAD TRAIL OF DAMAGE THROUGH
THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
IVAN WAS A CLASSICAL LONG-LIVED CAPE VERDE HURRICANE THAT MADE TWO
LANDFALLS ALONG THE U.S. COAST AND REACHED CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH THREE
TIMES. IVAN DEVELOPED FROM A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED OFF
THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ON 31 AUGUST. THE SYSTEM QUICKLY
STRENGTHENED AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 2 SEPTEMBER...A
TROPICAL STORM ON THE 3RD...A HURRICANE EARLY ON THE 5TH...AND A
MAJOR HURRICANE LATER THAT SAME DAY. IVAN MOVED WESTWARD FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND PASSED OVER THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
WHERE IT CAUSED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE...ESPECIALLY ON
GRANADA. IVAN THEN MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
CARIBBEAN SEA PASSING JUST NORTH OF VENEZUELA AND THE NETHERLANDS
ANTILLES. IVAN REACHED RARE CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH WHILE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY ON 9 SEPTEMBER AS IT MOVED TOWARD THE
ISLAND NATION OF JAMAICA. AS IVAN APPROACHED JAMAICA...IT WEAKENED
TO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LATER THAT DAY AS THE CENTER MOVED SLOWLY
WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND. AFTER PASSING JAMAICA...IVAN
BRIEFLY REGAINED CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH ON 11 SEPTEMBER WHEN THE
HURRICANE WAS SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ONCE AGAIN...IVAN
INFLICTED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE...THIS TIME ON GRAND
CAYMAN ISLAND AS THE HURRICANE HEADED TOWARD WESTERN CUBA. IVAN
REMAINED AT CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH UNTIL EARLY ON 12 SEPTEMBER.
HOWEVER...BY EARLY ON 13 SEPTEMBER...IVAN ONCE AGAIN BECAME A
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE FOR THE THIRD AND FINAL TIME. WESTERN CUBA WAS
SPARED THE BRUNT OF HURRICANE IVAN AS THE SMALL EYE MOVED THROUGH
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INSTEAD. FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS...IVAN MOVED
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SLOWLY WEAKENED UNTIL IT
MADE ITS FIRST U.S. LANDFALL NEAR GULF SHORES ALABAMA AS A CATEGORY
3 HURRICANE EARLY ON 16 SEPTEMBER. AFTER LANDFALL...IVAN GRADUALLY
WEAKENED OVER THE NEXT WEEK WHILE MAKING A LARGE CLOCKWISE LOOP.
IVAN MOVED NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND EMERGED OFF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ON 19 SEPTEMBER AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION OF IVAN THEN MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD JUST OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND PASSED OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO ON 21 SEPTEMBER. IVAN BECAME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN
ON THE 23RD AND MADE ITS 2ND LANDFALL OVER EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA ON THE 24TH. IVAN FINALLY DISSIPATED INLAND OVER EAST
TEXAS LATER THAT DAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORMED FROM AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA
ON 29 AUGUST. THE WEATHER AREA MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL DAYS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS
BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ON 7 SEPTEMBER.
EARLY ON 9 SEPTEMBER...THE DISTURBED AREA FORMED INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ABOUT 420 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION MOVED SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN TURNED
SOUTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER THAT DAY ABOUT 380 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
HURRICANE JEANNE ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 13 SEPTEMBER WHILE LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. JEANNE MOVED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THE 14TH WHILE
STRENGTHENING TO A TROPICAL STORM. IT MOVED SLOWLY OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THE 15TH AND THEN SLOWLY OVER THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON THE 16TH AND 17TH...ACCOMPANIED BY
TORRENTIAL RAINS AND WINDS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE. JEANNE BRIEFLY
BECAME A HURRICANE OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BUT THEN WEAKENED WHILE
INTERACTING WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA. JEANNE TURNED
NORTHWARD ON THE 18TH AND MOVED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AS A
TROPICAL STORM. JEANNE DRIFTED NORTHWARD AND STRENGTHENED...
BECOMING A HURRICANE ON THE 20TH WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST
OF FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS. THE HURRICANE MOVED ALONG A SLOW
CLOCKWISE LOOP FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON SCALE. THE LOOP WAS COMPLETED BY
THE 23RD AND JEANNE BEGAN A TRACK JUST NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD. ON
THE 25TH...JEANNES LARGE EYE DIRECTLY HIT ABACOS ISLAND AND THEN
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WHILE STRENGTHENING
TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE LARGE EYE MADE LANDFALL ON THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR STUART AS A CATEGORY THREE. IT IS
NOTABLE THAT HURRICANE FRANCES MADE LANDFALL NEAR THIS SAME
LOCATION JUST 20 DAYS EARLIER AND ALSO MOVED OVER THE SAME ISLANDS
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. JEANNE WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD.
JEANNE WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION OVER GEORGIA AND RECURVED OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES ON THE 28TH AND 29TH ACCOMPANIED BY
HEAVY RAIN. ON THE 30TH...JEANEE HAD BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL
FRONTAL LOW LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE
DEATH TOTALS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ARE NOT YET KNOWN
BUT ESTIMATES FROM NEWS SOURCES RANGE TO OVER 2000 DEATHS IN HAITI
FROM INLAND FLOODING. ONE DIRECT DEATH WAS REPORTED FROM PUERTO
RICO AND TWO DIRECT DEATHS WERE REPORTED IN FLORIDA. THE U.S.
DAMAGE ESTIMATE IS NOT YET AVAILABLE.
HURRICANE KARL DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...BECOMING A
DEPRESSION ABOUT 670 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ON 16 SEPTEMBER. INITIALLY MOVING WESTWARD...THE CYCLONE TURNED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECAME TROPICAL STORM KARL ON 17
SEPTEMBER. KARL THEN TURNED NOTHWESTWARD AS IT BECAME A HURRICANE
THE NEXT DAY. KARL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ON
19-20 SEPTEMBER AS IT BECAME A MAJOR HURRICANE. MAXIMUM SUSTIANED
WINDS REACHED AN ESTIMATED 140 MPH ON 21 SEPTEMBER AS KARL TURNED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. KARL TURNED NORTHWARD ON 22 SEPTEMBER AND
NORTHEASTWARD THE NEXT DAY WHILE SHOWING FLUCUATIONS IN STRENGTH.
IT THEN TURNED NORTHWARD AND LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ABOUT
935 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES ON 24 SEPTEMBER.
TROPICAL STORM LISA DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...BECOMING A
DEPRESSION ON 19 SEPTEMBER ABOUT 645 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM THE NEXT DAY. LISA MOVED
WESTWARD FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THEN INTERACTED WITH ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE DISTURBANCE APPROACHING LISA FROM THE EAST. THE
DISTURBANCE AND LISA LOOPED ABOUT EACH OTHER ON 22 AND 23 SEPTEMBER
UNTIL THE DISTURBANCE WAS ABSORBED INTO LISA'S CIRCULATION. LISA
THEN CONTINUED WESTWARD ON 24 SEPTEMBER BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD IN
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. MOVING SLOWLY FOR SEVERAL DAYS...LISA
INTENSIFIED GRADUALLY AND AT MONTH'S END HAD WINDS OF 70 MPH AND
WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.
PRELIMINARY STATISTICS
NAME DATES MAX WIND DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
(MPH) ($MILLIONS)
-------------------------------------------------------------
H FRANCES 24 AUG - 9 SEP 145 23 N/A
H IVAN 2 -24 SEP 165 90 N/A
TD TEN 7 - 9 SEP 35
H JEANNE 13-29 SEP 120 2000+ N/A
H KARL 16-24 SEP 140
TS LISA 19 SEP- 70
-------------------------------------------------------------
N/A = NOT YET AVAILABLE
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART/FRANKLIN/BEVEN/AVILA
ABNT30 KNHC 011149
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI OCT 1 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...SUMMARY OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR SEPTEMBER 2004...
NOTE...MANY OF THE ESTIMATES OF WIND SPEEDS...DEATHS...AND DAMAGES
CONTAINED IN THIS REPORT ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE...PENDING A
POST-ANALYSIS OF ALL AVAILABLE DATA.
FIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING SEPTEMBER. ALSO...HURRICANE
FRANCES...WHICH FORMED IN AUGUST...HIT FLORIDA AS A CATEGORY 2
HURRICANE.
FRANCES FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ON 24 AUGUST. MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM THE NEXT DAY AND A HURRICANE ON 26 AUGUST WHILE LOCATED IN
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. STEADILY STRENGTHENING...FRANCES
TURNED WESTWARD ON 30 AUGUST. FRANCES PASSED ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH
OF PUERTO RICO WITH WINDS OF 140 MPH ON 31 AUGUST...THEN IT TURNED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ON 1 SEPTEMBER. THIS BROUGHT THE HURRICANE NEAR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON 2
SEPTEMBER WITH WINDS OF 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FRANCES TURNED NORTHWESTWARD AND
WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT PASSED OVER SAN
SALVADOR ISLAND LATER THAT DAY. IT MOVED SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON 3-4 SEPTEMBER WHILE WEAKENING
TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. THE CENTER OF FRANCES REACHED THE
FLROIDA EAST COAST NEAR SEWALL'S POINT EARLY ON 5 SEPTEMBER...THEN
CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLOIRDA PENINSULA
TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY ON 6 SEPTEMBER.
FRANCES WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER FLORIDA...AND IT WAS
STILL A TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT MADE A FINAL LANDFALL NEAR ST. MARKS
FLORIDA LATER THAT DAY. FRANCES MOVED GENERALLY NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...FINALLY DISSIPATING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA ON 9 SEPTEMBER. SO FAR...FRANCES IS BELIEVED TO BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR 23 DEATHS. IT LEFT A BROAD TRAIL OF DAMAGE THROUGH
THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
IVAN WAS A CLASSICAL LONG-LIVED CAPE VERDE HURRICANE THAT MADE TWO
LANDFALLS ALONG THE U.S. COAST AND REACHED CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH THREE
TIMES. IVAN DEVELOPED FROM A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED OFF
THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ON 31 AUGUST. THE SYSTEM QUICKLY
STRENGTHENED AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 2 SEPTEMBER...A
TROPICAL STORM ON THE 3RD...A HURRICANE EARLY ON THE 5TH...AND A
MAJOR HURRICANE LATER THAT SAME DAY. IVAN MOVED WESTWARD FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND PASSED OVER THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
WHERE IT CAUSED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE...ESPECIALLY ON
GRANADA. IVAN THEN MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
CARIBBEAN SEA PASSING JUST NORTH OF VENEZUELA AND THE NETHERLANDS
ANTILLES. IVAN REACHED RARE CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH WHILE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY ON 9 SEPTEMBER AS IT MOVED TOWARD THE
ISLAND NATION OF JAMAICA. AS IVAN APPROACHED JAMAICA...IT WEAKENED
TO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LATER THAT DAY AS THE CENTER MOVED SLOWLY
WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND. AFTER PASSING JAMAICA...IVAN
BRIEFLY REGAINED CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH ON 11 SEPTEMBER WHEN THE
HURRICANE WAS SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ONCE AGAIN...IVAN
INFLICTED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE...THIS TIME ON GRAND
CAYMAN ISLAND AS THE HURRICANE HEADED TOWARD WESTERN CUBA. IVAN
REMAINED AT CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH UNTIL EARLY ON 12 SEPTEMBER.
HOWEVER...BY EARLY ON 13 SEPTEMBER...IVAN ONCE AGAIN BECAME A
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE FOR THE THIRD AND FINAL TIME. WESTERN CUBA WAS
SPARED THE BRUNT OF HURRICANE IVAN AS THE SMALL EYE MOVED THROUGH
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INSTEAD. FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS...IVAN MOVED
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SLOWLY WEAKENED UNTIL IT
MADE ITS FIRST U.S. LANDFALL NEAR GULF SHORES ALABAMA AS A CATEGORY
3 HURRICANE EARLY ON 16 SEPTEMBER. AFTER LANDFALL...IVAN GRADUALLY
WEAKENED OVER THE NEXT WEEK WHILE MAKING A LARGE CLOCKWISE LOOP.
IVAN MOVED NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND EMERGED OFF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ON 19 SEPTEMBER AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION OF IVAN THEN MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD JUST OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND PASSED OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO ON 21 SEPTEMBER. IVAN BECAME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN
ON THE 23RD AND MADE ITS 2ND LANDFALL OVER EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA ON THE 24TH. IVAN FINALLY DISSIPATED INLAND OVER EAST
TEXAS LATER THAT DAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORMED FROM AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA
ON 29 AUGUST. THE WEATHER AREA MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL DAYS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS
BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ON 7 SEPTEMBER.
EARLY ON 9 SEPTEMBER...THE DISTURBED AREA FORMED INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ABOUT 420 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION MOVED SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN TURNED
SOUTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER THAT DAY ABOUT 380 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
HURRICANE JEANNE ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 13 SEPTEMBER WHILE LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. JEANNE MOVED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THE 14TH WHILE
STRENGTHENING TO A TROPICAL STORM. IT MOVED SLOWLY OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THE 15TH AND THEN SLOWLY OVER THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON THE 16TH AND 17TH...ACCOMPANIED BY
TORRENTIAL RAINS AND WINDS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE. JEANNE BRIEFLY
BECAME A HURRICANE OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BUT THEN WEAKENED WHILE
INTERACTING WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA. JEANNE TURNED
NORTHWARD ON THE 18TH AND MOVED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AS A
TROPICAL STORM. JEANNE DRIFTED NORTHWARD AND STRENGTHENED...
BECOMING A HURRICANE ON THE 20TH WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST
OF FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS. THE HURRICANE MOVED ALONG A SLOW
CLOCKWISE LOOP FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON SCALE. THE LOOP WAS COMPLETED BY
THE 23RD AND JEANNE BEGAN A TRACK JUST NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD. ON
THE 25TH...JEANNES LARGE EYE DIRECTLY HIT ABACOS ISLAND AND THEN
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WHILE STRENGTHENING
TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE LARGE EYE MADE LANDFALL ON THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR STUART AS A CATEGORY THREE. IT IS
NOTABLE THAT HURRICANE FRANCES MADE LANDFALL NEAR THIS SAME
LOCATION JUST 20 DAYS EARLIER AND ALSO MOVED OVER THE SAME ISLANDS
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. JEANNE WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD.
JEANNE WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION OVER GEORGIA AND RECURVED OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES ON THE 28TH AND 29TH ACCOMPANIED BY
HEAVY RAIN. ON THE 30TH...JEANEE HAD BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL
FRONTAL LOW LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE
DEATH TOTALS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ARE NOT YET KNOWN
BUT ESTIMATES FROM NEWS SOURCES RANGE TO OVER 2000 DEATHS IN HAITI
FROM INLAND FLOODING. ONE DIRECT DEATH WAS REPORTED FROM PUERTO
RICO AND TWO DIRECT DEATHS WERE REPORTED IN FLORIDA. THE U.S.
DAMAGE ESTIMATE IS NOT YET AVAILABLE.
HURRICANE KARL DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...BECOMING A
DEPRESSION ABOUT 670 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ON 16 SEPTEMBER. INITIALLY MOVING WESTWARD...THE CYCLONE TURNED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECAME TROPICAL STORM KARL ON 17
SEPTEMBER. KARL THEN TURNED NOTHWESTWARD AS IT BECAME A HURRICANE
THE NEXT DAY. KARL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ON
19-20 SEPTEMBER AS IT BECAME A MAJOR HURRICANE. MAXIMUM SUSTIANED
WINDS REACHED AN ESTIMATED 140 MPH ON 21 SEPTEMBER AS KARL TURNED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. KARL TURNED NORTHWARD ON 22 SEPTEMBER AND
NORTHEASTWARD THE NEXT DAY WHILE SHOWING FLUCUATIONS IN STRENGTH.
IT THEN TURNED NORTHWARD AND LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ABOUT
935 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES ON 24 SEPTEMBER.
TROPICAL STORM LISA DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...BECOMING A
DEPRESSION ON 19 SEPTEMBER ABOUT 645 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM THE NEXT DAY. LISA MOVED
WESTWARD FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THEN INTERACTED WITH ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE DISTURBANCE APPROACHING LISA FROM THE EAST. THE
DISTURBANCE AND LISA LOOPED ABOUT EACH OTHER ON 22 AND 23 SEPTEMBER
UNTIL THE DISTURBANCE WAS ABSORBED INTO LISA'S CIRCULATION. LISA
THEN CONTINUED WESTWARD ON 24 SEPTEMBER BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD IN
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. MOVING SLOWLY FOR SEVERAL DAYS...LISA
INTENSIFIED GRADUALLY AND AT MONTH'S END HAD WINDS OF 70 MPH AND
WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.
PRELIMINARY STATISTICS
NAME DATES MAX WIND DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
(MPH) ($MILLIONS)
-------------------------------------------------------------
H FRANCES 24 AUG - 9 SEP 145 23 N/A
H IVAN 2 -24 SEP 165 90 N/A
TD TEN 7 - 9 SEP 35
H JEANNE 13-29 SEP 120 2000+ N/A
H KARL 16-24 SEP 140
TS LISA 19 SEP- 70
-------------------------------------------------------------
N/A = NOT YET AVAILABLE
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART/FRANKLIN/BEVEN/AVILA
0 likes
That was the September summary. Here's the one for August.
000
ABNT30 KNHC 011234
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SEVEN TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING AUGUST. IN ADDITION...
ALEX...WHICH FORMED AT THE END OF JULY...REACHED TROPICAL STORM AND
HURRICANE STRENGTH IN AUGUST. THE TOTAL OF EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES
REACHING STORM STRENGTH IS A NEW AUGUST RECORD...BREAKING THE
PREVIOUS RECORD OF SEVEN SET IN 1933 AND 1995. THE EIGHT NAMED
STORMS THAT HAVE FORMED SO FAR IN 2004 IS TWICE THE NORMAL NUMBER
OF 4.
HURRICANE ALEX ORIGINATED FROM A LOW PRESSURE AREA AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST ON 31 JULY. IT
DRIFTED ERRATICALLY FOR 2 DAYS...BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON 1
AUGUST...AND ON 2 AUGUST...BEGAN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST. ALEX BECAME A HURRICANE ON 3 AUGUST AND
THE CENTER PASSED WITHIN ABOUT 10 MILES OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA THAT AFTERNOON WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 100 MPH...CATEGORY
2 ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ALEX THEN ACCELERATED
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. ALEX REACHED ITS
PEAK INTENSITY OF 120 MPH...CATEGORY 3...ON 5 AUGUST AT IT WAS
PASSING A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. ALEX
BECAME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC THE NEXT DAY. NO
DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. ALEX BROUGHT CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE
CONDITIONS TO THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. DAMAGE TOTALS ARE
NOT AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 3 AUGUST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION MOVED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES THE NEXT DAY WITHOUT DISTINCTION
AND THEN DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. THE WAVE MOVED WEST TO
NORTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND REDEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL STORM
BONNIE ON 9 AUGUST JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO. BONNIE TURNED NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD ON 10 AND 11
AUGUST AND ITS WINDS REACHED 65 MPH. WEAKENING ON 12 AUGUST...
BONNIE MOVED INLAND NEAR APPALACHICOLA ON THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS
A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM.
CHARLEY ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON 9 AUGUST JUST EAST OF BARBADOS. IT MOVED QUICKLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WHILE STRENGTHENING. IT
PASSED JUST SOUTH OF JAMAICA ON 11 AUGUST AS A HURRICANE AND PASSED
JUST NORTH OF GRAND CAYMAN THE NEXT DAY. IT TURNED TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND ITS CENTER PASSED JUST EAST OF THE ISLE OF
YOUTH EARLY ON 13 AUGUST. THE HURRICANE MADE LANDFALL NEAR PLAYA
DEL CAJIO WITH CATEGORY 3 WINDS OF 120 MPH AND MOVED OVER WESTERN
CUBA. CHARLEY WEAKENED SOME OVER THE LOWER STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
TURNING NORTHWARD...THE HURRICANE PASSED OVER THE DRY TORTUGAS AS A
CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE. CHARLEY THEN TURNED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND
ACCELERATED TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA...INTENSIFYING
RAPIDLY JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. CHARLEY MADE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR CAYO COSTA...JUST NORTH OF CAPTIVA
DURING THE EVENING OF 13 AUGUST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
TENTATIVELY ESTIMATED AT 145 MPH. SHORTLY THEREAFTER THE EYEWALL
IMPACTED PUNTA GORDA AND NEIGHBORING PORT CHARLOTTE WITH
DEVASTATING RESULTS. THE HURRICANE TRAVERSED THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA RESULTING IN A SWATH OF DESTRUCTION ACROSS THE STATE.
THE CENTER PASSED NEAR KISSIMMEE AND ORLANDO EARLY ON 14
AUGUST...BY WHICH TIME THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO
AROUND 85 MPH. CHARLEY WAS STILL OF HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN THE
CENTER MOVED OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR DAYTONA BEACH.
AFTER MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC...CHARLEY CAME ASHORE AGAIN NEAR CAPE
ROMAIN SOUTH CAROLINA MIDDAY ON 14 AUGUST WITH HIGHEST WINDS OF
ABOUT 80 MPH. THE CENTER THEN MOVED JUST OFFSHORE AND MADE ANOTHER
LANDFALL AT NORTH MYRTLE BEACH WITH WINDS NEAR 75 MPH. CHARLEY
SOON WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
ON 15 AUGUST CHARLEY BECAME EXTRATROPIOCAL OVER VIRGINIA WHILE
EMBEDDED IN A FRONTAL ZONE. CHARLEY'S EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS MOVED
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD...AND WERE ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL ZONE NEAR
SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.
CHARLEY WAS DIRECTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR 10 DEATHS IN THE UNITED
STATES...9 IN FLORIDA AND 1 IN RHODE ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO 4
DIRECT DEATHS IN CUBA AND 1 IN JAMAICA. AN ADDITIONAL 16 U.S.
DEATHS ARE INDIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO CHARLEY. THE PROPERTY
CLAIMS SERVICE REPORTS INSURED DAMAGES OF 6.755 BILLION DOLLARS IN
FLORIDA...25 MILLION DOLLARS IN NORTH CAROLINA AND 20 MILLION
DOLLARS IN SOUTH CAROLINA...FOR A TOTAL OF 6.8 BILLION DOLLARS IN
INSURED LOSSES. THE INSURANCE INFORMATION INSTITUTE REPORTS AN
ESTIMATED TOTAL OF 7.4 BILLION DOLLARS IN INSURED LOSSES. THE
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES OF THE DAMAGE TOTAL RANGE FROM 13 TO 15
BILLION DOLLARS. THIS WOULD MAKE CHARLEY THE SECOND COSTLIEST
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN U.S. HISTORY.
DANIELLE DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IT BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM LATE ON THE 13TH A SHORT DISTANCE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. DANIELLE MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECAME A HURRICANE
THE NEXT DAY. IT SPENT THE REST OF ITS EXISTENCE OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...REACHING A PEAK INTENSITY OF
105 MPH...BEFORE DISSIPATING ON THE 21ST ABOUT 855 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS SHORT-LIVED. IT FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE
ON 13 AUGUST OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. IT MOVED
QUICKLY WESTWARD...BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON 14 AUGUST...AND THEN
CROSSED THE CARIBBEAN WINDWARD ISLANDS ON 15 AUGUST WITH BRIEF BUT
HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS TO 45 MPH. EARL DEGENERATED TO AN OPEN
TROPICAL WAVE LATER THAT DAY OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
FRANCES FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ON 24 AUGUST. MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM THE NEXT DAY AND A HURRICANE ON 26 AUGUST WHILE LOCATED IN
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. STEADILY STRENGTHENING...FRANCES
TURNED WESTWARD ON 30 AUGUST. AS THE MONTH ENDED...FRANCES WAS
LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND MOVING WESTWARD
WITH WINDS OF 140 MPH.
GASTON DEVELOPED SLOWLY FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH
A DECAYING FRONTAL ZONE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 27
AUGUST ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
DRIFTING ERRATICALY...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL STORM THE
NEXT DAY AND CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT BEGAN TO MOVE TOWARD THE
COAST. ON THE MORNING OF 29 AUGUST...GASTON MOVED INLAND JUST WEST
OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 70
MPH. THAT EVENING...GASTON WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR
FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. GASTON MOVED NORTHEASTWARD OVER NORTH
CAROLINA AND ACROSS THE THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ON THE 30TH...AND
LATE IN THE DAY RESTRENGTHENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVED BACK
OVER WATER. AT MONTHS END...GASTON WAS BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA.
GASTON PRODUCED WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH
CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 12 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS. CASUALTY AND DAMAGE STATISTICS ARE NOT YET
AVAILABLE.
HERMINE FORMED ON A FRONTAL ZONE ON 29 AUGUST OVER THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA. IT MOVED NORTHWARD ON THE
NEXT DAY WITH WINDS REACHING 50 MPH. HERMINE WEAKENED AND BECAME
EXTRATROPICAL EARLY ON 31 AUGUST AS IT MOVED ACROSS EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS WITH WINDS UP TO 35 MPH.
PRELIMINARY STATISTICS
NAME DATES MAX WIND DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
(MPH) ($MILLIONS)
-------------------------------------------------------------
H ALEX 31 JUL - 6 AUG 120 0 N/A
TS BONNIE 3-12 AUG 65
H CHARLEY 9-14 AUG 145 15 14,000
H DANIELLE 13-21 AUG 105
TS EARL 13-15 AUG 45
H FRANCES 24 AUG - 135
TS GASTON 27 AUG - 70 N/A N/A
TS HERMINE 29-31 AUG 40
-------------------------------------------------------------
N/A = NOT AVAILABLE
FORECASTER LAWRENCE/FRANKLIN/AVILA/BEVEN/PASCH/STEWART
000
ABNT30 KNHC 011234
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SEVEN TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING AUGUST. IN ADDITION...
ALEX...WHICH FORMED AT THE END OF JULY...REACHED TROPICAL STORM AND
HURRICANE STRENGTH IN AUGUST. THE TOTAL OF EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES
REACHING STORM STRENGTH IS A NEW AUGUST RECORD...BREAKING THE
PREVIOUS RECORD OF SEVEN SET IN 1933 AND 1995. THE EIGHT NAMED
STORMS THAT HAVE FORMED SO FAR IN 2004 IS TWICE THE NORMAL NUMBER
OF 4.
HURRICANE ALEX ORIGINATED FROM A LOW PRESSURE AREA AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST ON 31 JULY. IT
DRIFTED ERRATICALLY FOR 2 DAYS...BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON 1
AUGUST...AND ON 2 AUGUST...BEGAN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST. ALEX BECAME A HURRICANE ON 3 AUGUST AND
THE CENTER PASSED WITHIN ABOUT 10 MILES OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA THAT AFTERNOON WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 100 MPH...CATEGORY
2 ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ALEX THEN ACCELERATED
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. ALEX REACHED ITS
PEAK INTENSITY OF 120 MPH...CATEGORY 3...ON 5 AUGUST AT IT WAS
PASSING A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. ALEX
BECAME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC THE NEXT DAY. NO
DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. ALEX BROUGHT CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE
CONDITIONS TO THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. DAMAGE TOTALS ARE
NOT AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 3 AUGUST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION MOVED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES THE NEXT DAY WITHOUT DISTINCTION
AND THEN DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. THE WAVE MOVED WEST TO
NORTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND REDEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL STORM
BONNIE ON 9 AUGUST JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO. BONNIE TURNED NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD ON 10 AND 11
AUGUST AND ITS WINDS REACHED 65 MPH. WEAKENING ON 12 AUGUST...
BONNIE MOVED INLAND NEAR APPALACHICOLA ON THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS
A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM.
CHARLEY ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON 9 AUGUST JUST EAST OF BARBADOS. IT MOVED QUICKLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WHILE STRENGTHENING. IT
PASSED JUST SOUTH OF JAMAICA ON 11 AUGUST AS A HURRICANE AND PASSED
JUST NORTH OF GRAND CAYMAN THE NEXT DAY. IT TURNED TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND ITS CENTER PASSED JUST EAST OF THE ISLE OF
YOUTH EARLY ON 13 AUGUST. THE HURRICANE MADE LANDFALL NEAR PLAYA
DEL CAJIO WITH CATEGORY 3 WINDS OF 120 MPH AND MOVED OVER WESTERN
CUBA. CHARLEY WEAKENED SOME OVER THE LOWER STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
TURNING NORTHWARD...THE HURRICANE PASSED OVER THE DRY TORTUGAS AS A
CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE. CHARLEY THEN TURNED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND
ACCELERATED TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA...INTENSIFYING
RAPIDLY JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. CHARLEY MADE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR CAYO COSTA...JUST NORTH OF CAPTIVA
DURING THE EVENING OF 13 AUGUST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
TENTATIVELY ESTIMATED AT 145 MPH. SHORTLY THEREAFTER THE EYEWALL
IMPACTED PUNTA GORDA AND NEIGHBORING PORT CHARLOTTE WITH
DEVASTATING RESULTS. THE HURRICANE TRAVERSED THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA RESULTING IN A SWATH OF DESTRUCTION ACROSS THE STATE.
THE CENTER PASSED NEAR KISSIMMEE AND ORLANDO EARLY ON 14
AUGUST...BY WHICH TIME THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO
AROUND 85 MPH. CHARLEY WAS STILL OF HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN THE
CENTER MOVED OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR DAYTONA BEACH.
AFTER MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC...CHARLEY CAME ASHORE AGAIN NEAR CAPE
ROMAIN SOUTH CAROLINA MIDDAY ON 14 AUGUST WITH HIGHEST WINDS OF
ABOUT 80 MPH. THE CENTER THEN MOVED JUST OFFSHORE AND MADE ANOTHER
LANDFALL AT NORTH MYRTLE BEACH WITH WINDS NEAR 75 MPH. CHARLEY
SOON WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
ON 15 AUGUST CHARLEY BECAME EXTRATROPIOCAL OVER VIRGINIA WHILE
EMBEDDED IN A FRONTAL ZONE. CHARLEY'S EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS MOVED
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD...AND WERE ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL ZONE NEAR
SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.
CHARLEY WAS DIRECTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR 10 DEATHS IN THE UNITED
STATES...9 IN FLORIDA AND 1 IN RHODE ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO 4
DIRECT DEATHS IN CUBA AND 1 IN JAMAICA. AN ADDITIONAL 16 U.S.
DEATHS ARE INDIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO CHARLEY. THE PROPERTY
CLAIMS SERVICE REPORTS INSURED DAMAGES OF 6.755 BILLION DOLLARS IN
FLORIDA...25 MILLION DOLLARS IN NORTH CAROLINA AND 20 MILLION
DOLLARS IN SOUTH CAROLINA...FOR A TOTAL OF 6.8 BILLION DOLLARS IN
INSURED LOSSES. THE INSURANCE INFORMATION INSTITUTE REPORTS AN
ESTIMATED TOTAL OF 7.4 BILLION DOLLARS IN INSURED LOSSES. THE
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES OF THE DAMAGE TOTAL RANGE FROM 13 TO 15
BILLION DOLLARS. THIS WOULD MAKE CHARLEY THE SECOND COSTLIEST
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN U.S. HISTORY.
DANIELLE DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IT BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM LATE ON THE 13TH A SHORT DISTANCE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. DANIELLE MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECAME A HURRICANE
THE NEXT DAY. IT SPENT THE REST OF ITS EXISTENCE OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...REACHING A PEAK INTENSITY OF
105 MPH...BEFORE DISSIPATING ON THE 21ST ABOUT 855 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS SHORT-LIVED. IT FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE
ON 13 AUGUST OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. IT MOVED
QUICKLY WESTWARD...BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON 14 AUGUST...AND THEN
CROSSED THE CARIBBEAN WINDWARD ISLANDS ON 15 AUGUST WITH BRIEF BUT
HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS TO 45 MPH. EARL DEGENERATED TO AN OPEN
TROPICAL WAVE LATER THAT DAY OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
FRANCES FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ON 24 AUGUST. MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL
STORM THE NEXT DAY AND A HURRICANE ON 26 AUGUST WHILE LOCATED IN
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. STEADILY STRENGTHENING...FRANCES
TURNED WESTWARD ON 30 AUGUST. AS THE MONTH ENDED...FRANCES WAS
LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND MOVING WESTWARD
WITH WINDS OF 140 MPH.
GASTON DEVELOPED SLOWLY FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH
A DECAYING FRONTAL ZONE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 27
AUGUST ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
DRIFTING ERRATICALY...THE DEPRESSION BECAME A TROPICAL STORM THE
NEXT DAY AND CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT BEGAN TO MOVE TOWARD THE
COAST. ON THE MORNING OF 29 AUGUST...GASTON MOVED INLAND JUST WEST
OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 70
MPH. THAT EVENING...GASTON WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR
FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. GASTON MOVED NORTHEASTWARD OVER NORTH
CAROLINA AND ACROSS THE THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ON THE 30TH...AND
LATE IN THE DAY RESTRENGTHENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVED BACK
OVER WATER. AT MONTHS END...GASTON WAS BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA.
GASTON PRODUCED WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH
CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 12 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS. CASUALTY AND DAMAGE STATISTICS ARE NOT YET
AVAILABLE.
HERMINE FORMED ON A FRONTAL ZONE ON 29 AUGUST OVER THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA. IT MOVED NORTHWARD ON THE
NEXT DAY WITH WINDS REACHING 50 MPH. HERMINE WEAKENED AND BECAME
EXTRATROPICAL EARLY ON 31 AUGUST AS IT MOVED ACROSS EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS WITH WINDS UP TO 35 MPH.
PRELIMINARY STATISTICS
NAME DATES MAX WIND DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
(MPH) ($MILLIONS)
-------------------------------------------------------------
H ALEX 31 JUL - 6 AUG 120 0 N/A
TS BONNIE 3-12 AUG 65
H CHARLEY 9-14 AUG 145 15 14,000
H DANIELLE 13-21 AUG 105
TS EARL 13-15 AUG 45
H FRANCES 24 AUG - 135
TS GASTON 27 AUG - 70 N/A N/A
TS HERMINE 29-31 AUG 40
-------------------------------------------------------------
N/A = NOT AVAILABLE
FORECASTER LAWRENCE/FRANKLIN/AVILA/BEVEN/PASCH/STEWART
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Anonymous
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senorpepr
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~Floydbuster wrote:Is that 14 billion ESTIMATED FOR CHARLEY! In all it may get up over Andrew's cost.
?!?!?!?
No. Not a snowball's chance in hell. If you're thinking about the NHC's policy of the 2:1 ratio for reported insurance costs, the estimated $14B for Charley has already undergone the 2:1 ratio.
With that being said, $14B is a long shot below Andrew's $26.5B
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