Wavy, fired up Atlantic....

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dixiebreeze
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Wavy, fired up Atlantic....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 05, 2004 11:45 am

pattern today. Almost looks like July or August:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby alicia-w » Tue Oct 05, 2004 11:47 am

Holy crap. Is it possible for a storm to come out of this mess this late in the season?
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rbaker

#3 Postby rbaker » Tue Oct 05, 2004 11:59 am

it's possible, but to make it across the atlantic without some sort of shear, or going north is a low percentage.
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#4 Postby James » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:08 pm

Remember, Nicholas last year formed in the open Atlantic on October 13th, but as rbaker said, its percentage of crossing the Atlantic was low, and it didn't make it over that far west.
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#5 Postby Anonymous » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:09 pm

Actually, the low that once was Nicholas... didnt that end up in the Gulf?
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#6 Postby alicia-w » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:15 pm

SHHHHHHHH!!!
They might hear you!!!
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#7 Postby James » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:22 pm

Yes, I think that the remnants of Nicholas did end up in the Gulf. They certainly meandered around for a while - check out the Unisys track:-

Image
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:22 pm

There's obviously a hostile overhead out there...
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#9 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:24 pm

Sanibel wrote:There's obviously a hostile overhead out there...


Yes... nothing will develop out there due to a TUTT sig and that high... (am I right about the TUTT?)
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#10 Postby Rainband » Tue Oct 05, 2004 12:40 pm

too hostile :wink: for anything to get it's act together right now.
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 05, 2004 1:18 pm

I'm sure you're all right that it's too late and too hostile. Still... it makes for interesting observation --- especially durin this record-making season.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 05, 2004 1:22 pm

Code: Select all

TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 NM E OF BARBADOS ALONG 54W S
OF 20N MOVING W 10 KT. CONFIDENCE IN THE WAVE POSITION REMAINS
LOW AT THE MOMENT...NAMELY BECAUSE SEVERAL LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN DIFFERENT LOCATIONS OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A WEAK V-SHAPE TO THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW OVER AND TO THE NE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WOULD
ALMOST SUGGEST THE WAVE BEING FARTHER W BETWEEN 58W-66W...BUT A
NEW CIRCULATION HAS NOW EMERGED FARTHER E NEAR 14N52W. THE WAVE
IS MOVED BASED ON CONTINUITY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 13N-19N
BETWEEN 49W-53W.


Discussion at 2 PM:

Wave has several swirls but nothing organized as shear is too strong.
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#13 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 05, 2004 1:36 pm

Hmmmm..........for future observation, Luis. I'll be watching.
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