Credit when it is due.....

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dhweather
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Credit when it is due.....

#1 Postby dhweather » Thu Oct 07, 2004 12:33 pm

While the GFS has deserved most of the bashing it has taken this year,
it and other models called this BOC / Western GOM event late last week.
Nice work!
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Stormcenter
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Re: Credit when it is due.....

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Oct 07, 2004 12:34 pm

dhweather wrote:While the GFS has deserved most of the bashing it has taken this year,
it and other models called this BOC / Western GOM event late last week.
Nice work!


Yes it did. I guess that's why it's one of the
NHC's favorite models.
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 07, 2004 12:43 pm

I think that west Caribbean material finally met an environment where it could branch off a system. It took some real doing under this semi-unfavorable background. With all that dryness it took longer than we thought...
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#4 Postby Steve » Thu Oct 07, 2004 1:26 pm

>>While the GFS has deserved most of the bashing it has taken this year,
it and other models called this BOC / Western GOM event late last week.
Nice work!

UKMET and CMC were the forefront of the modelling. GFS came in line with it later. GFS is too far east with it down the road and too fast.

Steve
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#5 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Oct 07, 2004 1:29 pm

Steve wrote:>>While the GFS has deserved most of the bashing it has taken this year,
it and other models called this BOC / Western GOM event late last week.
Nice work!

UKMET and CMC were the forefront of the modelling. GFS came in line with it later. GFS is too far east with it down the road and too fast.

Steve


Based on the lastest discussion out of Tallahasee,FL
the GFS has shifted much further west.
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rbaker

#6 Postby rbaker » Thu Oct 07, 2004 1:57 pm

it's about time the gfs did something right. On other tropical systems its been poor at best. So like a slot machine its going to hit once in awhile. It's just a matter of being right sometimes and wrong sometimes, you and I could do the same.
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#7 Postby jes » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:08 pm

Sanibel has also been talking about it since last week.
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:17 pm

Well, not really. I expected the west Caribbean wave to make a run at formation. This is kind of a branch-off of that wave - but right now looks pretty sickly in that shear...
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