12z GFDL plots center of whatever this may be into N.Orleans

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST    95L

INITIAL TIME  12Z OCT  7


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR        LATITUDE        LONGITUDE        HEADING/SPEED(KT)

   0            21.7             96.0             0./ 5.0
   6            22.0             96.3           317./ 4.5
  12            22.8             95.9            31./ 8.5
  18            23.8             96.2           340./10.4
  24            25.2             95.2            36./16.8
  30            25.6             95.0            27./ 5.0
  36            26.3             93.8            59./12.5
  42            27.0             93.1            51./ 9.3
  48            28.0             92.2            42./13.1
  54            28.9             90.9            54./14.0
  60            30.2             90.0            36./15.4
  66            31.4             88.9            39./15.3
  72            32.6             88.3            30./13.1
  78            33.7             87.6            30./12.3
  84            34.8             87.0            32./11.6
  90            35.9             86.7            14./11.7
  96            36.9             86.4            19./ 9.9
 102            37.7             85.8            35./ 9.1
 108            38.1             85.2            53./ 6.8
 114            38.4             84.8            57./ 3.6
 120            38.8             84.1            57./ 7.4
 126            39.3             83.2            60./ 8.3

But dont focus on a center because the bad stuff of rain and gusty winds will be primary on the east side from where it tracks.For example if the GFDL is right about this track the most bad weather should be east of New Orleans however those who live in New Orleans dont take this as a given and look at the official information from the NHC because this track that the GFDL is showing now at the next run it well may change.

[cycloneye]

Bumping this thread for those who haved not seen this GFDL 12z run..

[WeatherEmperor]

So does this really mean that NO will get it?

<RICKY>

[cycloneye]

So does this really mean that NO will get it?

<RICKY>

Whatever lies east of the center will get the most rains and gusty winds from this but again what I said in post above dont take this GFDL run as a given because the models change constantly in their tracks and also dont look at the center only.

[Sean in New Orleans]

I'm not overly concerned. It looks to be a big mess around here for the next three days, but, to be honest, we need rain so bad, it's ridiculous. As long as it doesn't fall all at once, but, is spread out over the next few days we could stand a good steady soaking of 10 to 12 inches, IMO....We're able to handle an inch an hour without any flooding concerns with our huge pumping system underneath the City.