Moving East

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Sanibel
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Moving East

#1 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:42 am

After reading several threads concerning this I had to open a new post. The center of this system is moving due east at this time from several different views of satellite loops. I observed the initiation of this last night in another post. NHC is simply wrong...
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:45 am

Yeah it does appear to be moving E or maybe ever so slightly ENE its still a bit hard to tell.

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:48 am

I will be interested in finding out if it is eastward motion or the circulation relocating more towards the convection. Developing stages can be deceiving at times.
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#4 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:49 am

If it is East.. that'd keep it over water a little longer perhaps and cause it to grow
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#5 Postby QueenBee » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:53 am

The clouds are being sheared east. The eye of the storm is still near the Texas coast.
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#6 Postby MGC » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:58 am

The exposed center appears to be moving ENE as far as I can tell.....Fla panhandle?............MGC
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#7 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:59 am

No. Dean and I agree the center has to be the center of the low level spiral clearly banded under the very western edge of the east-sliding convection mass. This is required by weather science.

You'll see NHC shift soon...
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#8 Postby QueenBee » Fri Oct 08, 2004 11:59 am

MGC prove it!
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:01 pm

QueenBee wrote:MGC prove it!


No offense but I dont think MGC has to prove anything. The satellite pics can speak for themselves. Just go to the visible loops and see them for yourself. It appears and hence the word appears to be drifting E or ENE.

<RICKY>
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#10 Postby Pigsnibble » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:09 pm

If you just look at the last 4 frames....it does appear that the convection is east of the the circulation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

But the whole mass looks to be moving eastish....or so it appears.
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Hmmmmm

#11 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:16 pm

This post sounds like it has a touch of W word
in it. Haven't you guys from Florida had enough
this season? :lol:
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#12 Postby Rainband » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:19 pm

Speaking for myself, yes we have.
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#13 Postby Guest » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:21 pm

Looks like the exposed circ is moving ESE Keys? We are in need of some decent surf.
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#14 Postby Pigsnibble » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:21 pm

Actually my tropical season has been somewhat typical.....and don't really anticipate anything changing that...including this.

Thought I was just stating my observations.

.....now move along, this isn't the W you'r looking for.
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#15 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:22 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
QueenBee wrote:MGC prove it!


No offense but I dont think MGC has to prove anything. The satellite pics can speak for themselves. Just go to the visible loops and see them for yourself. It appears and hence the word appears to be drifting E or ENE.

<RICKY>


yep. the most important thing about this system is where the convection is going not the center because there isnt going to be an eyewall or anything like that so i dont care if the center is heading due west the convenction now is heading ene or east. case closed. there is going to be rain and a little wind but nothing that anyone on the gulf coast hasnt seen before. again, it doesnt matter where the center is for this sytem..all that matters where the direction the shear is sending the rains.
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#16 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:25 pm

It's just a bunch of heavy rain...I don't really care where it goes...it's offering no winds, no damage, just a steady rain with embedded periods of heavy rain...I'm getting under its' weather.. really nasty weather.
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#17 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:26 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:It's just a bunch of heavy rain...I don't really care where it goes...it's offering no winds, no damage, just a steady rain with embedded periods of heavy rain...I'm getting under its' weather.. really nasty weather.


exactly what i have been saying
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#18 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:27 pm

The system is clearly moving east to anyone who knows how to read satellites. Others will have to wait for NHC to say it I guess.

My last look suggests a possibility of even a degree or so south of east in the last frame...
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#19 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:31 pm

I believe anyone saying there won't be an eyewall is taking the outlier with this development. Look at the burst. Deep blow-ups can be telegraphers of potential sometimes. Logic dictates hybrid rain systems are spread out and don't center burst.

The center has blown-off with shear, but is moving east. This will spin up if it either gains power or lessens in shear...
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#20 Postby chris_fit » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:34 pm

The convection on the east side looks mean if you ask me. If that ever wraps around we all could be shocked!
After all, we have been suprised many times this season already.
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