Officially TD#14 at 5 PM

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cycloneye
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Officially TD#14 at 5 PM

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:27 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

NRL changed it's heading from 95L.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:21 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:27 pm

=D
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#3 Postby P.K. » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:29 pm

:D Thought it had been too quiet lately. :lol:
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:29 pm

Yep and we saw it called here at STORM2K first-UNOFFICIALLY of course. Good job Luis and Mike!!
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#5 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:30 pm

Don't flood our rivers 14-storm!
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#6 Postby mascpa » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:30 pm

Somebody is going to get absolutely soaked from this rainmaker.
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Derek Ortt

#7 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:31 pm

most non-tropical TD I have ever seen
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#8 Postby mascpa » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:32 pm

It's been a very strange season though Derek so nothing surprises me anymore. BTW, fantastic job forecasting this season, Derek. I read and enjoy your posts immensely.
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#9 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:33 pm

Please discuss that in your discussions Derek. :)
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#10 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:40 pm

Not really Derek

Grace looked a lot worse....there is clearly a defined center...AND recon reports sustain tropical classification...

This really reminds me of Josephine 1996.
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#11 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:40 pm

Cool. 8-)
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#12 Postby Buck » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:42 pm

Finally... it took long enough to form.
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Derek Ortt

#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:48 pm

there was at least a warm core with grace and it was a separate feature. This looks too attached for my liking
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#14 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:50 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:there was at least a warm core with grace and it was a separate feature. This looks too attached for my liking


Yeah your right Derek. It looks very.....strange. But oh well who am I to argue against the NHC?

<RICKY>
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#15 Postby CFL » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:03 pm

I'm glad it's looking strange and not classic! The last classic storm that came in my area caused me a lot of trouble. :roll:
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#16 Postby sponger » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:24 pm

Not on board yet Ort? i can't argue as your record is solid. We will see what the 5pm discussion brings!
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400pm adv

#17 Postby jeff » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:27 pm

24.2n
93.8w
winds 30kts
E 10mph
1004mb

Forecast toward Fl panhandle
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Re: 400pm adv

#18 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:30 pm

jeff wrote:24.2n
93.8w
winds 30kts
E 10mph
1004mb

Forecast toward Fl panhandle


Is this official?
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#19 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:30 pm

Nothing from NHC yet.
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#20 Postby MWatkins » Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:33 pm

This was in another thread but also fits here so I did the old cut 'n' paste.

1. Recon is estimating that the max surface wind is 35 knots...a 41 knot wind does reduce close to TS strength but it will probably a TD at 5PM.

2. The core is 2 degrees warmer than the surrounding environment (although not exactly lined up..recon reported it to be a little more than 1/2 degree south of the estimated circulation center.

The warm core lends more support for a tropical vs. subtropical storm imho.

MW
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