First plots of models for 96L=Ship makes it a hurricane

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148502
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

First plots of models for 96L=Ship makes it a hurricane

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2004 7:53 pm

Code: Select all

  TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST     (AL962004) ON 20041009  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          041009  0000   041009  1200   041010  0000   041010  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    27.8N  60.0W   30.5N  60.7W   33.0N  61.9W   35.0N  62.7W
  BAMM    27.8N  60.0W   29.1N  61.6W   30.7N  63.5W   32.5N  65.4W
  A98E    27.8N  60.0W   29.1N  62.1W   31.0N  64.2W   33.5N  65.1W
  LBAR    27.8N  60.0W   29.6N  60.8W   31.3N  61.2W   33.1N  60.9W
  SHIP        25KTS          36KTS          48KTS          54KTS
  DSHP        25KTS          36KTS          48KTS          54KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          041011  0000   041012  0000   041013  0000   041014  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    37.3N  62.1W   45.0N  58.4W   49.8N  59.7W   52.4N  59.5W
  BAMM    34.1N  66.0W   39.0N  59.8W   43.4N  58.8W   46.0N  55.0W
  A98E    36.0N  64.1W   45.4N  57.2W   54.0N  48.6W   55.5N  25.7W
  LBAR    34.3N  59.8W   35.9N  55.0W   36.6N  49.0W   36.1N  45.7W
  SHIP        58KTS          66KTS          66KTS          59KTS
  DSHP        58KTS          66KTS          66KTS          59KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  27.8N LONCUR =  60.0W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
  LATM12 =  26.8N LONM12 =  57.7W DIRM12 = 296DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
  LATM24 =  25.8N LONM24 =  55.4W
  WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   20KT
  CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM



Bermuda will be very close to this system.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148502
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 08, 2004 8:01 pm

Image

Tonight the low pressure still is organizing slowly although the convection doesn't look too deep.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Oct 08, 2004 9:21 pm

5:30 TWO says a Subtropical storm could form in the next day or so, so it needs to be watched. Hopefully it won't affect anyone...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 255 guests