Heavy To Torrential Training Heading To New Orleans

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Sean in New Orleans
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Heavy To Torrential Training Heading To New Orleans

#1 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:32 am

Matthew may be have weakened over night and making a comeback this morning...this will be the cycle. Regardless, the system does and will continue to offer heavy to torrential rain. There is presently a training line heading to metro New Orleans would could offer a flooding situation for the area by mid-day if it continues to pummel heavy rain on the City for a repeated time. Who cares about a weak tropical storm??...all that really matters is what is falling from the sky on your area at a time from this system. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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#2 Postby Steve » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:38 am

Hey Sean,

I've been watching that line all morning myself. I guess some of it will loop back over the city, but if you look at the rainshield as a whole, it's almost through Baton Rouge. So unless Matthew went due north (and I think he's moving pretty obviously NE at the moment), we probably won't get into any serious flooding potential. Even when the convection fires off later on this afternoon and again tonight, I think we'll be too far west to see the worst rainfall he's got to offer. My guess would from Slidell to Mobile will get the most rain today, but we're really going to have to wait and see.

Steve
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#3 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:45 am

Maybe so, but, I'm watching. I think the center of circulation will likely make landfall around the Morgan City area, so we may have a break from precipitation after this line works through and then later on today see a return to rainfall. Only a relatively small area will see flooding rains from this system, so, let's just hope it isn't over the metro area. We've been lucky this season...we don't need any annoying heavy rain as a "last shot" with this hurricane season that could flood some cars in the City....
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#4 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Oct 09, 2004 9:25 am

Steve wrote:Hey Sean,

I've been watching that line all morning myself. I guess some of it will loop back over the city, but if you look at the rainshield as a whole, it's almost through Baton Rouge. So unless Matthew went due north (and I think he's moving pretty obviously NE at the moment), we probably won't get into any serious flooding potential. Even when the convection fires off later on this afternoon and again tonight, I think we'll be too far west to see the worst rainfall he's got to offer. My guess would from Slidell to Mobile will get the most rain today, but we're really going to have to wait and see.

Steve


There is a ton rain headed toward New Orleans from the south so you are not of the woods by a long shot. This will all wrap
around N.O. as the center of the TD or whatever approaches.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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