REBIRTH?.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

REBIRTH?.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:32 pm

Matt's looking much feistier this afternoon:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:38 pm

On the 18:15UTC i mean you cant tell me this thing is not much better organized then it was this morning. And to me it does look like a tropical storm. I dont know what recon is searching in.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:38 pm

A drop from 1003 to 999 MB in just the past few hours indicates to me that Matt is gathering strength. I expect the winds to reflect the pressure drop soon.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:39 pm

I agree, lilbump.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
~SirCane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 287
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:55 pm
Location: Pensacola, FL
Contact:
Contact ~SirCane

#5 Postby ~SirCane » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:41 pm

yikes :(
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#6 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:46 pm

Looks better than what bonnie looked as she was coming ashore on flordia.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#7 Postby dhweather » Sat Oct 09, 2004 1:49 pm

He's definately firing up!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
LaBreeze
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1497
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:57 pm
Location: SW Louisiana

#8 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:02 pm

He's heading NNE according to TWC.
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#9 Postby rockyman » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:10 pm

The center looks to be completely under the convection (or at least 80% under) as of 2pm CDT. Any word on shear tendencies?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Agua
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1138
Joined: Thu Jul 31, 2003 4:54 pm
Location: Biloxi, Mississippi

#10 Postby Agua » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:13 pm

Well, it looksl ike it's *trying* to get under the blob of convection to its east, though not very successful in its effort.
0 likes   
Top
DoctorHurricane2003

#11 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:14 pm

Very similar to Earl-1998....except Earl had more baroclinic sources to help increase wind speed....however, it is to note that the baroclinicity will INCREASE as Matthew moves closer to landfall.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TS Zack
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 925
Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2004 6:23 pm
Location: Louisiana
Contact:
Contact TS Zack

#12 Postby TS Zack » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:22 pm

Definitely strengthening.

I am getting reports from an offshore rig, winds sustained at 40mph gusts to 55mph.

Pressures are falling fairly significantly on all buoy's when earlier they were rising.

RECONN has found 35kt winds now and the satellite presentation is getting better with the Center moving under the CDO.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TS Zack
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 925
Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2004 6:23 pm
Location: Louisiana
Contact:
Contact TS Zack

#13 Postby TS Zack » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:22 pm

Definitely strengthening.

I am getting reports from an offshore rig, winds sustained at 40mph gusts to 55mph.

Pressures are falling fairly significantly on all buoy's when earlier they were rising.

RECONN has found 35kt winds now and the satellite presentation is getting better with the Center moving under the CDO.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#14 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Oct 09, 2004 2:42 pm

Pressure now down to 997 and that's a darn good drop today. No doubt that Matt is back!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: johngaltfla, ncforecaster89 and 87 guests