Shear in Gulf and West Caribbean favorable..

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Shear in Gulf and West Caribbean favorable..

#1 Postby Anonymous » Thu Oct 21, 2004 2:10 am

And lessening even more:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 2:20 am

Remember that is shear tendency. Shear in the Gulf and W Carib is actually quite stable where as the S Carib is increasing.

However, if you look at the actual shear figures, http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html, you'll see the Gulf is under shear of 30-50kt (highly unfavorable) and 15-20kt (marginally favorable) in the W Carib.
Last edited by senorpepr on Thu Oct 21, 2004 2:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 2:22 am

Image
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#4 Postby TS Zack » Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:54 am

Another trough will get close to the Gulf Coast this weekend which will continue to bring shear across much of the GOM and the Far W Carib. Only place for maybe some development in the Central & Western Caribbean and there it doesn't look to great.

I still don't see anything that will do much across the entire Atlantic.
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 21, 2004 11:52 am

This one could flash on with favorability.

We've had several weak attempts at waves down here in October. It's awfully warm here with 88*. 4* below the record high for the date. Humid.

I'll be watching it until it blows off...
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#6 Postby TS Zack » Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:35 pm

Look how much the shear has increased this afternoon.
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#7 Postby senorpepr » Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:45 pm

Yeah, there is still plenty of shear.
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