OK!!WHO STOLE FALL??

[Wnghs2007]

Heat index values over 100 forecasted for today, I love fall in the south .

OMG. Poor you I hate temps like that

[LAwxrgal]

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

[yoda]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

[Wnghs2007]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

Hmmmmm. Im coming to get it from you.

[yoda]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

Hmmmmm. Im coming to get it from you.

Go ahead. I would like some sun and 70 degree weather.

[Wnghs2007]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

Hmmmmm. Im coming to get it from you.

Go ahead. I would like some sun and 70 degree weather.

Thank you. Come ship it to me in a fed ex box. Ill pay for shipment when it gets here.

[yoda]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

Hmmmmm. Im coming to get it from you.

Go ahead. I would like some sun and 70 degree weather.

Thank you. Come ship it to me in a fed ex box. Ill pay for shipment when it gets here.

What if I do it this way?

[Wnghs2007]

:grr:

Another miserably hot day....90 degrees in late October? I thought this year was supposed to be cool. Ugh.

Where's the weather?

I have it.... sorry. It was 55 degrees here today.

Hmmmmm. Im coming to get it from you.

Go ahead. I would like some sun and 70 degree weather.

Thank you. Come ship it to me in a fed ex box. Ill pay for shipment when it gets here.

What if I do it this way?

Thanks

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
635 AM CDT FRI OCT 22 2004

MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON GOOD RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT AS A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT MOVES INTO A MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.
0Z FWD SOUNDING ALREADY INDICATED CAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG...WHICH
SHOULD ADD CONFIDENCE TO ETA/GFS FORECAST OF POCKETS OF CAPE NEAR
OR ABOVE 2000 J/KG. CAP WILL BEGIN TO ERODE DURING THE DAY DUE TO
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFTING...SPECIFICALLY DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND
Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE. ELEVATED CONVECTION ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS
WEST TEXAS AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE CWA THIS MORNING.
CONVECTION WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED THIS AFTERNOON AND GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE 0-6 KM SHEAR INCREASING TO 40-60KT...SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...DIMINISHED CIN SUGGESTS DOMINANT
CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY BE LINEAR IN NATURE WITH BOWING SEGMENTS
POSSIBLE. WILL INCLUDE SEVERE IN ALL ZONES...FOR HAIL/WIND THREATS
GIVEN THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE FAIRLY WEAK AND
THEREFORE TORNADO THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. CONCERNING
HEAVY RAINFALL...ETA/GFS SHOW 850 MB SSWLY WINDS INCREASING AFTER
SUNSET WHICH WOULD LEAD TO SLOWER SQUALL LINE MOVEMENT/TRAINING
ECHOS OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CWA. COULD BE SOME VERY EFFICIENT
RAIN MAKING HP SUPERCELLS...BUT GROUND IS DRY AND SHOULD LIMIT THE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING POTENTIAL. HPC SHOWS .75-1.5" QPF THRU SAT.

NO REAL ARGUMENTS WITH MOS CONSENSUS FOR TEMPS...AND WILL GO WITH
POPS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE MET/MAV GIVEN THE GOOD AGREEMENT
BETWEEN THE MODELS. BROUGHT LIKELY POPS INTO THE NW THIS
AFTERNOON...AND CARRIED HIGHEST POPS THROUGH THE NORTHERN CWA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA AND
BECOMES DIFFUSE AND WILL CONTINUE LOW POP FORECASTS THIS WEEKEND.
FRONT LIFTS NORTH AND WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS FOR SUN-MON...BUT THESE
MAY NEED TO BE RAISED SINCE THE 0Z UKMET IS WETTER SUNDAY EVENING.
LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST COAST WHICH WILL
KEEP WX WARM/MOIST THROUGH THURSDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES LIKELY...
BUT GFS STILL THE OUTLIER WITH A VERY WET FORECAST NEXT WEEK. WILL
CONTINUE OUR FORECAST OF TEMPS ABOVE THE MEX AND DRY TUE-WED. UPPER
TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO TX BY THURS AND SLIGHT CHANCE IS GOOD. TR/92

[HalloweenGale]

no i stole it!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Stephanie]

Fall is alive and kickin' in the Mid Atlantic. It's been cloudy, rainy and raw today and only in the mid-50's.

The colors are starting to peak. It is a beautiful time of the year!

[HalloweenGale]

better hold onto those leaves, big storm coming!!!!!!!!!

[Stephanie]

better hold onto those leaves, big storm coming!!!!!!!!!

I know! It ALWAYS happens!

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
336 PM CDT FRI OCT 22 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP AND ACCELERATING IT
EASTWARD THROUGH THE FIRST 24 HOURS...WITH THE GFS APPEARING TO BE
THE SLOWEST OF THE GROUP. OUR FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS SOLUTION MORE
THAN THE OTHERS...ALTHOUGH WE ARE EVEN SLOWER WITH THE PRECIP
THROUGH TONIGHT. AFTER THAT...THE QUESTION REMAINS AS TO THE
WHEREABOUTS OF THE FRONT/BOUNDARY THAT IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO OUR
SOUTHERN ZONES. WE WILL PUSH IT TO OUR SRN CWA BORDER SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEN BRING IT BACK NORTH SUNDAY ALONG WITH RAIN.

PWS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE REGION AND WE ANTICIPATE SOME OF THE
STORMS TO BE EFFICIENT RAIN MAKERS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...WE HAVE
REFRAINED FROM ISSUING A WATCH AT THIS TIME. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES ARE HIGH ENOUGH DUE TO LACK OF RECENT RAINS...AND WE FEEL
THAT ANY PROBLEMS WILL BE ISOLATED AND LOCALIZED...NOT WIDESPREAD.
URBAN AREAS...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING WITH THE COMMUTE...WILL LIKELY
SEE PROBLEMS IN THE USUAL AREAS.

FOR NOW...ONGOING CONVECTION WILL ALSO CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES THIS EVENING AS IT SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF I-35...MOVING INTO EASTERN PORTIONS BY
LATE EVENING.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED AS SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS
CLOSE AT HAND WITH PERIODIC WAVES MOVING THROUGH AND AFFECTING OUR
REGION. TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN EXPECTED.

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
445 AM CDT THU OCT 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...
STRATUS HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA ONCE AGAIN THIS MORNING...WITH
REMNANTS OF EARLIER CONVECTION NOW MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN GULF...BUT WITH A GOOD DEAL OF
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
TEXAS. GIVEN AVAILABILITY OF SUFFICIENT LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND
LACK OF A WELL-DEFINED INVERSION ON MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS...WE
WILL INSERT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR ALL AREAS TODAY...WITH A SIMILAR
SCENARIO EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NEVADA/CALIFORNIA IS PROGGED BY SHORT
TERM MODELS TO SHEAR AND WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT MOVES EWD INTO
STRONG RIDGING OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA...
BEGINNING IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES ON FRIDAY NIGHT. WEAK CONVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY...COUPLED WITH AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST THAT A BROKEN LINE OF
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS IT SAGS SWD
EARLY ON SATURDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL RETURN NWD RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY
NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING...AS STRONG LEE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS IN ADVANCE
OF NEXT UPPER SYSTEM. WE WILL INCLUDE CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY
MORNING...FOR ANY CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL JET AND WARM ADVECTION.

AN ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK...AS THE FIRST REAL BLAST
OF COLD AIR APPEARS ON SCHEDULE TO ARRIVE ON MONDAY MORNING. THE
ECMWF/GFS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AND WE WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE WARM SECTOR ON SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG BUT NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES FAVOR AN INTENSE SQUALL LINE ALONG THE EWD
MOVING DRYLINE...WITH SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING A POSSIBILITY.
DRY/COOL/QUIET WEATHER SHOULD LAST FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Im wondering the same thing. We have alot of snow in our mountains, and Winter Like Systems coming into Southern California. Heck, im not complaning!

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
525 AM CST TUE NOV 2 2004


.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE REGION...WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES
DECREASING TONIGHT BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTH
WINDS WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIRMASS INTO NORTH TEXAS...EVENTUALLY
DRYING THE REGION OUT. WIND SPEEDS TODAY WILL REQUIRE WIND ADVISORY
THAT WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

AN APPROACHING UPPER LOW WILL KICK OUT THE ONE CURRENTLY OVER W
TX...THEN DROP SOUTH OFF THE CA. COAST FOR A FEW DAYS. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. GIVING US A NICE
STRETCH OF COOL AND DRY WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK.

[GalvestonDuck]

I think I smell fall coming around the corner.

FINALLY!

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Yup another storm approaching my coast soon! awesome weather, im loving it! Its definetly winter like. Santa Ana Winds are most common in winter, and we had a deluge yesterday.

[vbhoutex]

I think I smell fall coming around the corner.

FINALLY!

Sure appears to be the case today!!! Let's see if the forecast holds or if it falls apart like so many times before. If it holds-70's-40's and 50's for the next week, then I will believe that fall has finally arrived.