Code: Select all
WTIO22 FMEE 251226
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/10/2004 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 25/10/2004 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1004 HPA
POSITION: 8.4S / 59.9E
(EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 10 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE
, REACHING 25/30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE
TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2004/10/26 AT 00 UTC:
8.5S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2004/10/26 AT 12 UTC:
8.5S / 55.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.5+.CI=2.0-.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARDS DURING ALL THE PERIODE ON THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY REGULAR WARNINGS.
