GFS fantasy Image of the night!

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Wnghs2007
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GFS fantasy Image of the night!

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:36 pm

Image
Image
Image
Image
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#2 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:40 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...8/fp0_276.shtml
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#3 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:40 pm

That looks ridiculous. -12 850 MB hgts in AL? Don't think so...
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#4 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:41 pm

Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL
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#5 Postby wxguy25 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:42 pm

<------ Yawns.

Looks like the GFS's typical Bias of overphasing east of the rockies.
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#6 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:43 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL


Yes. I just can't see that happening. What is interesting is that there is VERY WARM air in the MA and NE.

:roflmao: Wxguy25
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#7 Postby wxguy25 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:49 pm

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL


Yes. I just can't see that happening. What is interesting is that there is VERY WARM air in the MA and NE.

:roflmao: Wxguy25


well at least it has somewhat the right idea here. We have NO PNA ridge (infact we have a strong PAC jet firehose), NO -NAO, I cant find any 50-50 low, and the PV is out of the picture...so that would mean the system would be able to run inland. On that front Kudos to the GFS for not painting the usual--once in every three runs--1993 superstorm in spite of the aforesaid factors going againt it.

But even still you can clearly see the GFS over phasing bias at work here.
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#8 Postby storm4u » Wed Oct 27, 2004 3:37 am

def over phasing it would snow all the way to the gulf coast not gunna happen would be great if it did though! 8-)
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#9 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:49 am

Next run, the 6z steps to the plate and ... oh, the horror ... the fantasy is gone ...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...6/fp0_264.shtml
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