GFS fantasy Image of the night!

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

GFS fantasy Image of the night!

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:36 pm

Image
Image
Image
Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#2 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:40 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...8/fp0_276.shtml
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

#3 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:40 pm

That looks ridiculous. -12 850 MB hgts in AL? Don't think so...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#4 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:41 pm

Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxguy25
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 708
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 4:44 pm
Location: East Central Florida
Contact:
Contact wxguy25

#5 Postby wxguy25 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:42 pm

<------ Yawns.

Looks like the GFS's typical Bias of overphasing east of the rockies.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

#6 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:43 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL


Yes. I just can't see that happening. What is interesting is that there is VERY WARM air in the MA and NE.

:roflmao: Wxguy25
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxguy25
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 708
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 4:44 pm
Location: East Central Florida
Contact:
Contact wxguy25

#7 Postby wxguy25 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 10:49 pm

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:Well if this were more like 06 hrs from this scenario and it were actually happening that would have to be a very strong cold ULL


Yes. I just can't see that happening. What is interesting is that there is VERY WARM air in the MA and NE.

:roflmao: Wxguy25


well at least it has somewhat the right idea here. We have NO PNA ridge (infact we have a strong PAC jet firehose), NO -NAO, I cant find any 50-50 low, and the PV is out of the picture...so that would mean the system would be able to run inland. On that front Kudos to the GFS for not painting the usual--once in every three runs--1993 superstorm in spite of the aforesaid factors going againt it.

But even still you can clearly see the GFS over phasing bias at work here.
0 likes   
Top
storm4u
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 651
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 7:26 am
Location: agawam, ma
Contact:
Contact storm4u

#8 Postby storm4u » Wed Oct 27, 2004 3:37 am

def over phasing it would snow all the way to the gulf coast not gunna happen would be great if it did though! 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#9 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:49 am

Next run, the 6z steps to the plate and ... oh, the horror ... the fantasy is gone ...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nw...6/fp0_264.shtml
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests