BigEyedFish wrote:Very nice forecast. If you compare this one to Don's...
1. Your predicting more cold (-4)
2. More snow (+175%)
DC still seems to be the odd man out in the snow department...
Don= 12-17
USA= 15-25
USA prediction falls in the average zone for DC...
I certainly see this as a snowy year in DC compared to last year and should be 25+ IMO... In addition, the North-west suburbs of DC, including IAD, Loudoun, Clarke, Frederick counties, and Martinsburg, WV, Hagerstown, MD, the I-81 corridor could easily see 36-40+ this winter.
I went pretty conservative in the I-95 corridor, and gave larger ranges due to the uncertainty. But like I said, it may only take one system to bring DCA up to the 25” march and cause me to bust—and that’s the foremost concern here. This is one of the years where IMO its MUCH…MUCH…MUCH more likely that DCA will exceed or for that matter far exceed the predicted totals vs. a winter where its more likely a forecast will bust too low for that part of the I-95 corridor. Those totals will be refined when I Update the winter forecast for FEB-MAR in early January.
I have a 10” spread for DCA instead of only a 5” spread for BWI where the certainty in above normal snowfall is much clearer, once into PHL its pretty much a given for above normal snow.