Model Guidance about Low (No Threat to Florida)

[cycloneye]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

The Nogaps is the model that shows a very strong low in the atlantic.But IMO it will be a gale center or at the most a subtropical system.The CMC,UKMET,GFS models shows a much weaker low moving across Puerto Rico into the atlantic.Let's see in future runs from these models what solutions they have but I dont see this forming into a pure tropical entity.For those who live in Florida or up the east coast dont worrie about this because it wont go west.

Below is what the 00z UKMET scenario is.

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 22.8N 60.8W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 11.11.2004 22.8N 60.8W WEAK

12UTC 11.11.2004 22.7N 59.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 12.11.2004 21.2N 58.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 12.11.2004 21.7N 56.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 13.11.2004 22.8N 54.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 13.11.2004 23.7N 53.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 14.11.2004 25.9N 52.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY