*Lili was October 1-3 in Gulf...as was Hilda....
*Lili weakened from a category 4 to a category 2...Hilda did the same
*Both crossed western Cuba, turned North and Hit Mid-Louisiana
*Both formed in late September and hit in Early October
When will Jeanne report come out?
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HurricaneBill
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Derek Ortt wrote:had charley have hit tampa, it would not have hit Orlando, Daytona, and the Carolinas. Florida got a wash with that one.
A wash also with Frances as although it came in at 90-95KT, the thing wouldnt go away, so the damage was much higher than would be expected for a strong cat 2 storm (damage was quite a bit more than the damage from Hugo)
the sudden collapse of Ivan saved some hyde, but the surge didnt collapse, plus, that area is extremely surge and wave prone anyways, which is why Georges produced a comparable surge
Jeanne: the hyde was spared big time. That had me conceding the 100 billion dollar cane. Thank you God for the EWRC and the increase in size resulting in the beta effect sparing the cities of Miami, Ft Lauderale and West Palm
Derek -
I agree with your overall analysis except that I beleive you have overestimated the collapse of Ivan. Perhaps we need more research into the differences between strenghtening vs. weakening systems to get the most accurate analysis. Using Jeanne vs. Ivan as examples, it is certainly something to think about, IMO.
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Derek Ortt
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