Squall Line!

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

SG gthat cell is dying, and it looksl ike it will track to your NW a bit.

[vbhoutex]

Very pronounced hook just N of Victoria now. No confirmations yet but last time I saw one lik hat there was a twister on the ground. It is tracking towards the Southern metro area. I hope the apparent weakening of the area tracking along I-10 is indeed that and that it coninues! Anyway we look at it the entire metro ara will get some strong storminess out of this!!

[Stormsfury]

BTW, SG ... that small cell west of Beaumont has an associated MESO! ...

SF

Ok thanks. What should that mean to me? lol

Means that discrete cell is ROTATING ...

SF

[Stormsfury]

Don't be lulled into a false sense just yet ... strong convergence lies (almost stationary) right across where that little quick hitting cell just popped up (tail end of the squall line earlier) and it is just WAITING for the next piece of energy (squall line) to meet up ... I DON'T LIKE THIS AT ALL ...

SF

[southerngale]

Ok, thanks Tornado Chaser and SF. If it's dying, no worries with that one now. It's the big daddy behind it I'm worried about!

I'm not sure it's to my NW though...it's raining light here. I'm located basically along the Jefferson Couny, Hardin County line.

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Well it seems the first line is getting weaker, and i see the energy being sucked into the extreme southern part of it. Thats where a tornado will be most likely. Its even spinning on radar.

[southerngale]

Don't be lulled into a false sense just yet ... strong convergence lies (almost stationary) right across where that little quick hitting cell just popped up (tail end of the squall line earlier) and it is just WAITING for the next piece of energy (squall line) to meet up ... I DON'T LIKE THIS AT ALL ...

SF

What do you mean? Don't like what? Something more than just that squall line? Please explain further for the meteorogically challenged.

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Ok well this is what im seeing. The scatter stuff on radar, actually comes in handy. I use this very often to see if its inflow or outflow. I see the debris on radar getting pushed away from the squalline, suggesting strong winds in the central part. however, im seeing the debris going INTO the line in the southern part. that suggest inflow, and possible rotation, because of it. Thios southern end is now turning toward houston, probably like a left moving Supercell.

[Stormsfury]

That area of convergence isn't moving, it is POSSIBLE that as the squall line charges eastward ... rapidly, convergence will be further enhanced along that boundary, intensifying the squall line even FURTHER just about the time it gets to Beaumont ...

Also, activity will possibly begin to fire in earnest just ahead of the squall line as it gets closer, with the possibility of discrete supercells just out ahead of this charging squall line ... much like we saw just a few hours earlier with some of the long-track supercells from the first batch ...

SF

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

people in the Wharton area should consider taking cover soon, because that supercell embedded is going to go right voer them, also the hook echo part.

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Woah wait a minute, I just noticed an inflow rotation and its north of the southern one. It is coming right for houston..

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

My areas of concern, and the top one is moving straight for Houston.

[Houstonia]

358
WFUS54 KHGX 240308
TORHGX
TXC481-240400-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
908 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1000 PM CST

* AT 903 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EL CAMPO...
PIERCE...
EGYPT...
WHARTON...
HUNGERFORD...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2923 9663 2908 9642 2920 9595 2957 9614

$$

[Anonymous]

One thing I don't like about nighttime is that the jet gets stronger. Man, I pray that this thing WEAKENS!!!


-Jeb

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

More analysis im doing on this. The southern end sure got stronger as I expected, and the central weakened alot. I looking at the following things happening. We have 2 sections of the south end getting stronger. They will intersect each other west of richmond about 25 miles, and then guess what? They are heading straight for Houston Metro. Still showing a strong inflow wind and hook.

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

I got a hold of as monay people i could from Wharton online, and warned them. MOst didnt know about it, some did, and the people I got a hold of, said they are taking their family down to the shelter, this hook is heading right over wharton soon.

[Stormsfury]

Even worse, Craven SigSvr indices are now exceeding 80 (80,000 m3/s3) just W OF HGX (Houston-Galveston) ... extremely volatile ...

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Wharton is going to be the rotation head on. Take a look at this radar image zoomed into the cell. You can see this hook has now a Captain Hook look to it, bending at 180 degrees!

[Stormsfury]

Squall line littered with large hail and rotation (MESOS/3DC SHRS ... one TVS when this image was saved ...)



SF

[Tornado_Chaser2005]

Just as I said before, the southern 2 cells, have now merged just west of richmond, and they will head into houston, watch out Houston.