nearly a depression

[Derek Ortt]

based upon latest sat images, 93L is very nearly a TD or an STD. Convection has fired near the core and is wrapping around the western side. If these trends continue, we should see a depression or a storm by tomorrow morning

[Stormsfury]

It's gotta hurry ... the SBJ and the cold front associated with the strong storm system responsible for all the tornadoes/SVR WX in the Deep South thru the OV is racing eastward towards the invest ...

FWIW, if a designation is assigned, it'll probably be a subtropical storm, IMHO ...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Scorpion]

Come on Otto! You can do it!

[MGC]

Convection looks to be wrapping the center....I'd go with tropical if this trend continues.....another late season system?.......MGC

[Hurricanehink]

Possible tropical, though I would guess Subtropical. Wow, possible late-season system.

[Derek Ortt]

just soemthing to consider

there have been 4 named storms in december the last 6 seasons. Best not to go anywhere anytime soon (at least until dec 15). I wonder if the milenkovich cycle has shifted the seasons later (as is done about every 500 years or so)

[george_r_1961]

This gale center still has a chance to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone but the window is closing fast. Mother Nature might give us one more named storm to end this very active season.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This system is looking more tropical every time I look at it. Expect a tropical storm tomarrow morning

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 270307
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST FRI NOV 26 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

EVENING SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED
WITH A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE WESTERN AZORES HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. IF CURRENT
TRENDS CONTINUE...A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM
SATURDAY OR SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

[HurricaneBill]

Did Hurricane Lili in 1984 form in a similar situation?

[Huckster]

just soemthing to consider

there have been 4 named storms in december the last 6 seasons. Best not to go anywhere anytime soon (at least until dec 15). I wonder if the milenkovich cycle has shifted the seasons later (as is done about every 500 years or so)

Derek, could you please explain what you mean? I haven't ever heard of this before, and I doubt many others here have either. I am talking about this cycle.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It appears to be forming a cdo over the center. I expect Otto to be here soon...

[hurricanefreak1988]

I hope this thing forms, because if it does, I'll be serving ya'll crow for the next few days.

[MGC]

The cycle Derek is refering to involves the orbit of the earth and the tilt axis of the earth and a couple of more parameters I can't recall. Some people claim it is responsible for ice ages and the current warming trend the earth has been on.......MGC

[Stormsfury]

Did Hurricane Lili in 1984 form in a similar situation?

Sort of ... but Lili formed along the tail end of the old cold front, and 93L originates from a storm system become occluded and losing its frontal structure ...

[img]ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archives/atlantic/prelimat/atl1984/lili/prelim01.gif[/img]
[img]ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archives/atlantic/prelimat/atl1984/lili/prelim02.gif[/img]
[img]ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archives/atlantic/prelimat/atl1984/lili/prelim05.gif[/img]

SF

[Wnghs2007]

I hope this thing forms, because if it does, I'll be serving ya'll crow for the next few days.

Looks like unless something changes you can keep your crow in your fridge.