.Freezing in Houston!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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PTrackerLA
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Forecasted low for tonight is 35-36 but we're already at 39 and the dewpoint is still just 17 degrees. I have a feeling we might touch the freezing mark later tonight before gradually warming towards daybreak as the flow starts to come off of the gulf. Probably another frost to reinforce that nice brown color the grass mysteriously turned today .
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WhiteShirt wrote:jeff wrote:My goodness does next week look interesting.
How interesting?
The GFS and to a degree the EURO show a sig. pattern amplification by the middle of next week. The E PAC ridge builds in Alaska and dislodges bitter cold arctic air over northern Russia and Siberia. The trend today has been for a more westward position of this ridge allowing the downstream trough to be curved from roughly central MT through W TX and then deep into the Gulf and up the E coast. 500mb heights are forecsted to be 100-250m below average east of the Rockies by the 25-26th
The pattern setup supports the delivery of very cold air deep into the US. Glancing blows this weekend will drop more east of TX but severely affect the E US. The pattern does support a strong Nor'easter up the US east coast, but that is a whole other subject itself.
Given the polar jet setup I would be surprised if there were not strong short waves that dropped SSE and SE through the mean trough with precip over the southern plains and Gulf coast in the cold air. The GFS seems to believe one such short wave will spawn a strong surface low in the W GOM on the 26th and then carrry it toward the FL panhandle. The GFS is likely over doing the event, but even a portion of its solution would bring winter precip to areas that rarely see it.
I would like to see 2-3 more consistent runs before going full ahead with the big cold air outbreak. The winter precip. will come down to the point of when it starts to fall. This far south I am very hesitant to buy into winter weather solutions even within 24 hours.
GFS forecast for KIAH for the 26th.
High of 25 with .44 liquid inches of snow.
Jeff L
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Yankeegirl
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southerngale
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YankeeGirl wrote:Ok.. Wait.. Did you just say the high temps for December the 26 is 25 with .44 inches of snow in Houston? I just want to make sure I am reading this right... Thanks!
The new 00z runs has a high of 17 with .2 inches of liquid snow. Zero to sub zero temps as far as central TX the 26 and 27th.
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southerngale
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