You guys dont give up. The 0z run of the GFS has the Christmas wintry precip possibility back along the Gulf coast. Looks like the GFS has come full circle on that event. It showed it for several runs last week, and now it's back. This is something that will have to be watched closely over the next several days. But, the possibility is definately there.
0z GFS 114hrs
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _114.shtml
Meanwhile, it looks like the NE corner of the state could get hit pretty hard Wednesday night into Thursday. This has the potential to be a significant event.
0z GFS 72hr
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _072.shtml
White Christmas in SE Texas..
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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aggiecutter
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White Christmas in SE Texas..
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wxguy25
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On a related issue, the GFS is back to the idea of trying to keep the STJ s/w energy separate from the main piece which heads up into Canada.
As such it develops a weak wave along the front on the 25th BUT this is nowhere near the likes of yesterday's 12z ECMWF.
Tonight's 12z ECMWF was doing the same, however too late to have much of an effect on the US.
Folks in the South -- this is GOOD NEWS
As such it develops a weak wave along the front on the 25th BUT this is nowhere near the likes of yesterday's 12z ECMWF.
Tonight's 12z ECMWF was doing the same, however too late to have much of an effect on the US.
Folks in the South -- this is GOOD NEWS
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vbhoutex
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Looking further down the road I could swear we have moved about 200 miles North! Looking at the extended MOS graphs for Houston we also have a chance of snow shown on the 30th of Dec. and the 4th of Jan. I know this is way too far out to really look at in detail, but again would it not be wild if any of this verifies. Also showing very cold weather for us throughout that period. To say the least I will be continuing to watch closely and will be looking even closer once we get to the 23rd and beyond!
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Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
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Yankeegirl
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Please santa, bring me some snow! I have been a good little girl all year!! -
Yankeegirl
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NWS Mobile is interested in things to come. This is the first mention they've made of the possibility.
525 to 535 Th values? Thats cold enough. the 1000-700mb chart seems a better tool to me, though.... We'll see.
.EXTENDED...CHALLENGE IN EXTENDED IS PRECIPITATION TYPE FRIDAY
NIGHT. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES HAVE CAME IN QUITE COLD FOR SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH 40 TO 60 POPS. THIS AIR MASS WILL BE
QUITE COLD...1000-500MB THICKNESS VALUES BETWEEN 525 AND 535. FOR
NOW WILL FIGURE THE RAIN WILL END BEFORE THE COLDEST AIR
ARRIVES...BUT WOULD NOT BE SUPRISED TO SEE SOME WINTER TYPE
PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME...WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT MULL THIS
OVER AS ITS STILL 5 DAYS OUT. NO QUICK WARMUP AFTER FRIDAYS
FRONT...WEEKEND LOOKS TO REMAIN COLD.
525 to 535 Th values? Thats cold enough. the 1000-700mb chart seems a better tool to me, though.... We'll see.
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southerngale
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Portastorm
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You folks in eastern Texas and further into the Southeast are going to get giddy over today's Extended Forecast out of Washington.
Here is a snippet:
...GULF STATES...
POTENTIAL EXISTS DAY 4 FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ACROSS ERN
TX...WRN LA..AND NRN MS AND AL. A THIN SLIVER OF ICE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ON THE SRN EDGE OF THE SNOW AREA...WITH A COLD RAIN
ELSEWHERE.
Here is a snippet:
...GULF STATES...
POTENTIAL EXISTS DAY 4 FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ACROSS ERN
TX...WRN LA..AND NRN MS AND AL. A THIN SLIVER OF ICE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ON THE SRN EDGE OF THE SNOW AREA...WITH A COLD RAIN
ELSEWHERE.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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