#2 Postby azsnowman » Thu Jan 06, 2005 6:22 pm
Here's the whole NAFD:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FXUS65 KFGZ 062214 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF 310 PM MST THU JAN 06 2005 .SYNOPSIS...A COLD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF OUR FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS ALIGNED ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. THIS FEATURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD DURING THE NIGHT AND A FEW SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN AREAS NEAR THE UTAH BORDER. IN THE MEANTIME...A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE DEEPENING AND DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL SEND NUMEROUS EMBEDDED IMPULSES OF ENERGY AND INCREASED MOISTURE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO THE EARLY PORTIONS OF THE COMING WEEK...BEFORE IT LIKELY MOVES EAST ACROSS ARIZONA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST OF THESE DISTURBANCES WILL TAKE PLACE BY LATE FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. DAILY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS APPROACHING AN INCH AND A HALF...WITH SOME TAKING PLACE AS HIGH ELEVATION SNOW...ARE VERY POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SPSFGZ) TO SPECIFY POTENTIAL DANGERS INCLUDING FLOODING OF OUR SOUTHERN VALLEYS AND SNOWFALLS FOR OUR HIGHER TERRAIN. PROBLEM CHILD OF CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE CONTINUES TO BE SNOW LEVELS. SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OUR MORE POPULOUS TERRAIN OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WITH VALUES NEAR 6500-7000 FEET FOR THE FIRST BATCH OF PRECIP. KEEPING AFTERNOON TEMPS A FEW DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH EXTENDED FORECAST. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE
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