aggiecutter:
The gfs is just I don't even know what to say about it-for two days on every run it had me in a fairly good snow event Monday-then on the 06z run today it is gone and to top that off, it put me in the 50's by Wed. on the 06z, 12z and 18z runs-then, as you say, on the 0z run it still has all the precip. gone, but then it brings back the cold all the way till Friday. I really do not know how a met. makes a forcast past day 7 at least for this area from the months of November-March. As has been stated in this thread, the models are really having trouble with this cold air-even the euro!! Another case in point: all the models had me out of precip. by early this evening-but now, there is snow begining to develop to the west of me-we shall see what happens!!!
It's -65F at Burwash Airport in NW Yukon Terr.
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If you want to get even more confused, checkout the 0z run of the Canadian. It has a 1050mb+ monster heading down the plains mid to late next week. At the sametime, the 12z run of the EURO has the chinook running wild across the plains.
0z Canadian...checkout hrs 144-192
http://meteocentre.com/models/modelsgem.html
0z Canadian...checkout hrs 144-192
http://meteocentre.com/models/modelsgem.html
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WOW!!! That would be colder than this weekend-If I remember correctly, the gfs had a solution similar to this 4 days ago for that time frame then of course lost it. I truly believe in the euro-but I think, and remember I'm just a Latin teacher, that the euro is really taking this cold to far east to quickly (I must admit, I don't like the solution of the euro-i hate chinook winds in the winter-I get enough warm sunny windy days from March-October-but unfort. I can't ignore it's solutions as afairly good possibility) However, I still like the points presented in this thread and the euro has been off for my area the past couple of weeks-the Canadian needs to be watched for sure!! By the way, if you look on sat. images, you can see the leading edgs of the first arctic surge in Montana!!
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