Checkout the current temps

[aggiecutter]

in the Yukon territories...

http://www.weatherunderground.com/global/CA_YK.html

[PurdueWx80]

Mayo...mmmm. I mean...BRRRR!!!!

[sertorius]

It is cold!!!! Look at the sat. images in Montana-you can see the first hints of the arctic front!!!!

[Yankeegirl]

The front is through here!! as of 1 am cst its 56.5!!!

[vbhoutex]

56.9º here and we've had .83" of rain

[Yankeegirl]

your up late VB! Come into the chat!

[Air Force Met]

in the Yukon territories...

http://www.weatherunderground.com/global/CA_YK.html

THe cold air is beginning it's slide south. The pressure is up to near 1054 on the high...maybe a little higher. -30F temps are just north of the Montana border and heading south as I type.

[Portastorm]

Hope you guys are right as I'm beginning to lose confidence in the idea that we will see 15-20 below seasonal norms here in central Texas.

But I'm trying to keep the faith!!

[Yankeegirl]

Its chilly out! its 46 here !

[vbhoutex]

Hope you guys are right as I'm beginning to lose confidence in the idea that we will see 15-20 below seasonal norms here in central Texas.

But I'm trying to keep the faith!!

It doesn't mean it will happen, but with this same scenario I have seen it slide right on in and slap us COLD over and over again!! ASLKahuna said it best in that when the cold air is as strong and dense as this is it will go right where it wants to. It is almost a straight shot from Montana to here and attm I don't see any incoming systems from the West to change its' course. Most of the time when we have a really cold shot here in SE TX it comes from the Montana area(and I don't mean originating there).

[GalvestonDuck]

The cold hasn't reached here yet.

[Kelarie]

I know what you mean Portastorm, the forecasters here in Austin have the highs in the 50s/60s with lows in the 30s/40s. Are the going to be way off base?

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Hope you guys are right as I'm beginning to lose confidence in the idea that we will see 15-20 below seasonal norms here in central Texas.

But I'm trying to keep the faith!!

It doesn't mean it will happen, but with this same scenario I have seen it slide right on in and slap us COLD over and over again!! ASLKahuna said it best in that when the cold air is as strong and dense as this is it will go right where it wants to. It is almost a straight shot from Montana to here and attm I don't see any incoming systems from the West to change its' course. Most of the time when we have a really cold shot here in SE TX it comes from the Montana area(and I don't mean originating there).

Very True. If you read the some of the NWS AFD's this AM you will see some of the offices are still unceratain about this weekend and early next week. This very well could be a scenerio were they change temp forecasts by the hour sort of like what they had to do with the Christmas outbreak down here. We shall see.

Still, a knock down in the temps in the 50's for a few days is still better than the 80's and 30 + MPH winds of the past few days.

[Air Force Met]

We are at 51 and falling here at Ellington...with lots of CAA still coming in. You can really see the arctic air coming down now on the IR loop and -30F temps are now at the Montana border.

The leading edge of the arctic surge is in central NE. The temp in Hill City, KS is 22F...and just to the north in North Platte, NE it is 1F.

That's a pretty steep gradient. I also want to point out (with all the talk earlier about near normal or a little below normal temps) that the avg high at north platte for today is 36. They will be lucky to get to 10...and I think they may have already maxed out given the strong CAA. So...best case scenario is they are 25 degrees below normal today in teh central plains.


Brrrrrr.

[Portastorm]

Here in Austin, TX, we started the day (right after midnight) at 69. Dropped to a low of 46 and now are at 49 as of 10 a.m.

[creisored]

Duluth MN as of 11 AM:

-4 below
Windchill -28

Forecast:
Thursday Night Lo -21°F

Friday Hi -2°F
Friday Night Lo -23°F

Saturday Hi -12°F
Saturday Night Lo -27°F

Sunday Hi -8°F
Sunday Night Lo -22°F

[WXextreme]

We are at 51 and falling here at Ellington...with lots of CAA still coming in. You can really see the arctic air coming down now on the IR loop and -30F temps are now at the Montana border.

The leading edge of the arctic surge is in central NE. The temp in Hill City, KS is 22F...and just to the north in North Platte, NE it is 1F.

That's a pretty steep gradient. I also want to point out (with all the talk earlier about near normal or a little below normal temps) that the avg high at north platte for today is 36. They will be lucky to get to 10...and I think they may have already maxed out given the strong CAA. So...best case scenario is they are 25 degrees below normal today in teh central plains.


Brrrrrr.

AFM, our local MET in New Orleans has lowered his daytime highs for Tuesday 18th to mid 40's. and low of freezing.
Are models beginning to trend in that direction?

Thanks,
Hope

[Portastorm]

Sounds like the Fort Worth NWS mets are struggling with the same question. Read their late morning discussion update below:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 AM CST THU JAN 13 2005

.UPDATE...
CANCELING WIND ADVISORY...WILL PUT 15 TO 25 IN THE ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON. DROPPED AFTERNOON HIGHS ABOUT A DEGREE...JUST A TWEAK
REALLY. ALSO DROPPED TOMORROW MORNING LOWS A COUPLE OF DEGREES DUE
TO CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS NEAR SUNRISE. UPPER 20S IN THE
METROPLEX INSTEAD OF NEAR 30...SO NO BIG CHANGE. CHALLENGE FOR
AFTERNOON IS THE ARCTIC AIR IN THE PLAINS...WILL IT REALLY STAY OUT
OF NORTH TEXAS...OR WILL IT GET HERE BUT BE FAIRLY WELL
MODIFIED...OR WILL WE BE PRETTY COLD HERE IN A FEW DAYS. 84

[vbhoutex]

Duluth MN as of 11 AM:

-4 below
Windchill -28

Forecast:
Thursday Night Lo -21°F

Friday Hi -2°F
Friday Night Lo -23°F

Saturday Hi -12°F
Saturday Night Lo -27°F

Sunday Hi -8°F
Sunday Night Lo -22°F

OUCH!!!!

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

NWS DFW might as well flip a coin on the upcoming forecast. The odds are better than just guessing.