Winter Storm Watch for Seattle and all of western WA

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TT-SEA

#701 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:09 pm

I see that now. Interesting.
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TT-SEA

#702 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:15 pm

The new GFS is VERY wet for Seattle for late Saturday night and Sunday morning.

Here is the map for Sunday morning at 10 a.m....

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_072m.gif


Interesting. Still looks like massive southwesterly flow with warm air flooding in from the Pacific. But cold air is dense and hard to move.
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R-Dub
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#703 Postby R-Dub » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:26 pm

Looks like another wait and see sort of a thing! With it still being 2 days out, I am sure the forecast will change about 7 more times :D
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TT-SEA

#704 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:33 pm

Can you say Pineapple Express...

Here is the 60-hour precipitation ending next Tuesday (1/18) evening (i.e. Sunday 10 a.m. through Tuesday 10 p.m.)

Image
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TT-SEA

#705 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:35 pm

No place else in the entire country has much of anything in that time period. Western Washington is clobbered.
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#706 Postby andrewr » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:37 pm

WOW. Inches of rain is not going to be good for the mountains. Stevens lost 20+ inches of snow earlier this season in about 2 days from a warm/wet system. If you are a skier then you'd better be hitting the slopes now because with this type of pattern they will close by next week.
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AnthonyC
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#707 Postby AnthonyC » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:37 pm

I'm dreading this pineapple express...ski resorts just opened, and they'll have to shut down again. I haven't been snowboarding yet!!! TT-SEA, what is your thought about the possible over-running event Saturday night?! Will it be cold enough? I want someone who is realistic and can actually read the models correctly. Is there the possibility?!
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TT-SEA

#708 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:43 pm

Possible... for a short period of time. But the warm air is going to rush in here on Sunday.

Down right tropical by early next week!!
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andrewr
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#709 Postby andrewr » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:45 pm

Anyone think we should start a new thread since "Winter Storm Warning for Seattle and All of Western Washington" isn't so fitting for the upcoming pattern?
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TT-SEA

#710 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:47 pm

And it goes on and on...

Here is the 48-hour precipitation totals immediately following the 60-hour period above (Tuesday 10 p.m. through Thursday 10 p.m.)

Image

Add them together and you have 108-hour totals (Sunday morning through Thursday evening).

Amazing. It is going to be VERY warm and VERY wet!!
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#711 Postby andrewr » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:48 pm

Looks like it's our turn to be the next California. Hope my hill doesn't come down though.
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#712 Postby R-Dub » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:50 pm

Yeah, but can you really trust the models? The track will either move north into BC or south into Oregon leaving us in between.
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#713 Postby storm4u » Thu Jan 13, 2005 5:50 pm

andrewr wrote:Anyone think we should start a new thread since "Winter Storm Warning for Seattle and All of Western Washington" isn't so fitting for the upcoming pattern?



YESS!!!!!!!!!! :D
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W13
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#714 Postby W13 » Thu Jan 13, 2005 6:21 pm

Saturday Night is really starting to look interesting. I agree with Anthony, that arctic air could very well make it over the Cascades if we get a mountain wave event. That would guarentee at least some snow Saturday Night as an overrunning event, then it could possibly turn over to freezing rain and then to plain old rain from Sunday onward through all of next week. Will be interesting to see if the latest NWS Forecast Discussion takes note of this.
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TT-SEA

#715 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 6:37 pm

W13 - See the new thread... this one must die.
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#716 Postby andycottle » Thu Jan 13, 2005 9:38 pm

Tim...if we all are going over to a new thread...what will it be called. Let us know..ok?! :) -- Andy
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TT-SEA

#717 Postby TT-SEA » Thu Jan 13, 2005 10:08 pm

Click here...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=55793
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#718 Postby W13 » Fri Jan 14, 2005 12:02 am

We may have to start using this thread again in a day or two, as a Winter Storm Watch may be posted by NWS. 8-)
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