Which name(s)of the 2005 list will be the big one(s)?

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cycloneye
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Which name(s)of the 2005 list will be the big one(s)?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 14, 2005 7:25 am

2005

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Dennis
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katrina
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rita
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma


I say that Cindy and Jose will be the big ones in 2005 meaning a Isabel,Ivan type systems.
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#2 Postby sunny » Fri Jan 14, 2005 8:27 am

Cindy (depotoo!!) - Man, oh, man - look out!
Irene
Lee

Sure is good to have you back, Luis!! :D
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#3 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Jan 14, 2005 10:57 am

Either Gert or Jose (or both) shall be the big one(s). Both names just give me the willies, Gert a little more.

-Andrew92
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jan 14, 2005 11:03 am

Bret and Jose jump out at me. Gert does too, but not as a big storm, but as something strange for some reason???? Maybe later we can do a run down of our "scenarios" for each storm like we did last year.
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#5 Postby cajungal » Fri Jan 14, 2005 1:18 pm

Dennis-sounds like a geek name, but he may be the one. Or Franklin.
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Jan 14, 2005 1:19 pm

Cindy, Franklin and Katrina..
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#7 Postby The Big Dog » Fri Jan 14, 2005 2:01 pm

I'm going with Emily and Harvey.
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#8 Postby James » Fri Jan 14, 2005 2:56 pm

I'll go with Emily and Jose.
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#9 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Jan 14, 2005 3:16 pm

Emily, Irene, and Katrina
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Derek Ortt

#10 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Jan 14, 2005 3:51 pm

lets remember that Bret was the big one for the mainland the last time it was used, but it hit a ranch in south Texas and caused only minor damage
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Scorpion

#11 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jan 14, 2005 4:07 pm

I think its going to be Franklin and Irene. If there's gonna be a Cat 5, its gonna be Irene though.
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#12 Postby depotoo » Fri Jan 14, 2005 4:59 pm

well - seems i know another Cindy that can blow pretty well too! lol
I'll get ya back sunny (Cindy)!
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SouthernWx

#13 Postby SouthernWx » Fri Jan 14, 2005 10:18 pm

There are a lot of scary names on that list....

Bret's been bad before....
Dennis could be a menace...
I once knew a guy named Harvey...jeez was he big and bad..
Maria scares me to death (she's my stepsis, and whew what a temper :D

Also, Lee might look inoculous to some...but remember "Lee Harvey Oswald"? (there's that Harvey again too). There's another reason I fear Lee. It's my middle name....BOO!!! :lol:
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#14 Postby HurricaneBill » Fri Jan 14, 2005 11:09 pm

Call me crazy, but hasn't the N name always been Nathan? Or has it always been Nate?

I don't mean to nitpick.
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#15 Postby HurricaneBill » Fri Jan 14, 2005 11:44 pm

Anyways, let's take a look at how these names have done in the past.

Overall, this name list has the lowest named storm average. This list has an average of 8.75 named storms. In fact, this name list has yet to go beyond "L".

This list also has the least amount of storm names retired from it. This list had to wait until 1999 to finally have a name retired. Both Floyd and Lenny were retired.

Arlene is the all time Atlantic hurricane name champ. This will be her 9th time being used. However, Arlene seems to have no desire to be retired. She has not been a hurricane since 1987.

Bret and Emily are the only hurricanes to hit the U.S. as major and NOT be retired. Bret will need to be watched. Storms that missed retirement will sometimes make another go at it and succeed.

Example: Hurricane Diana missed retirement in 1984, but got retired in 1990.

Cindy has made landfall on the U.S. as a hurricane twice before. (1959 and 1963) Could third time be the charm for Cindy?

Dennis has threatened the East Coast twice before. He'll need to be watched.

Emily is the one I am mainly concerned about. During less active seasons, Emily tends to be the strongest. Not only that, but Emily has twice made landfall as a major hurricane. (1987 and 1993) Emily seems rather determined to get retired.

Franklin is not one I'm really too concerned about. Replacement names usually do not become powerful storms right off the bat. However, there are exceptions.

Example: Hurricane Michelle 2001

Gert was another close call for retirement (1993) I'd look out for Gert.

Harvey does not sound like a name that would go for retirement. Then again, I said the same thing about Charley.

Irene could continue the "I" streak. Because this is supposed to be a less active season, Irene might end up being a West Caribbean storm like Mitch, Joan, Hattie etc.

Jose sounds like a storm that has "fish" written all over it. Which means he'll either be one or he'll become a big threat.

Katrina doesn't sound too threatening. Maybe an end of the season hurricane.

Lee is a replacement name and replacement names tend not to be destructive storms. However, as I said before, there have been exceptions.
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Derek Ortt

#16 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Jan 14, 2005 11:52 pm

has Irene had not made its last minute turn away from already devastated NC, it also would have been gone 6 years ago. Evem so, a case could have been made as it did hundreds of million dollars worth of damage in south florida
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#17 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Jan 15, 2005 12:52 am

Franklin. Those "F" storms have had a rep for being nasty, especially here. Example: just look at the storm Franklin replaced.
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#18 Postby eye of the storm » Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:39 pm

I'd have to go with Katrina. Don't know why, it just jumped out at me.
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chadtm80

#19 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:48 pm

Cindy

Franklin
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Guest

#20 Postby Guest » Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:41 pm

Ophelia :lol:
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