New models take next weekend storm out to sea!

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krysof

New models take next weekend storm out to sea!

#1 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 12:36 am

For now it seems like that the storm will miss most of us. Maybe the gfs models will bring the storm back soon.
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Mon Jan 17, 2005 1:36 am

Not the new Euro....in fact, this would be a blizzard for the mid-atlantic and NE if it comes to fruition
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#3 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 1:42 am

what about new jersey, do other models indicate what you are saying?
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jan 17, 2005 9:38 am

PurdueWx80 wrote:Not the new Euro....in fact, this would be a blizzard for the mid-atlantic and NE if it comes to fruition
Can you post the new EURO here?
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#5 Postby Tip » Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:10 am

Even though the new Euro has a pretty good storm, not much precip north of DC although those maps are hard to read.

http://www.ecmwf.int/samples/d/inspect/ ... 5011700!!/

http://www.ecmwf.int/samples/d/inspect/ ... 5011700!!/
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#6 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:07 am

Yes, but the GGEM, says a Nor'easter from NC-Maine...
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:57 am

Chris the Weather Man wrote:Yes, but the GGEM, says a Nor'easter from NC-Maine...
Lets hope that one plays out! Do you have a map for the GGEM?
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#8 Postby Tip » Mon Jan 17, 2005 12:42 pm

Latest GGEM.

http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_168.html

http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_192.html

Latest GFS

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_150s.gif

The canadian global is clearly the outlier at this time for bringing storm up the coast.
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#9 Postby yoda » Mon Jan 17, 2005 12:44 pm

The GGEM is SO ridiculous. Do NOT even look at it. Forget it.

The GFS.. well, I refuse to see anything beyond 84 hours on the GFS for major storms.
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#10 Postby Stephanie » Mon Jan 17, 2005 12:50 pm

yoda wrote:The GGEM is SO ridiculous. Do NOT even look at it. Forget it.

The GFS.. well, I refuse to see anything beyond 84 hours on the GFS for major storms.


I'm surprised that the GFS still has it! Storms tend to go POOF in the mid-range.

There's still ALOT of time before this does/does not happen.
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#11 Postby yoda » Mon Jan 17, 2005 1:14 pm

The 12z EURO... WOW MECS!!!
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#12 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:58 pm

Did the euro change at all?
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#13 Postby Tip » Mon Jan 17, 2005 3:43 pm

The 12z Euro still is moving the storm slowly NE off the coast, but it is so deep that its throwing precip all up adn down the coast from Maine to NC. Can't wait to see what the pressure is on this baby later tonite when the Plymouth graphics come out. Euro goes boom!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5011712!!/
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#14 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 3:44 pm

Is the euro throwing a lot of precipitation to the coasts or very little?
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#15 Postby yoda » Mon Jan 17, 2005 3:50 pm

Tip wrote:The 12z Euro still is moving the storm slowly NE off the coast, but it is so deep that its throwing precip all up adn down the coast from Maine to NC. Can't wait to see what the pressure is on this baby later tonite when the Plymouth graphics come out. Euro goes boom!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5011712!!/


978 MB...
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#16 Postby yoda » Mon Jan 17, 2005 3:51 pm

krysof wrote:Is the euro throwing a lot of precipitation to the coasts or very little?

A lot...
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#17 Postby Tip » Mon Jan 17, 2005 3:59 pm

Thanks Yoda. Classic signature on the 144hr frame with a big banana high almost capping storm to the north and the 50/50 low closing off. This is one time I hope the Euro stays the course. Pretty consistent so far with a more northly component as time goes by.
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#18 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:01 pm

How many models agree with a significant snowfall possibility for the coast up to NYC and beyond?
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#19 Postby yoda » Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:03 pm

Tip wrote:Thanks Yoda. Classic signature on the 144hr frame with a big banana high almost capping storm to the north and the 50/50 low closing off. This is one time I hope the Euro stays the course. Pretty consistent so far with a more northly component as time goes by.


Also, a comma head appears in Alabama...

This is beginning to look like a potential for a full-fleged blizzard for RIC-PHL IF IF IF this played out...

Also starting to look like 96 again...
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#20 Postby krysof » Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:05 pm

What about central new jersey? I live on the east side of the state near the coast.
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