Re-analysis questions

[HurricaneBill]

1. After the Atlantic is completely re-analyzed, will the project end? Or will they do a re-analysis of EPAC storms? I highly doubt that none of the EPAC hurricanes during the 1960s went higher than Category 2.

2. I know the intensity of some storms will be changed, but what about the tracks? Could a tropical storm that passed over a populated area actually have been a hurricane that made landfall in an unpopulated area? (In other words, they missed the eye?)

3. Is this the final word on the Atlantic storms? Or could they undergo another re-analysis? For example, say you re-analyzed storm #4 in 1874. But afterwards, received additional info on it. Would you go back and re-analyze it again?

4. Are you going to try and do tracks for certain storms far back in history? Like the Great Hurricane of 1780?

[Derek Ortt]

as OHD for more info on the re-analysis as he is part of the re-analysis team. I only know what I hear from those on the team, which can be quite a bit infrequent.

From what I do know, the tracks are being adjusted, though the tracks are mostly minor changes. The project is from 1851 to the present because thats as far back as HURRDAT goes

[HalloweenGale]

hey reanalyze the Christmas Hurricane of 1994.

[Tri-State_1925]

I didn't know that an entire reanalysis was going on. I'll be very interested to see the results. I think I mentioned that the way Andrew was reanalyzed disturbed me greatly.

Bill, did you ever send in weather observations to channel 22 or 40 in the past? Or am I thinking of somebody else...

[Stormsfury]

hey reanalyze the Christmas Hurricane of 1994.

That is under consideration and in fact, there were several storms during the 1991-1994 El Niño period that are up for consideration for inclusion to the HURDAT best track analysis data.

BOX "affectionately" call that storm Tropical Storm Santa for it drew in copious amounts of wind driven rain, and brought in very muggy air as a secondary disturbance in the Southland cutoff the supply of cold air to the Christmas storm of 1994...

[MWatkins]

I didn't know that an entire reanalysis was going on. I'll be very interested to see the results. I think I mentioned that the way Andrew was reanalyzed disturbed me greatly.

Bill, did you ever send in weather observations to channel 22 or 40 in the past? Or am I thinking of somebody else...

It's good stuff...although it looks like they won't get to the 1994 storm until sometime in 2007...

Here's the details:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/project2003/hurdat.html

And more:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/

MW

[HurricaneBill]

Wow, in the data for all U.S. hurricane landfalls, they list Agnes as being a Category 1 hurricane while hitting New York and Connecticut, as well as Florida!