Is it truly over for the Carolinas for weekend event?

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DLI2k5

Is it truly over for the Carolinas for weekend event?

#1 Postby DLI2k5 » Fri Jan 21, 2005 1:34 am

Storm, WxGuy, anyone else......What are the chances these models just can't handle what is actually going to occur and have therefore no clue as to which way to trend? First going south, then north, then south and now looks north again! What are your thoughts as of now for the Carolinas getting in on some action?
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It seems to be a nothing but rain event

#2 Postby NCGal » Fri Jan 21, 2005 7:19 am

here for us in Raleigh NC. Funny to me how every local met is saying something totally different for this weekends weather, I wonder if it's cause they aren't sure what's going to happen.
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#3 Postby storms NC » Fri Jan 21, 2005 8:15 am

Well We'll all get some rain. Don't look as if the cold will get here in time. IF any thing. I 95 west will get some mix. it that helps :(
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#4 Postby Suncat » Fri Jan 21, 2005 8:27 am

It *seems* as though the models are now down playing the storm on Saturday and turning it into a non-event. We have had two misses with the models so far this week... the snow on Wednesday which was not suppose to accumulate or be a problem and the snow Thursday night/Friday morning which was going to be a problem. Both events turned out to be the opposite of what was forcast. With that track record, I'm not sure if I should read Saturday's forcast as a major ice storm or just cold rain! :roll:
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#5 Postby storms NC » Fri Jan 21, 2005 9:48 am

Cold rain. NC will not see any snow. Maybe a flake or two and some ice maybe on Sunday, but that is it. Now the MT may see some. But Raleigh will see cold rain mostly. sorry
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#6 Postby Skywatch_NC » Fri Jan 21, 2005 9:53 am

Suncat wrote:It *seems* as though the models are now down playing the storm on Saturday and turning it into a non-event. We have had two misses with the models so far this week... the snow on Wednesday which was not suppose to accumulate or be a problem and the snow Thursday night/Friday morning which was going to be a problem. Both events turned out to be the opposite of what was forcast. With that track record, I'm not sure if I should read Saturday's forcast as a major ice storm or just cold rain! :roll:


I know the feeling...can the mets say "bust" on the opposite ends of the spectrum?! :wink:
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#7 Postby storms NC » Fri Jan 21, 2005 9:59 am

Some of you must be young or new to weather. But our Big Snows come from out of the gulf.
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#8 Postby Suncat » Fri Jan 21, 2005 10:26 am

storms NC wrote:Some of you must be young or new to weather. But our Big Snows come from out of the gulf.


I'll take the former :lol:

I agree with you, this is not a significant snow event, but there does appear to be a good set up for a potential ice storm.
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#9 Postby Skywatch_NC » Fri Jan 21, 2005 11:16 am

storms NC wrote:Some of you must be young or new to weather. But our Big Snows come from out of the gulf.


Just had to get if off my chest is all :lol: :wink:
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#10 Postby Suncat » Fri Jan 21, 2005 1:24 pm

I'm not sure what is going on, but I think we have had our high temperature of 34F earlier today. The temp has now dropped to 32F and it really feels cold outside because of the humidity. I've seen a few stray snowflakes in the air!
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#11 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Jan 21, 2005 2:02 pm

Suncat wrote:I'm not sure what is going on, but I think we have had our high temperature of 34F earlier today. The temp has now dropped to 32F and it really feels cold outside because of the humidity. I've seen a few stray snowflakes in the air!


backdoor cold front (and cold air damming taking hold with some evaporational cooling enhancing that effect.)

SF
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#12 Postby QCWx » Fri Jan 21, 2005 2:14 pm

It's not totally over for the I-85 and I-40 corridors at least. GSP is issuing WWA's for tomorrow with the aftn package for those areas apparently.
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#13 Postby adelphi_sky » Fri Jan 21, 2005 2:16 pm

I think all of your forecasters are afraid of loosing their jobs after Wednesday. It's sad that there is still no consensus between their forecasts. I think maybe there should be one official forecast for an area. Instead of everyone trying to go at it alone, everyone puts their heads together and comes out with one well thought out forecast.
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