Stephanie,
I very much hope that Marty will have a safe trip and good time at the show. The snow will probably arrive in NYC around midday. The Philly area will see its arrival earlier. I hope he will be very careful coming back given the conditions at the time.
Blizzard Likely in Parts of Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northeast
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
- Location: New York
I don't see this as a megastorm. But as a MECS in the vain of January 20-21 1978. The GFS is a good safeguard against ETA Quad and now that it has finally gone with the European track, its Quad is reasonable compared to the ETA's. My first and last call:
Philly: 8-12 inches, mixing in with some sleet early
NYC: 10-15
Boston: 12-18 inches
DC: 4-6 inches with good sleet mixing in
local strips of 18-24 inches
Substained winds of 30-40mph and gusts up around 50-60mph.
Philly: 8-12 inches, mixing in with some sleet early
NYC: 10-15
Boston: 12-18 inches
DC: 4-6 inches with good sleet mixing in
local strips of 18-24 inches
Substained winds of 30-40mph and gusts up around 50-60mph.
0 likes
-
donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
- Location: New York
Just a quick note...
After seeing the 0z numbers, south of Newark, I remain comfortable with the estimates. The same holds for Pittsburgh and west. I am increasingly concerned that my figures from EWR across Long Island and up into New England may be underdone--perhaps significantly in some cities such as PVD and BOS. I'll take another look after the early morning model runs.
Overall, a snowstorm of epic proportions may well be rolling into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast from the Great Lakes region/Midwest/Ohio Valley and then exploding into New England later today (after all it is now Saturday).
After seeing the 0z numbers, south of Newark, I remain comfortable with the estimates. The same holds for Pittsburgh and west. I am increasingly concerned that my figures from EWR across Long Island and up into New England may be underdone--perhaps significantly in some cities such as PVD and BOS. I'll take another look after the early morning model runs.
Overall, a snowstorm of epic proportions may well be rolling into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast from the Great Lakes region/Midwest/Ohio Valley and then exploding into New England later today (after all it is now Saturday).
0 likes
Exactly as how I predicted....there is a significant area that will NOT go above freezing that will experience significant icing along with snow.
And in exactly the same areas I had plotted out.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
MDZ021>025-220900-
DORCHESTER MD-INLAND WORCESTER MD-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-SOMERSET MD-
WICOMICO MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...CRISFIELD...FRUITLAND...
HURLOCK...OCEAN CITY...POCOMOKE CITY...PRINCESS ANNE AND SALISBURY
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS
EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN
SHORE. BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON...THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET THEN
POTENTIALLY CHANGE OVER TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES
COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN
OR FREEZING DRIZZLE.
MEANWHILE...UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE QUICKLY BACK TO SNOW
SATURDAY EVENING...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND.
THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TOWARD MIDDAY
ON SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW
IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
HURLEY/22
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
VAZ048-049-062>064-069>076>078-081>083-085-220900-
CAROLINE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-
GOOCHLAND VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LANCASTER VA-MIDDLESEX VA-NORTHUMBERLAND VA-LOUISA VA-NEW KENT VA-
POWHATAN VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...BON AIR...BOWLING GREEN...
CHAMPLAIN...CHARLES CITY...CHESTER...COLONIAL BEACH...
COLONIAL HEIGHTS...DISPUTANTA...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FORK UNION...
FORT LEE...GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...HOPEWELL...
KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...LOUISA...MECHANICSVILLE...
MILFORD...MINERAL...MONTROSS...MOSELEY...NEW KENT...PALMYRA...
PETERSBURG...POWHATAN...ROBLEY...ROXBURY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...
TALLEYSVILLE...TAPPAHANNOCK...TUCKAHOE...WARSAW AND WEST POINT
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS
EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE
RICHMOND METRO AREA...AND THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF
SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE BETWEEN
NOON AND 3 PM. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES
COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW AND
SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN.
MEANWHILE...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND. THE SNOW
SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
313 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
VAZ048-049-062>064-069>076-081>083-220900-
CAROLINE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-
GOOCHLAND VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LOUISA VA-NEW KENT VA-POWHATAN VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-
WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...BON AIR...BOWLING GREEN...
CHAMPLAIN...CHARLES CITY...CHESTER...COLONIAL BEACH...
COLONIAL HEIGHTS...DISPUTANTA...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FORK UNION...
FORT LEE...GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...HOPEWELL...
KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...LOUISA...MECHANICSVILLE...
MILFORD...MINERAL...MONTROSS...MOSELEY...NEW KENT...PALMYRA...
PETERSBURG...POWHATAN...ROBLEY...ROXBURY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...
TALLEYSVILLE...TAPPAHANNOCK...TUCKAHOE...WARSAW AND WEST POINT
313 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A STORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING
HOURS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE RICHMOND METRO AREA...AND THEN MIX WITH
AND CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN
ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. AROUND
AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO
FREEZING RAIN.
MEANWHILE...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND. THE SNOW
SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
And in exactly the same areas I had plotted out.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
MDZ021>025-220900-
DORCHESTER MD-INLAND WORCESTER MD-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-SOMERSET MD-
WICOMICO MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...CRISFIELD...FRUITLAND...
HURLOCK...OCEAN CITY...POCOMOKE CITY...PRINCESS ANNE AND SALISBURY
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS
EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN
SHORE. BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON...THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET THEN
POTENTIALLY CHANGE OVER TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES
COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE ANY CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN
OR FREEZING DRIZZLE.
MEANWHILE...UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE QUICKLY BACK TO SNOW
SATURDAY EVENING...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND.
THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TOWARD MIDDAY
ON SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW
IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
HURLEY/22
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
VAZ048-049-062>064-069>076>078-081>083-085-220900-
CAROLINE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-
GOOCHLAND VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LANCASTER VA-MIDDLESEX VA-NORTHUMBERLAND VA-LOUISA VA-NEW KENT VA-
POWHATAN VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...BON AIR...BOWLING GREEN...
CHAMPLAIN...CHARLES CITY...CHESTER...COLONIAL BEACH...
COLONIAL HEIGHTS...DISPUTANTA...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FORK UNION...
FORT LEE...GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...HOPEWELL...
KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...LOUISA...MECHANICSVILLE...
MILFORD...MINERAL...MONTROSS...MOSELEY...NEW KENT...PALMYRA...
PETERSBURG...POWHATAN...ROBLEY...ROXBURY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...
TALLEYSVILLE...TAPPAHANNOCK...TUCKAHOE...WARSAW AND WEST POINT
1000 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS
EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE
RICHMOND METRO AREA...AND THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF
SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE BETWEEN
NOON AND 3 PM. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES
COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW AND
SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN.
MEANWHILE...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND. THE SNOW
SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
313 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
VAZ048-049-062>064-069>076-081>083-220900-
CAROLINE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-ESSEX VA-FLUVANNA VA-
GOOCHLAND VA-HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-
LOUISA VA-NEW KENT VA-POWHATAN VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-RICHMOND VA-
WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...BON AIR...BOWLING GREEN...
CHAMPLAIN...CHARLES CITY...CHESTER...COLONIAL BEACH...
COLONIAL HEIGHTS...DISPUTANTA...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FORK UNION...
FORT LEE...GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...HOPEWELL...
KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...LOUISA...MECHANICSVILLE...
MILFORD...MINERAL...MONTROSS...MOSELEY...NEW KENT...PALMYRA...
PETERSBURG...POWHATAN...ROBLEY...ROXBURY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...
TALLEYSVILLE...TAPPAHANNOCK...TUCKAHOE...WARSAW AND WEST POINT
313 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.
A STORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...THEN ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING
HOURS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE RICHMOND METRO AREA...AND THEN MIX WITH
AND CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM. THIS AS WARMER AIR COMES IN
ALOFT...AND OVERRIDES COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. AROUND
AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO
FREEZING RAIN.
MEANWHILE...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT...POSSIBLY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET BEFOREHAND. THE SNOW
SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ON TOP OF ANY PREVIOUS ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
0 likes
Looks like Richmond and Tidewater VA are slated for some ice from this...URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY TODAY...THEN EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN VIRGINIA...TO OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AS WELL AS THE
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
MDZ021-022-221600-
DORCHESTER MD-WICOMICO MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...FRUITLAND...
HURLOCK AND SALISBURY
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN...AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW
BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ACROSS DORCHESTER AND WICOMICO
COUNTIES...SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE THREE TO FIVE INCH
RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE TONIGHT...WITH AN ADDITIONAL
LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
VAZ048-049-060>063-067>071-221600-
AMELIA VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-CUMBERLAND VA-FLUVANNA VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-LOUISA VA-NOTTOWAY VA-POWHATAN VA-
PRINCE EDWARD VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMELIA COURTHOUSE...ASHLAND...BLACKSTONE...
BON AIR...CARTERSVILLE...CHESTER...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...CREWE...
CUMBERLAND...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FARMVILLE...FORK UNION...
GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HAMPDEN SYDNEY...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...
LOUISA...MANNBORO...MECHANICSVILLE...MINERAL...MOSELEY...PALMYRA...
POWHATAN AND TUCKAHOE
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE EASTERN VIRGINIA PIEDMONT...AND
GREATER RICHMOND AREA THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING...BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. FOR AREAS
NEAR AND WEST OF AN ASHLAND TO RICHMOND TO CREWE LINE...SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL BE IN THE ONE TO TWO INCH RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS
TONIGHT...BUT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION OF
A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR SO...WITH THE FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.
A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE ARE FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE
IN THE AFFECTED AREAS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. THOSE
WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE, OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS
UNAVOIDABLE.
$$
VAZ064-072>076-221600-
CAROLINE VA-ESSEX VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-RICHMOND VA-
WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWLING GREEN...CHAMPLAIN...
COLONIAL BEACH...KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...
MILFORD...MONTROSS...ROBLEY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...TAPPAHANNOCK...
WARSAW AND WEST POINT
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA
AREA LATE THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FOR A
TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING...BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS
WILL BE IN THE TWO TO FOUR INCH RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE
TONIGHT...WITH THE ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION OF TWO TENTHS OF AN
INCH OR SO...DUE TO THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
VAZ065-066-079>084-086>094-099-100-221600-
ACCOMACK VA-BRUNSWICK VA-CHARLES CITY VA-DINWIDDIE VA-GLOUCESTER VA-
GREENSVILLE VA-ISLE OF WIGHT VA-JAMES CITY VA-LUNENBURG VA-
MATHEWS VA-MECKLENBURG VA-NEW KENT VA-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON VA-
NORTHAMPTON VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-SOUTHAMPTON VA-SURRY VA-SUSSEX VA-
YORK VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOYKINS...BRODNAX...CAPE CHARLES...
CHARLES CITY...CHASE CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...CLAREMONT...COURTLAND...
DAHLIA...DINWIDDIE...DISPUTANTA...EMPORIA...EXMORE...FORT LEE...
FRANKLIN...GLOUCESTER COURTHOUSE...GLOUCESTER POINT...HAMPTON...
HOPEWELL...KENBRIDGE...LANGLEY AFB...LAWRENCEVILLE...MATHEWS...
MCKENNEY...NEW KENT...NEW POINT COMFORT...NEWPORT NEWS...NORGE...
PATRICK HENRY FIELD...PETERSBURG...POQUOSON...PURDY...QUEENS LAKE...
ROXBURY...SEAFORD...SMITHFIELD...SOUTH HILL...SURRY...TALLEYSVILLE...
TOANO...VICTORIA...WAKEFIELD...WAVERLY...WILLIAMSBURG AND WINDSOR
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA...AND LOWER VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE THIS
MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN...THEN RAIN THIS AFTERNOON OVER THOSE AREAS. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE AROUND AN INCH AT AND NEAR LOCATIONS SUCH AS
SOUTH HILL...WAKEFIELD...AND NEWPORT NEWS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ICE
ACCRETION OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR SO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN. THE LOWER
EASTERN SHORE WILL ALSO SEE AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW...WITH A LIGHT
ICING POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN...AWAY FROM THE COAST.
THE MENTIONED ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS, BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT BUT
NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES
ARE BELOW FREEZING, MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.
$$
MDZ023>025-VAZ077-078-085-221600-
INLAND WORCESTER MD-LANCASTER VA-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-MIDDLESEX VA-
NORTHUMBERLAND VA-SOMERSET MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALLAO...CRISFIELD...DELTAVILLE...
FAIR PORT...KILMARNOCK...OCEAN CITY...POCOMOKE CITY...
PRINCESS ANNE AND URBANNA
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NORTHERN NECK...LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...AND THEN RAIN FOR A TIME
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ACROSS
SOMERSET AND WORCESTER COUNTIES IN MARYLAND...AND
NORTHUMBERLAND...LANCASTER AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES IN
VIRGINIA...SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE ONE TO THREE INCH
RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE TONIGHT...WITH SOME LIGHT ICING
POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN...AWAY FROM THE COAST.
THE MENTIONED ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS, BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT BUT
NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES
ARE BELOW FREEZING, MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY TODAY...THEN EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN VIRGINIA...TO OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AS WELL AS THE
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.
MDZ021-022-221600-
DORCHESTER MD-WICOMICO MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...FRUITLAND...
HURLOCK AND SALISBURY
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN...AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW
BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ACROSS DORCHESTER AND WICOMICO
COUNTIES...SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE THREE TO FIVE INCH
RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE TONIGHT...WITH AN ADDITIONAL
LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
VAZ048-049-060>063-067>071-221600-
AMELIA VA-CHESTERFIELD VA-CUMBERLAND VA-FLUVANNA VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
HANOVER VA-HENRICO VA-LOUISA VA-NOTTOWAY VA-POWHATAN VA-
PRINCE EDWARD VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMELIA COURTHOUSE...ASHLAND...BLACKSTONE...
BON AIR...CARTERSVILLE...CHESTER...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...CREWE...
CUMBERLAND...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...FARMVILLE...FORK UNION...
GOOCHLAND...HADENSVILLE...HAMPDEN SYDNEY...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...
LOUISA...MANNBORO...MECHANICSVILLE...MINERAL...MOSELEY...PALMYRA...
POWHATAN AND TUCKAHOE
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE EASTERN VIRGINIA PIEDMONT...AND
GREATER RICHMOND AREA THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING...BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. FOR AREAS
NEAR AND WEST OF AN ASHLAND TO RICHMOND TO CREWE LINE...SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL BE IN THE ONE TO TWO INCH RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS
TONIGHT...BUT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION OF
A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR SO...WITH THE FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.
A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE ARE FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE
IN THE AFFECTED AREAS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. THOSE
WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE, OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS
UNAVOIDABLE.
$$
VAZ064-072>076-221600-
CAROLINE VA-ESSEX VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-KING WILLIAM VA-RICHMOND VA-
WESTMORELAND VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWLING GREEN...CHAMPLAIN...
COLONIAL BEACH...KING AND QUEEN COURTHOUSE...KING WILLIAM...
MILFORD...MONTROSS...ROBLEY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...TAPPAHANNOCK...
WARSAW AND WEST POINT
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA
AREA LATE THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FOR A
TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING...BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS
WILL BE IN THE TWO TO FOUR INCH RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE
TONIGHT...WITH THE ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION OF TWO TENTHS OF AN
INCH OR SO...DUE TO THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS, SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELLING. PRACTICE YOUR WINTER
SAFETY RULES, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR CAR
IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.
$$
VAZ065-066-079>084-086>094-099-100-221600-
ACCOMACK VA-BRUNSWICK VA-CHARLES CITY VA-DINWIDDIE VA-GLOUCESTER VA-
GREENSVILLE VA-ISLE OF WIGHT VA-JAMES CITY VA-LUNENBURG VA-
MATHEWS VA-MECKLENBURG VA-NEW KENT VA-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON VA-
NORTHAMPTON VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-SOUTHAMPTON VA-SURRY VA-SUSSEX VA-
YORK VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOYKINS...BRODNAX...CAPE CHARLES...
CHARLES CITY...CHASE CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...CLAREMONT...COURTLAND...
DAHLIA...DINWIDDIE...DISPUTANTA...EMPORIA...EXMORE...FORT LEE...
FRANKLIN...GLOUCESTER COURTHOUSE...GLOUCESTER POINT...HAMPTON...
HOPEWELL...KENBRIDGE...LANGLEY AFB...LAWRENCEVILLE...MATHEWS...
MCKENNEY...NEW KENT...NEW POINT COMFORT...NEWPORT NEWS...NORGE...
PATRICK HENRY FIELD...PETERSBURG...POQUOSON...PURDY...QUEENS LAKE...
ROXBURY...SEAFORD...SMITHFIELD...SOUTH HILL...SURRY...TALLEYSVILLE...
TOANO...VICTORIA...WAKEFIELD...WAVERLY...WILLIAMSBURG AND WINDSOR
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA...AND LOWER VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE THIS
MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN...THEN RAIN THIS AFTERNOON OVER THOSE AREAS. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE AROUND AN INCH AT AND NEAR LOCATIONS SUCH AS
SOUTH HILL...WAKEFIELD...AND NEWPORT NEWS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ICE
ACCRETION OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR SO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN. THE LOWER
EASTERN SHORE WILL ALSO SEE AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW...WITH A LIGHT
ICING POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN...AWAY FROM THE COAST.
THE MENTIONED ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS, BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT BUT
NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES
ARE BELOW FREEZING, MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.
$$
MDZ023>025-VAZ077-078-085-221600-
INLAND WORCESTER MD-LANCASTER VA-MARYLAND BEACHES MD-MIDDLESEX VA-
NORTHUMBERLAND VA-SOMERSET MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALLAO...CRISFIELD...DELTAVILLE...
FAIR PORT...KILMARNOCK...OCEAN CITY...POCOMOKE CITY...
PRINCESS ANNE AND URBANNA
347 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NORTHERN NECK...LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...AND THEN RAIN FOR A TIME
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ACROSS
SOMERSET AND WORCESTER COUNTIES IN MARYLAND...AND
NORTHUMBERLAND...LANCASTER AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES IN
VIRGINIA...SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE ONE TO THREE INCH
RANGE BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE TONIGHT...WITH SOME LIGHT ICING
POSSIBLE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN...AWAY FROM THE COAST.
THE MENTIONED ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS, BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT BUT
NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES
ARE BELOW FREEZING, MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.
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rainstorm
maybe, but the radar is very dry in most of va, save for a few scattered sprinkles and flurries. no frozen precip will fall here at all. temps already above freezing with a strong se breeze. i am hoping for 45 and pt cloudy today. storm moving very fast and should redevelop well north of here. de/nj
0 likes
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Heatseeker
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 17
- Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 8:00 am
- Location: Eastern Shore of MD, USA
- Contact:
I'd much rather have more snow and less ice! I'm worried about losing power - in the 1994 ice storm we were without power for days.
Last edited by Heatseeker on Sat Jan 22, 2005 8:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
- Location: New York
Re: Blizzard Likely in Parts of Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northe
Final estimates:
After reviewing the 6z data and incorporating the 0z data, I've left most amounts alone. Mainly, New England's totals were upped. But a few others were tweaked.
My estimated accumulations are as follows:
Babylon: 16"-24"
Baltimore: 6"-12"
Boston: 22"-30"
Danbury: 10"-18"
Chicago: 8"-16"
Cleveland: 6"-10"
Columbus: 4"-8"
Detroit: 6"-10"
New York City: 12"-20"
Newark: 14"-20"
Philadelphia: 12"-18"
Pittsburgh: 6"-10"
Providence: 24"-32"
Richmond: 1"-2"
Washington, DC: 4"-8"
White Plains: 12"-18"
After reviewing the 6z data and incorporating the 0z data, I've left most amounts alone. Mainly, New England's totals were upped. But a few others were tweaked.
My estimated accumulations are as follows:
Babylon: 16"-24"
Baltimore: 6"-12"
Boston: 22"-30"
Danbury: 10"-18"
Chicago: 8"-16"
Cleveland: 6"-10"
Columbus: 4"-8"
Detroit: 6"-10"
New York City: 12"-20"
Newark: 14"-20"
Philadelphia: 12"-18"
Pittsburgh: 6"-10"
Providence: 24"-32"
Richmond: 1"-2"
Washington, DC: 4"-8"
White Plains: 12"-18"
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Dave C
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 868
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 4:36 pm
- Location: Middleboro, Mass.(midway between Cape Cod and Boston)
Hey Don
Don, what is your feeling on sleet or rain mixing, the latest NWS disc. mentioned some 6z models bringing storm a little north of 40-70 benchmark. We were -5 deg. this morning, kind of reminds me of historic storm in Jan 1857 where temps were well below 0 in many areas prior to storm and a well defined eye feature as storm tracked over SE Mass. Difference being this storm related to clipper where 1857 storm formed in Gulf(miller-A).
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Stephanie
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23843
- Age: 63
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
- Location: Glassboro, NJ
donsutherland1 wrote:Stephanie,
I very much hope that Marty will have a safe trip and good time at the show. The snow will probably arrive in NYC around midday. The Philly area will see its arrival earlier. I hope he will be very careful coming back given the conditions at the time.
Thanks Don! They'll make it up to NYC alright, I just hope that they find a hotel or something when they decide to come home.
When he left this morning he said "see you tonight" and I told him MAYBE. 
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weatherfan
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 89
- Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2003 7:50 pm
I agree don with your over all esterments.For those who are geting screwed beleave me I do feel your pain.The important thing to always keep in mind is this is a miller B and when deeling with Miller B storms there will always be someone who will be screwed and missed by it.Also miller Bs tend to be the most complex to forecasts do to the troubles the modles tend to have with them ands its formations.Ofton times then not Miller Bs Tend to Suck south of MD line. the dynamicks of the GW and the frist system is what lucking people south of MD with this system with the snow that happening right now.If you are rooting for snow in VA and even winterey weather in NC and SC.Your systems your have to root for is the Miller As.So far this winter miller As has been hard to come by.winter of 2002-2003 was a winter where the pattern faverd the miller A track this why the record breaking snows in much of the middle Alantic.1996 was another winter where it faverd it seem mosty miller A tracks.This winter so far has faverd the miller B.But don't give up hope.Because the storm tracks have all been different types this year.We have had western tracks lake cuters West of the mountains tracks millers Bs and Yes beleave it or not even the milller A.Because in late December that was a miller A but the pattern just was it faverd for it to come up the coast.But since we can get the miller A there is hope for those who are missing out on this event yet this winter.And hopefully we will see at least one or two miller A track storms before winter is over.
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Tri-State_1925
- Category 1
- Posts: 341
- Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 11:16 am
- Location: Worcester Hills, MA
I was driving around Northern CT when the snow started around 2:40 PM...and man did it pick up quickly. As advertised -- car-whipped, blowing snow was all over the roads within 15 minutes...cars starting to crawl around out there. If it's already this bad, it is going to be unreal tonight. For anyone doubting how bad it is going to get up here, forget about it.
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weatherfan
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 89
- Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2003 7:50 pm
I agree 100 percent that this is diffentey no 78.1978 is specal on it own because it was a triper phaser.And Baltmore did much better with a foot at least with 1978.This is a classest example of a Miller B.The problems with miller Bs are.They form to late for places south of MD line.But are good for Md line north.The big events that are good for most south of Pa is the Miller As that form in the gulf and come up the east coast.Some argures PD2 was a miller B but that was a miller A pure sub tropica jet invove.But as said before don't lose fath yet.Because it is only januarey and we hopefully we will see one or two miller As before the winter is through.
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donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
- Location: New York
Re: Blizzard Likely in Parts of Northern Mid-Atlantic/Northe
Verification:
Babylon: 16"-24"; Actual 15.8" (N. Babylon: 12.0"; W. Babylon: 19.6")
Baltimore: 6"-12"; Actual: 4.5"
Boston: 22"-30"; Actual 22.5"
Chicago: 8"-16"; Actual: 11.2"
Cleveland: 6"-10"; Actual: 7.4"
Columbus: 4"-8"; Actual: 2.1"
Danbury: 10"-18"; Actual: 10.0"
Detroit: 6"-10"; Actual: 12.2"
New York City: 12"-20"; Actual: 13.8"
Newark: 14"-20"; Actual: 13.4"
Philadelphia: 12"-18"; Actual: 12.8"
Pittsburgh: 6"-10"; Actual: 5.3"
Providence: 24"-32"; Actual: 23.4"
Richmond: 1"-2"; Actual: 0.2"
Washington, DC: 4"-8"; Actual: 3.0"
White Plains: 12"-18"; Actual: 8.2"
Overall, my final estimates were generally too high.
Babylon: 16"-24"; Actual 15.8" (N. Babylon: 12.0"; W. Babylon: 19.6")
Baltimore: 6"-12"; Actual: 4.5"
Boston: 22"-30"; Actual 22.5"
Chicago: 8"-16"; Actual: 11.2"
Cleveland: 6"-10"; Actual: 7.4"
Columbus: 4"-8"; Actual: 2.1"
Danbury: 10"-18"; Actual: 10.0"
Detroit: 6"-10"; Actual: 12.2"
New York City: 12"-20"; Actual: 13.8"
Newark: 14"-20"; Actual: 13.4"
Philadelphia: 12"-18"; Actual: 12.8"
Pittsburgh: 6"-10"; Actual: 5.3"
Providence: 24"-32"; Actual: 23.4"
Richmond: 1"-2"; Actual: 0.2"
Washington, DC: 4"-8"; Actual: 3.0"
White Plains: 12"-18"; Actual: 8.2"
Overall, my final estimates were generally too high.
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Anonymous
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