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Persepone
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NWS Area Forecast Discussion

#241 Postby Persepone » Thu Jan 27, 2005 4:23 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION


National Weather Service Taunton MA
249 PM EST Thu Jan 27 2005

Short term (tonight through Friday): 12Z models confirm our earlier thinking and we are not planning to make major changes regarding forecast for Cape Cod and islands, so the winter weather advisory will remain in effect there until 6 AM Fri.

Bands have certainly become disrupted due to daytime heating over past few hours, and Plymouth profiler indicates low level winds have backed to 360 which has focused bands more onto Cape Cod and away from Plymouth county. Satellite loop also shows about the best organized cloud streets we've seen, but you can also see they are holding their N-S Orientation while the entire Mass focuses toward Cape Cod.

Forecast soundings show a low level inversion based 3-4kft with little or no directional shear present into Fri. Ocean-Induced capes peak around 530 j/kg late tonight as temperature difference between ocean surface and 850 mb reaches 22C! expect to see 30 dbz elements within better organized bands later tonight, which translates to locally heavy snow with 1/4sm visibility.

12Km nam (eta) and suny-Sb MM5 support our thinking that bands will strengthen once again tonight as we lose daytime heating. Steering flow will try to back to 340-350, putting stronger bands on outer Cape and perhaps Nantucket, but they May hold at 360 for much of night as we see effects of frictional convergence. Cross sections look impressive tonight with a prolonged period of upward motion centered upon max snow growth region. We are confident in widespread 2-4" snowfall totals tonight on Cape Cod and Nantucket, with as much as 6" in persistent snows (mainly outer Cape). If everything comes together we wouldn'T be surprised to see some 8" amounts, but we are not confident on that occurring we will stay within advisory range at this time. Marthas Vineyard Will be shadowed to some extent so totals of 1-3" seem more reasonable there.

Otherwise, not much going on with clear skies and very cold temperatures tonight into Fri. We considered a wind chill advisory for much of the region tonight, but it looks marginal as winds will diminish. It looks to be more of a function of actual air temperature and we will undercut mos guidance by several degrees which looks to be too warm, especially considering fresh deep snow cover.

Long term (Friday night through Thursday): Relative calm curtesy of high pressure Sat/Sun time frame. Though models indicate periods of ci weekend will be dry with seasonable temps. Wl follow eta solution of bringing next system off mid Atlantic coast Sun eve/Mon but keep pcpn to our south but not as far S as gfs would advertize.

Great deal of uncertainty as this point regarding middle of next week. Models differ on how ejection of SW energy will evolve with solutions ranging from basically more high pres across the NE to another significant winter storm heading toward the NE. Ops gfs suggests no event while 84 hr eta would hint at something heading NE and the 6z dgex certainly maintains that solution. Ecmwf continues to support evolution of closed low just to our S/E but the big picture flow with closed low in SW and swrd suppression of the greenland block would not support such a drastic solution. progressive slightly amplified sys yes but to close off seems extreme. With that in mind - will maintain at least a chc of precipitation Tue-Wed And will be mostly in form of snow - though between thkns and sfc temps will also have rain mentioned along the coast.

Followed basically mexmos and NCEP numbers Sat-Thu.


Aviation:
Vfr clear through Friday. Exception is on Cape Cod and islands where
mvfr ceilings and visibilities will prevail into Fri afternoon, And
we expect to see areas of ifr conditions develop this evening as
ocean effect bands strengthen tonight.


We will have small craft advisories for all but Boston Harbor and
Narragansett Bay, As winds have dropped below gale force but will
remain gusty into Fri morning. Seas will take their time coming down
and will remain rough on outer waters through Fri.

Longer term will have diminishing winds and slow decrease in seas Sat/Sun. Next opportunity for winds of sca strength will be associated with passage of potential sys mid week pushing against ridge to our N. Lots of uncertainty.


Climatology:
We have had a couple of inquiries on consecutive days aob 32F.

Heres what we just acquired from internal climo tools. If you find error in this, please inform us. Period of record is basically only ~56-57 years (148-49) except bos 85 years. Thanks.

Record current
consec days end date
Bos 16 2/3/61 11 tomorrow is 12 and
ties 5th longest period of
of record for this inquiry
is short 1920-2005

Bdl 19 12/30/89 12 need 3 more days to tie #5

Pvd 18 2/5/61 11 need 3 more days to tie #5

Orh 23 12/30/1989 12 long ways off


For those who were around at that time, a great great winter of 60-
61 with cold and drifting snow storms including the inaugural storm!

Of course 89, an unbelievable shift NY eve 89 and good bye winter the rest of the way after that fabulously Cold Dec 89!


Box watches/warnings/advisories:
CT, None.
MA, Winter weather advisory for maz022-024 until 6 AM Friday.
NH, None.
RI, None.
marine, Small craft advisory for all but Boston Harbor and
Narragansett Bay.


Short term/aviation, jwd
long term, Wtb/vallee
climatology, Drag
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#242 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Jan 27, 2005 4:53 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
307 PM EST THU JAN 27 2005


.A COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE JUST EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS
FRIDAY...WITH A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. SOUTHWEST FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL SPREAD WARM MOIST AIR...TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD INTO THE REGION BEFORE DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THEN CONTINUE
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. SOUTHERN AREAS MAY SEE THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO MOSTLY RAIN DURING THE DAY...ALTHOUGH THE
PRECIPITATION IN THOSE SOUTHERN AREAS MAY ACTUALLY BEGIN AS A MIX OF
SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.
SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY MID MORNING SATURDAY
...MAINLY ACROSS THE SEQUATCHIE VALLEY...PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE
AND INTO CHEROKEE AND CLAY COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA. OTHER VALLEY
LOCATIONS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS MIGHT ALSO SEE A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN.

COLDER AIR WILL FLOW INTO THE REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS MIDDLE AND EAST TENNESSEE. MOST AREAS
SHOULD SEE THE MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO MOSTLY SNOW AT THAT
TIME...WITH SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ALONG THE TENNESSEE AND NORTH
CAROLINA STATE LINE.
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#243 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Jan 27, 2005 4:54 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
333 PM CST THU JAN 27 2005


...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR EAST-CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST STATES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO ALABAMA. AT THE SAME TIME...
AN EASTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL PUSH A DRY AND COLD AIRMASS
INTO ALABAMA FROM GEORGIA. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE ALOFT MOVING
OVER COLDER AND DRIER AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL RESULT IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING IN
AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

ALZ017>021-026>029-280955-
BLOUNT-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLAY-CLEBURNE-ETOWAH-RANDOLPH-ST CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-
333 PM CST THU JAN 27 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR EAST-CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH. THE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO POSSIBILITY OF
A FREEZING RAIN EVENT. PRECIPITATION...IN THE FORM OF RAIN MIXED WITH
SLEET...WILL MOVE INTO THE WATCH AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS
TIME...SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABOVE FREEZING IN THE WATCH
AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...SO NO TRAVEL PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL FRIDAY EVENING AS THE RAIN FALLS
INTO RELATIVELY DRIER AIR AT THE SURFACE. THIS PROCESS...CALLED
EVAPORATIVE COOLING...WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO THE
FREEZING MARK AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES IN THE
WATCH AREA WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK
UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...MEANING ANY RAIN THAT FALLS WILL FREEZE
ON IMPACT.

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVER-PASSES IN THE WATCH AREA MAY BECOME SLICK
AND HAZARDOUS. ANY ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON ROADWAYS...BRIDGES AND
OVER WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS.

THERE COULD BE CHANGES IN THE TIMING AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...
SO COUNTIES MAY BE ADDED OR REMOVED AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER.
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#244 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:20 am

Snow Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
713 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005


.A STORM SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF WEST TEXAS WILL BRING ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

OKZ022>030-290000-
CADDO OK-CANADIAN OK-CLEVELAND OK-GRADY OK-LINCOLN OK-MCCLAIN OK-
OKLAHOMA OK-POTTAWATOMIE OK-WASHITA OK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHICKASHA...EDMOND...EL RENO...NORMAN...
OKLAHOMA CITY AND SHAWNEE
713 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM CST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN OK HAS EXPANDED THE SNOW
ADVISORY TO INCLUDE NORTHERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FOR TODAY.

LIGHT RAIN WILL BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...BEFORE GRADUALLY BECOME MAINLY SNOW...WITH
SOME SLEET OR RAIN MIXED IN. ALTHOUGH WARM GROUND AND TEMPERATURES IN
THE 30S WILL CAUSE SOME MELTING OF THE SNOW...ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. GRASSY SURFACES... BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SNOW ACCUMULATION. THE SNOW
HAS ALREADY ENDED OVER FAR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATER TODAY.
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#245 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:23 am

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005


.COLD...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD DOWN THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TODAY AND TONIGHT. DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE COLDER AIR IN PLACE AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND TREKS TOWARD THE
CAROLINA COAST. THE RESULT IS LIKELY TO BE A WINTRY MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FOR THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND EXTREME
NORTHEAST GEORGIA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION OR
CABLE TELEVISION FOR LATER STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS IMMINENT WINTER
WEATHER EPISODE.

NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082-281600-
ALEXANDER NC-BURKE NC-CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-GASTON NC-IREDELL NC-LINCOLN NC-MCDOWELL NC-
MECKLENBURG NC-POLK NC-ROWAN NC-RUTHERFORD NC-UNION NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTER CITY CHARLOTTE...COLUMBUS...
CONCORD...GASTONIA...HICKORY...LENOIR...LINCOLNTON...MARION...
MOCKSVILLE...MONROE...MORGANTON...NEWTON...RUTHERFORDTON...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...STATESVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE AND UNC CHARLOTTE
247 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO
OVERSPREAD THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA LATE SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION ONSET MAY BE MID
AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS ALONG...AND EAST...OF INTERSTATE 77. DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN MAKING A TRANSITION TO MORE OF A WINTRY MIXTURE OF SLEET AND
SNOW...FINALLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR A RAIN/FREEZING RAIN
MIXTURE BEFORE ENDING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
THIS FORECAST PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF
FREEZING.
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#246 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:24 am

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
504 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005


.A STORM SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL DEVELOP AS IT
MOVES INTO THE GULF COAST REGION ON SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY A SECOND LOW
WILL FORM OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT WINTER PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-282100-
ALLEGHANY VA-ALLEGHANY NC-AMHERST VA-APPOMATTOX VA-ASHE NC-BATH VA-
BEDFORD VA-BLAND VA-BOTETOURT VA-BUCKINGHAM VA-CAMPBELL VA-
CARROLL VA-CASWELL NC-CHARLOTTE VA-CRAIG VA-FLOYD VA-FRANKLIN VA-
GILES VA-GRAYSON VA-GREENBRIER WV-HALIFAX VA-HENRY VA-MERCER WV-
MONROE WV-MONTGOMERY VA-PATRICK VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-PULASKI VA-
ROANOKE VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-ROCKINGHAM NC-SMYTH VA-STOKES NC-SUMMERS WV-
SURRY NC-TAZEWELL VA-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-WYTHE VA-YADKIN NC-
504 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG, VA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.

THE PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MOST LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA ARE EXPECTED TO GET 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOME LIGHT ICING LIKELY DUE TO ANY FREEZING
RAIN.

HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...WHERE THERE COULD BE UP TO 6 INCHES.
ANYWHERE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE VIRGINIA
FOOTHILLS NORTH OF ROANOKE MAY ALSO GET UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...AS
WELL AS LIGHT ICING.

IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WINTER
STORM WILL ARRIVE LATER ON SATURDAY OR STAY FURTHER SOUTH IN THE
CAROLINAS. THIS WOULD RESULT IN LESS SNOW AND ICE FOR THE WATCH AREA.
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#247 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:25 am

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
305 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005


GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-290300-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-
CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DOUGLAS-FANNIN-
FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-GWINNETT-HALL-
HANCOCK-HARALSON-HEARD-HENRY-JACKSON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JONES-LAMAR-
LUMPKIN-MADISON-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MORGAN-MURRAY-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-
OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-
SOUTH FULTON-SPALDING-TALIAFERRO-TOWNS-TROUP-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-
WALTON-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILKES-
305 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING ALONG
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAGRANGE TO THOMASTON TO SANDERSVILLE FROM
FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES THE ATLANTA
AND ATHENS AREAS.

A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS TODAY...BRINGING COLDER AND DRIER AIR INTO NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA. MEANWHILE RAIN OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL MOVE EASTWARD
INTO GEORGIA OVERNIGHT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO
FREEZING OR BELOW OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
THIS COULD LEAD TO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. WHILE THERE
COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION...AND
THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW MIXED IN OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS. SOUTH OF THE
ATLANTA AND ATHENS AREAS...ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE NEAR 1/4 INCH.
FROM ATLANTA AND ATHENS NORTHWARD 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE...WITH AMOUNTS CLOSER TO 1/2 INCH OR GREATER POSSIBLE OVER
THE FAR NORTHEAST.

ON SATURDAY TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA IN THE MORNING...CHANGING THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO ALL
RAIN...BUT OVER NORTH GEORGIA TEMPERATURES WILL NOT WARM
SIGNIFICANTLY...LEADING TO THE FREEZING RAIN CONTINUING WELL INTO THE
DAY SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BEGIN TO WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING
OVER NORTH GEORGIA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY EVENING.
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#248 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:26 am

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
411 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005


.HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL CONTINUE TO
ACT AS A SOURCE FOR COLD DRY LOW LEVEL AIR ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY INTO SATURDAY. A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TODAY...SPREADING WARM MOIST AIR OVER THE
SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. PRECIPITATION FALLING INTO
THE COLD DRY LAYER WILL INITIALLY START AS A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET
BY LATE IN THE DAY TODAY...THEN CHANGE TO POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN
OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES SLOWLY DROP TO AROUND FREEZING.
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB BACK ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE
MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY ENDING THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT.

ALZ008>010-TNZ097-282200-
DE KALB-FRANKLIN TN-JACKSON-MARSHALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT PAYNE...GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...
WINCHESTER
411 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TONIGHT THROUGH NOON ON
SATURDAY FOR NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WARNING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF
GENERALLY UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH...ALTHOUGH ICE ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ALABAMA/GEORGIA STATE
LINE.

PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY LATE IN THE
DAY TODAY AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
INITIALLY BE IN THE FORM OF A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET. SINCE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING AND
SINCE THE GROUND IS RELATIVELY MILD FROM RECENT WARM SPELLS ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED INITIALLY.

HOWEVER...AS PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL INTO THE COLD...
DRY...LOW LEVEL AIRMASS ADDITIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR AND THE
PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN. FREEZING RAIN WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
HOURS ON SATURDAY AS TEMPERATURES HOVER BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES.

ONCE AGAIN...ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE AROUND ONE
QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ON HILLS AND MOUNTAINS AND
NEAR THE ALABAMA/GEORGIA STATE LINE. ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE
LIMBS...POWER LINES...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES WILL ACCUMULATE ICE
FIRST...FOLLOWED BY AN EVENTUAL LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON SOME
ROADWAYS.
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#249 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:27 am

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005


.A COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE APPALACHIANS TODAY
AND TONIGHT...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE
GULF COAST. THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL HELP TO SPREAD MOISTURE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...AS
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY DROP TO AROUND THE FREEZING MARK AND BELOW. AN
ABOVE-FREEZING SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND 5000 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL
HELP TO PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA. MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. IN ADDITION...SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...AS WELL AS NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO MOSTLY RAIN ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM YOUR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AS THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER EVENT
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP.


TNZ012>014-035>041-067>074-291700-
ANDERSON TN-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS TN-CAMPBELL TN-CLAIBORNE TN-
COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS TN-GRAINGER TN-HAMBLEN TN-JEFFERSON TN-KNOX TN-
LOUDON TN-MORGAN TN-NORTH SEVIER TN-NORTHWEST COCKE TN-NW BLOUNT TN-
ROANE TN-SCOTT TN-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS TN-UNION TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALCOA...CLINTON...DANDRIDGE...GATLINBURG...
JEFFERSON CITY...KINGSTON...KNOXVILLE...LA FOLLETTE...LENOIR CITY...
LOUDON...MARYVILLE...MAYNARDVILLE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...
OAK RIDGE...ONEIDA...ROCKWOOD...RUTLEDGE...SEVIERVILLE AND WARTBURG
313 AM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL NOON
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN TN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.

MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL EAST TENNESSEE...ALTHOUGH RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES AS WELL. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING
BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO MOSTLY
RAIN.
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#250 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:29 am

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005


.AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS TODAY. AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES...A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATE TONIGHT WILL VARY
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS IN
CENTRAL KANSAS.

KSZ032-033-047>052-067>069-082-083-091>093-290200-
BARTON-BUTLER-COWLEY-ELLSWORTH-HARPER-HARVEY-KINGMAN-LINCOLN-MARION-
MCPHERSON-RENO-RICE-RUSSELL-SALINE-SEDGWICK-SUMNER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTHONY...ARKANSAS CITY...AUGUSTA...
ELDORADO...ELLSWORTH...GREAT BEND...HARPER...HUTCHINSON...
KINGMAN...LINCOLN...LYONS...MARION...MCPHERSON...NEWTON...
RUSSELL...SALINA...WELLINGTON...WICHITA...WINFIELD
423 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CST FRIDAY...

A MIXTURE OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA THIS
MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE MODERATE INTENSITY
AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
BY LATE THIS EVENING...MAINLY ON GRASSY AREAS.
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#251 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:30 am

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#252 Postby sertorius » Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:48 am

The NWS out of Topeka has issued a winter weather advisory for Lawrence thru late tonight-I would expect Kansas City to put one out later this morning. It does appear there is some winter weather heading this way and since we have not seen much this year, it could be quite a mess here this evening!!
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#253 Postby therock1811 » Fri Jan 28, 2005 7:38 pm

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
359 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ078-079-081-082-088-290500-
ADAMS OH-BOONE KY-BRACKEN KY-BROWN OH-CAMPBELL KY-CARROLL KY-
CLERMONT OH-GALLATIN KY-GRANT KY-KENTON KY-LEWIS KY-MASON KY-OHIO IN-
OWEN KY-PENDLETON KY-PIKE OH-ROBERTSON KY-SCIOTO OH-SWITZERLAND IN-
359 PM EST FRI JAN 28 2005

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON OH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW ON SATURDAY
EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION
CAN BE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE SOME LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATION DURING THE MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN A WINTERY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS, BUT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE
DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING,
MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES
WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER ALL HAZARDS RADIO AND OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.
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#254 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2005 3:46 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
157 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005


AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. IN AREAS NORTHWEST OF A COMANCHE...
CLEBURNE...BONHAM LINE TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SNOW. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN IN THE WEST AROUND TUESDAY AT NOON
AND SPREAD EASTWARD TO THE DFW METROPLEX NEAR MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE
BONHAM AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END
FROM THE WEST BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SNOW ENDING IN
THE EAST SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
TWO TO FOUR INCHES IN THE AREA NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM EASTLAND TO
SHERMAN. AT THIS TIME THE DFW METROPLEX WILL SEE SOME WINTER
WEATHER...BUT UNCERTAINTIES IN TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION MEANS THAT
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE STORM IS STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST. STAY ALERT FOR UPDATES BECAUSE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS
CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY.

TXZ091>094-100>105-115>120-129>133-141-010400-
COLLIN TX-COMANCHE TX-COOKE TX-DALLAS TX-DENTON TX-EASTLAND TX-
ERATH TX-FANNIN TX-GRAYSON TX-HOOD TX-HUNT TX-JACK TX-JOHNSON TX-
MONTAGUE TX-PALO PINTO TX-PARKER TX-ROCKWALL TX-SOMERVELL TX-
STEPHENS TX-TARRANT TX-WISE TX-YOUNG TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ADDISON...ALLEN...ALVARADO...ARLINGTON...
AZLE...BALCH SPRINGS...BEDFORD...BENBROOK...BONHAM...BOWIE...
BRECKENRIDGE...BRIAR...BRIDGEPORT...BURLESON...CARROLLTON...
CEDAR HILL...CISCO...CLEBURNE...COCKRELL HILL...COLLEYVILLE...
COMANCHE...COMMERCE...COPPELL...CORINTH...CROWLEY...DALLAS...
DECATUR...DENISON...DENTON...DESOTO...DUBLIN...DUNCANVILLE...
EAGLE MOUNTAIN...EASTLAND...EULESS...EVERMAN...FARMERS BRANCH...
FLOWER MOUND...FOREST HILL...FORT WORTH...FRISCO...GAINESVILLE...
GARLAND...GRAHAM...GRANBURY...GRAND PRAIRIE...GRAPEVINE...
GREENVILLE...HALTOM CITY...HIGHLAND PARK...HIGHLAND VILLAGE...
HURST...HUTCHINS...IRVING...JACKSBORO...JOSHUA...KEENE...KELLER...
KENNEDALE...LAKE DALLAS...LAKE WORTH...LANCASTER...LEWISVILLE...
MANSFIELD...MCKINNEY...MESQUITE...MINERAL WELLS...NOCONA...
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS...OLNEY...PALO PINTO...PLANO...RANGER...
RENDON...RICHARDSON...RICHLAND HILLS...RIVER OAKS...ROCKWALL...
ROWLETT...SACHSE...SAGINAW...SANGER...SANSOM PARK...SEAGOVILLE...
SHERMAN...SOUTHLAKE...STEPHENVILLE...THE COLONY...TROPHY CLUB...
UNIVERSITY PARK...WATAUGA...WEATHERFORD...WHITE SETTLEMENT...
WHITESBORO AND WYLIE
157 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH TX HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE, BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS.
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#255 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2005 3:47 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1159 AM CST MON JAN 31 2005


...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...THE PERMIAN
BASIN...THE MARFA AND STOCKTON PLATEAUS...THE BIG BEND REGION...AND
THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS FOR TUESDAY...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OVER
PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

NMZ027-TXZ047-048-051>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-080-081-258-312100-
BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CRANE-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-ECTOR-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-PECOS-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-UPTON-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPINE/FT. DAVIS...BIG LAKE...BIG SPRING...
COLORADO CITY...CRANE...FT. STOCKTON...GAIL...GARDEN CITY...KERMIT...
MARFA...MENTONE...MIDLAND...MONAHANS...ODESSA...PANTHER JUNCTION...
PECOS/BALMORHEA...PINE SPRINGS...QUEEN...RANKIN/MCCAMEY...SNYDER...
STANTON...VAN HORN

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR TUESDAY. THE FAVORED LOCATIONS FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
BE FROM THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS EASTWARD ACROSS THE
STOCKTON PLATEAU...THE TRANS PECOS REGION...AND THE CENTRAL PERMIAN
BASIN. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING OVER THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
TUESDAY. BY AFTERNOON...LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL TRANSITION TO
MODERATE SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE AREA FROM THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS EAST
ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. SNOWFALL WILL SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PERMIAN
BASIN. MANY LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES.
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY RESULT IN MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS.
IN ADDITION...A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE BIG BEND
REGION.

AREA RESIDENTS AND THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION ARE URGED
TO COMPLETE PREPARATION FOR A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING AND POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. SNOW AMOUNTS AND INTENSITY WILL
LIKELY BE REFINED AS ADDITIONAL FORECASTS...INCLUDING WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES...ARE ISSUED.
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#256 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2005 3:48 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1201 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005


TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-010300-
BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-FISHER TX-
HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SHACKELFORD TX-
STERLING TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-TOM GREEN TX-
1201 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOMORROW MORNING AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT
TIMES AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OZONA TO SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM STERLING
CITY TO ABILENE TO ALBANY.

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AS READINGS WILL HOVER BETWEEN 30 TO 34 DEGREES...AND
THE TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM.
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#257 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2005 3:49 pm

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
128 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005


.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN A HIGH CHANCE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF OKLAHOMA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

OKZ045>048-050>052-TXZ089-090-021200-
ARCHER TX-ATOKA OK-BRYAN OK-CARTER OK-CLAY TX-JEFFERSON OK-
JOHNSTON OK-LOVE OK-MARSHALL OK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARDMORE...DURANT AND HENRIETTA
128 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP NEAR ARCHER CITY...HENRIETTA...WAURIKA...
AND MARIETTA...BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SPREADING EASTWARD
ALONG THE RED RIVER LATE IN THE DAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO OCCUR FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. MOST SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY CURRENTLY EXISTS REGARDING THE EXACT PATH AND
STRENGTH OF THE STORM SYSTEM...THAT EXACT SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE MORE OR
LESS THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST. THE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO BE
REFINED AS MORE INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
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#258 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2005 5:16 pm

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005


...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
WINTER STORM WARNING AND SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OVER
PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR....PARTICULARLY ACROSS WEST TEXAS.

NMZ027-TXZ047-048-051>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-080-081-258-011200-
BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CRANE-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-ECTOR-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-PECOS-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-UPTON-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPINE/FT. DAVIS...BIG LAKE...BIG SPRING...
COLORADO CITY...CRANE...FT. STOCKTON...GAIL...GARDEN CITY...KERMIT...
MARFA...MENTONE...MIDLAND...MONAHANS...ODESSA...PANTHER JUNCTION...
PECOS/BALMORHEA...PINE SPRINGS...QUEEN...RANKIN/MCCAMEY...SNYDER...
STANTON...VAN HORN

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING. SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING OVER THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO AND THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS TUESDAY. BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...LIGHT RAIN OR
DRIZZLE WILL TRANSITION TO MODERATE SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
SNOWFALL WILL SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND BIG
BEND...AND WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. STORM
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY RESULT IN MORE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. IN
ADDITION...A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE BIG BEND
REGION.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR LIKELY.

AREA RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO COMPLETE PREPARATION NOW FOR A DANGEROUS
WINTER STORM. TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY IS DISCOURAGED.
REMEMBER...NEARLY ONE THIRD OF PEOPLE KILLED IN WINTER STORMS DIE IN
VEHICLES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.
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#259 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Feb 01, 2005 9:07 am

Heavy Snow Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
416 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2005


TXZ049-054-098-099-113-114-127-128-011800-
CALLAHAN TX-FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-JONES TX-NOLAN TX-SHACKELFORD TX-
TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
416 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2005

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO TX HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING.

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS
MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 OR 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BIG COUNTRY BY THIS EVENING...BEFORE THE SNOW BEGINS TO TAPER OFF
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
FREEZING...THE SNOWFALL WILL MAINLY ACCUMULATE ON GRASSY AREAS.
HOWEVER...SLICK SPOTS WILL DEVELOP ON AREA ROADWAYS AS
WELL...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
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#260 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Feb 01, 2005 9:08 am

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
418 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2005


...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
WINTER STORM WARNING AND SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TODAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OVER
PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR....PARTICULARLY ACROSS WEST TEXAS.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING. SNOW HAS BEGUN FALLING OVER THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WITH
LIGHT RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND
UPPER TRANS PECOS. BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...LIGHT RAIN
OR DRIZZLE WILL TRANSITION TO MODERATE SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
SNOWFALL WILL SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND BIG
BEND...AND WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. STORM
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOWFALL MAY RESULT IN MORE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...A MIX OF SLEET
AND SNOW MAY FALL OVER THE BIG BEND REGION.
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