Anyway, another cold and wet day today, just like yesterday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
346 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2005
.DISCUSSION...A REPEAT OF MONDAYS WEATHER ABOUT SUMS UP THE FORECAST
TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF HOUSTON
ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AND WILL BE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AS A SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTHWEST
GULF BEGINS TO WIND UP SOME AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDES
THROUGH THE REGION. SOUNDINGS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN QUITE MOIST AND THE
ETA MODEL FORECASTS FRONTOGENESIS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF WHICH WILL RESULT
IN EXTRA LIFT TODAY WHICH WILL SURELY AMOUNT TO MORE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST. A TIGHTNING OF THE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO MEAN COLD AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO BE PULLED DOWN FROM THE NORTH. IN FACT...THE 1000 TO 500 MB THICKNESS
PATTERN SHOWS NEUTRAL TO COOLING WHICH COMBINED WITH CLOUD COVER WILL MAKE
FOR A DAMP AND COLD DAY WHICH IS AN EXCUSE FOR ME TO PUT ANOTHER LOG IN THE FIRE
AND BREAK OUT THE HOT CHOCOLATE...COATS AND UMBRELLAS.
ON THE BRIGHTER SIDE OF THINGS...THE SUN WILL MAKE AN APPEARANCE BEGINNING ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A DRYING TREND DEVELOPING FROM THEN ON INTO SATURDAY.
OUR COOL WEATHER WILL MODIFY SOMEWHAT OVER TIME WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOT MORE SUN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THIS TIME PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE ENTRENCHES OVER THE REGION.
STORMY WEATHER RETURNS ON SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM COMES OUT
OF BAJA ALIFORNIA/OLD MEXICO. NO REST FOR THE WEARY AS LONGLEAD MODEL RUNS SHOW
MORE SYSTEMS IN THE PIPELINE COMING AT US NEXT WEEK. STAY TUNED!
&&
.AVIATION...IFR CONDITIONS WILL RULE THE AREA TODAY AS LOW CLOUDS AND AN ABUNDANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS KEEP THINGS UNSETTLED. IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN BY
WEDNESDAY AS LOW CLOUDS BEGIN TO EXIT FROM WEST TO EAST.
&&
.MARINE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED AGAIN AS WINDS AND SEAS WILL
REMAIN HIGH DUE TO A TIGHTNING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF. STORMY
WEATHER CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED AS A SURFACE LOW GENERATES STRONG LOW LEVEL LIFT
IN AN ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS ALREADY PRIME FOR ACTIVITY.