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R-Dub
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#1521 Postby R-Dub » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:14 pm

Now down to 35 degrees with a dewpoint of 32, and its cloudy.
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#1522 Postby W13 » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:24 pm

Now the temperature is down to 36 F, as of 8:24 PM! :P :D
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#1523 Postby R-Dub » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:34 pm

Looks like precip is on the increase from the north and the south. Also PSCZ looks to be getting enhanced right in the middle :lol:
Temp holding at 35 degrees.

http://radar.wrh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS ... katx.shtml
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#1524 Postby TT-SEA » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:45 pm

Also on the latest GFS... the system for Friday is now MUCH weaker. Southerly flow ahead of this weak trough to the west and minimal high cloudiness could lead to a very nice day on Friday. Close to my originally predicted 59 degrees... if not higher!! The ridge establishes itself on Wednesday and Thursday. On this point the GFS has been very consistent (with a few minor deviations).

The split flow and blocking ridge continue.

Here is this coming Thursday...

Image
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#1525 Postby AnthonyC » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:47 pm

Just got back from the Cheesecake Factory in Bellevue, and we hit a pretty decent shower between Mill Creek and Mukilteo. Current temperature is 36 F and it feels COLD!!! But it was ALL rain...no snow was mixing in. I'm surprised the temperatures have reached this low...I surely thought with cloud cover and precip, temps would rise.

In any event, I made Oregon State University!!! Although definitely not my top school, I'm pretty excited right now!! lol. Keep the faith alive for tonight!!

Anthony
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#1526 Postby R-Dub » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:51 pm

Congrats to Anthony!!!! AWESOME!!!

And hey, if meterology doesn't work out, OSU has one of the best Turf Management programs in the U.S. :lol:
I thought about going there, but I chose to get my 2yr turf degree online though Penn State.

Still 35 degrees and cloudy.
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#1527 Postby W13 » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:54 pm

Hovering between 36 and 37 degrees as of 8:55 PM
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#1528 Postby R-Dub » Sat Feb 05, 2005 11:55 pm

Is that the PSCZ firing up big time just north of Seattle to Everett, or is it just part of the incoming system???
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#1529 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:00 am

HA, :lol: the system is almost on top of us, and still truly anything can happen.......
Latest NWS Seattle.........

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 900 PM PST FRI FEB 4 2005

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFFSHORE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE COAST SUNDAY. HEAVY WET SNOW MAY FALL AROUND HOOD CANAL AND THE KITSAP PENINSULA SUNDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TIL LATE NEXT WEEK. &&

.DISCUSSION...DONT SEE ANY MM5 COMING IN YET BUT THE MESOETA SUGGESTS THAT THE CURRENT FCST LOOKS FINE. MESOETA SFC TEMPS DROP ON SUN ALONG HOOD CANAL AND KITSAP PENN INTO THE MID 30S...WHEREAS ALL OTHER AREAS ARE FCST TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S. GREATEST PCPN SEEMS TO BE CENTERED ON THE LAKE CUSHMAN AREA WHERE THE MODEL GENERATES 1.5 INCHES AND THAT COULD VERY WELL BE HVY SNOW. EVEN THE HILLS ON THE KITSAP PENN ABV 500 FEET MAY SEE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW. CERTAINLY GOLD MOUNTAIN AND SUCH WOULD SEE SNOW AND IF THE MODEL IS OKAY...UP TO EIGHT INCHES COULD FALL UP HIGH. DOWN LOWER IT IS HARDER TO SAY...AT FIRST IT WILL BE RAIN...THEN A MIX AND THEN BY MIDDAY PROBABLY JUST LOTS OF HUGE WET SNOWFLAKES. FOR SEATTLE TEMPS WILL BE A NOTCH TOO HIGH AND PRECIP TOO LIGHT TO DRAG DOWN THE SNOW LEVEL MUCH. OBVIOUSLY TRICKY...WONT EVEN SEE THE PRESSURES FALLING FAST TIL AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THE SATIMG WONT BE VERY IMPRESSIVE TIL DAYBREAK. FINALLY...H850 WINDS ARE SOUTH 45KTS SUNDAY...MAYBE IT JUST WARMS UP AND WE SEE 40 DEGREE RAIN EVERYWHERE. IT IS INTERESTING THAT THE MESOETA HAS BEEN SHOWING A BLOB OF -5C AT H850 IN THE HVY PCPN BULLSEYE BUT OLD 12Z MM5 WARMS THINGS UP TO ARND -2C BY MIDDAY. WITH THAT TEMP I DONT LIKE THE FCST OF A SHELTON SNOW EVENT UNLESS WE WERE STARTING OFF WITH A CANADIAN AIR MASS AND MUCH LOWER DEWPOINTS. MM
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#1530 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:00 am

That is the interaction of the PSCZ remnants from earlier being re-energized by the incoming system.

Congratulations Anthony!
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#1531 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:02 am

Ironically we talked about going to the Cheesecake Factory in Bellevue tonight!! That would have been funny. Although we would not have known that each other was there. Still... its a small world.

We ended up ordering pizza.
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#1532 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:07 am

00z looks quite chilly for us from about day 7 on though the rest of the run. Even from now, to day 7 looks like normal temps, I don't know if we will see upper 50's or not TT?? Anything is possible though.
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#1533 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:09 am

Looks like a moderate shower just south of Everett moving north, Anthony, are you getting anything at your place??

2/5/05 LK Goodwin WA
9:14:33 PM CURRENT
Cloudy
Temperature (ºF) 35.4
Humidity (%) 92.8
Wind (mph) E 6.0
Daily Rain (") 0.02
Pressure ("Hg) 30.06
Dew Point: 32.9 ºF
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#1534 Postby AnthonyC » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:16 am

Very interesting weather outside. Just checked outside and it's currently 35 F. We have a moderate shower overhead...a few flakes mix in once in awhile...but nothing big. At least it's some form of wintry precip!! lol. TT-SEA, it's truly a small world!! The Cheesecake Factory is my favorite restaurant not only because the food is awesome, but it always seems the best looking women hang around there!! lol. Forgive me, but I'm a 17 year old boy!!

Anthony
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#1535 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:26 am

AnthonyC wrote:The Cheesecake Factory is my favorite restaurant not only because the food is awesome, but it always seems the best looking women hang around there!! lol. Forgive me, but I'm a 17 year old boy!!

Anthony


You Dawg Anthony :lol:

Never been to the cheesecake factory, but you have really perked my interest!
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#1536 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:26 am

That PSCZ looks interesting... particularly at this time of day. It is drifting north so R-Dub might get it soon. That could have just about anything in it.
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#1537 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:26 am

Anthony-

No apology necessary... I agree with you completely!!

You don't have to be 17 to notice that.
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#1538 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:29 am

The northern tip of that PSCZ not very far to my south now, hopefully I will see something soon.
That PSCZ has been with us, in one form or the other for almost 24hrs now! Its just been spending the day moving south, then back north again and so on.

Current temp still 35 degrees.
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#1539 Postby AnthonyC » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:32 am

R-Dub,

I would pay mighty close attention to this line of showers moving north. We ended with wet snow...albeit it was very light. Temperature has risen to 37 F with no precip falling. Since you're a little colder, it might actually snow once the precip hits you.

Anthony
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#1540 Postby R-Dub » Sun Feb 06, 2005 12:34 am

According to Accuweather, all of western WA is in a snowstorm :lol:
http://radar.accuweather.com/adcbin/pub ... nGet=btnst

Intellicast is all rain :lol:
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLoca ... e&pid=none

When in all auctuality most places seeing rain, but a few are getting mixed precip. Either one of those "precip type radars are accurate.
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