Worldwide Tropical Update: 07 February 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 07 February 2005 at 0000Z.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Meena (07F/15P) (07/0000Z)
Position: 22.9S 158.2W (660 mi WSW of Tahiti, French Polynesia)
Movement: SE at 23 mph
Winds: 130 mph
Pressure: 925 mb / 27.32"
Dvorak Est: T5.5/6.5

The eyewall of Meena has begun to warm and Meena is beginning to weaken some. Shear is picking up and model guidance agrees on acceleration toward the SE over the next few days. However, parts of the Cook and Austral Islands will have to monitor this system.

Tropical Depression Noname (13R/91S) (07/0000Z)
Position: 25.4S 58.5 (370 mi SE of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement: SW at 3 mph
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 997 mb / 29.44"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

13R is slowly moving throughout the Indian Ocean thanks to a building ridge. Limited change to strength is expected.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Harvey (06U/16P) (07/0000Z)
Position: 15.7S 138.8E (205 mi NW of Normanton, Australia)
Movement: SW at 10 mph
Winds: 80 mph
Pressure: 978 mb / 28.88"
Dvorak Est: T3.0/3.0

Harvey is expected to drift toward the coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria over the next few days while undergoing slight deepening.

Tropical Cyclone Noname (---/17S) (07/0000Z)
Position: 16.5S 116.6E (300 NNW of Port Hedland, Australia)
Movement: Stationary
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 995 mb / 29.38"
Dvorak Est: T2.5/2.5

17S is slowly organizing and is currently being referred to as a tropical low by BoM. However, since BoM measures winds in ten-minute averages (in this case 35 mph), the conversion to the US-standard of one-minute average makes the system a tropical cyclone. Regardless, this system is forecast to strengthen and be a player to the weather along coastal Western Australia.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

The 07/00Z update has been amended to reflect JTWC's upgrading 17S (formerly 99P).

The worldwide tropical update website reflects this system as well.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 07 February 2005 at 1800Z.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Meena (07F/15P) (07/1800Z)
Position: 26.6S 152.6W (655 mi SSW of Tahiti, French Polynesia)
Movement: SE at 23 mph
Winds: 90 mph
Pressure: 965 mb / 28.50"
Dvorak Est: T3.5/4.5

Meena has moving into Wellington’s AOR and is continuing to rapidly fall apart as she enters colder waters. Expect further weakening to continue as Meena accelerates.

Tropical Depression Noname (13R/91S) (07/1800Z)
Position: 27.0S 53.9E (515 mi SW of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement: SSW at 6 mph
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 997 mb / 29.44"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

13R is slowly moving throughout the Indian Ocean thanks to a building ridge. Limited change to strength is expected.

Tropical Cyclone Noname (---/17S) (07/1600Z)
Position: 16.3S 116.3E (320 NNW of Port Hedland, Australia)
Movement: Stationary
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 995 mb / 29.38"
Dvorak Est: T2.5/2.5

17S remains stationary off the Western Australian coast. Expect some slow development over the next few days.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com