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Scorpion

#21 Postby Scorpion » Fri Feb 11, 2005 6:47 pm

I think Florida will not have as many hurricanes this year, but we may not be so lucky with their intensity. Even one large Cat 4 in South or Central Florida that doesnt weaken(Frances) would do more damage than all 4 hurricanes combined last year.
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Rainband

#22 Postby Rainband » Fri Feb 11, 2005 7:30 pm

I was lucky because we had east coast trackers. If Charley would have stayed on course. My area would have been obliverated :eek:
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#23 Postby cajungal » Fri Feb 11, 2005 7:46 pm

I guess we are all overdue. Except for my favorite state Florida. I love you Florida! You are home to some of the most beautiful beaches in the world and I can never get enough of you. Louisiana especially the Houma-Grand Isle is way overdue for a major hurricane. We came pretty close with Andrew with the eye only passing 25 miles to my west. We experience 100 mph winds with higher gusts. And that is the only time in my life I ever experienced hurricane force winds and I am 28 years old. And even that was going on 13 years ago. We were in the eyewall for Betsy and that was way back in 1965. 11 years before I was born. We had some close calls, but we always seem to escape the threat. I have a feeling we will be just as lucky this year as all the years before us. Almost every year, my town goes under a hurricane warning, and we always end up dodging the bullet. Example: Ivan. I knew in my heart that Ivan was not going to hit us. I picked out Gulf Shores, Alabama almost as soon as it got close to the gulf. Let's just sit back as see what happens this year. There is nothing you can do about nature.
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#24 Postby Huckster » Fri Feb 11, 2005 10:42 pm

cajungal wrote:I guess we are all overdue. Except for my favorite state Florida. I love you Florida! You are home to some of the most beautiful beaches in the world and I can never get enough of you. Louisiana especially the Houma-Grand Isle is way overdue for a major hurricane. We came pretty close with Andrew with the eye only passing 25 miles to my west. We experience 100 mph winds with higher gusts. And that is the only time in my life I ever experienced hurricane force winds and I am 28 years old. And even that was going on 13 years ago. We were in the eyewall for Betsy and that was way back in 1965. 11 years before I was born. We had some close calls, but we always seem to escape the threat. I have a feeling we will be just as lucky this year as all the years before us. Almost every year, my town goes under a hurricane warning, and we always end up dodging the bullet. Example: Ivan. I knew in my heart that Ivan was not going to hit us. I picked out Gulf Shores, Alabama almost as soon as it got close to the gulf. Let's just sit back as see what happens this year. There is nothing you can do about nature.


Terrebonne Parish has been hit by some of the worst storms to hit LA. It's been hit directly by major hurricanes in 1856, 1879, 1909, 1926, 1964 (Hilda), 1965 (Betsy), 1974 (Carmen), and 1992 (Andrew). Other significant storms were 1860 (105 mph), 1867 (105 mph), 1888 (110 mph), 1893 (105 mph), 1920 (105 mph). Even though they probably don't count as direct hits, I'm sure 1860 (2 additional storms), 1893, 1915, 1934, and 1957 (Audrey) storms were pretty bad too, at the very least, along the coast. The storms seem to cluster around Grand Isle and Morgan City, and that puts you right in the middle. Anyone on the board go through Carmen?
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#25 Postby HurricaneBill » Fri Feb 11, 2005 10:47 pm

Huckster wrote: Anyone on the board go through Carmen?


That's what I'd like to know. For a major hurricane, you hear so little about Carmen.
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Scorpion

#26 Postby Scorpion » Sat Feb 12, 2005 11:01 am

I realized just how easy we got it last year down here. I think we only got hurricane force winds for maybe a few minutes at most. After thinking that I was outside in Cat 2 winds, I saw the Alex video and changed my mind instantly. The winds in that video were worlds away from the winds we experienced here. The winds I saw were probably only 55-60 mph at most. Most people here unfortunately think that we got Cat 2 winds and that any other hurricane wouldn't be too bad. This year we might not be so lucky :eek: .
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cyclonaut

#27 Postby cyclonaut » Sat Feb 12, 2005 3:24 pm

Scorpion wrote:I think this season is hyped, I doubt theres going to be many threats for Florida. Maybe a weak hurricane thats it.


I would love to know where you get your info?Thats a bold statement considering its only Feb & no one really knows who will get hit this season?

Was last season hyped?Did you know this time last year that Fla was going to get hit by 4 hurricanes & 1 TS.Doubt that you did?

Amazed @ the things people say. :roll:
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#28 Postby cajungal » Sat Feb 12, 2005 9:23 pm

Huckster wrote:
cajungal wrote:I guess we are all overdue. Except for my favorite state Florida. I love you Florida! You are home to some of the most beautiful beaches in the world and I can never get enough of you. Louisiana especially the Houma-Grand Isle is way overdue for a major hurricane. We came pretty close with Andrew with the eye only passing 25 miles to my west. We experience 100 mph winds with higher gusts. And that is the only time in my life I ever experienced hurricane force winds and I am 28 years old. And even that was going on 13 years ago. We were in the eyewall for Betsy and that was way back in 1965. 11 years before I was born. We had some close calls, but we always seem to escape the threat. I have a feeling we will be just as lucky this year as all the years before us. Almost every year, my town goes under a hurricane warning, and we always end up dodging the bullet. Example: Ivan. I knew in my heart that Ivan was not going to hit us. I picked out Gulf Shores, Alabama almost as soon as it got close to the gulf. Let's just sit back as see what happens this year. There is nothing you can do about nature.


Terrebonne Parish has been hit by some of the worst storms to hit LA. It's been hit directly by major hurricanes in 1856, 1879, 1909, 1926, 1964 (Hilda), 1965 (Betsy), 1974 (Carmen), and 1992 (Andrew). Other significant storms were 1860 (105 mph), 1867 (105 mph), 1888 (110 mph), 1893 (105 mph), 1920 (105 mph). Even though they probably don't count as direct hits, I'm sure 1860 (2 additional storms), 1893, 1915, 1934, and 1957 (Audrey) storms were pretty bad too, at the very least, along the coast. The storms seem to cluster around Grand Isle and Morgan City, and that puts you right in the middle. Anyone on the board go through Carmen?
Yeah, but that was all way before my lifetime except Andrew. And even for Andrew things were not as bad as they could of been. Terrebonne Parish has been very lucky over the years. Just imagine if another Andrew hit Houma this year? With all the coastal erosion that has happened over the years, it would be a major disaster.
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#29 Postby cajungal » Sat Feb 12, 2005 9:28 pm

No, I did not go through Carmen because I was not born yet. It happened in 1974. Morgan City I think. I never hear anybody talk about it. The only storms people ever bring up is Betsy, Audrey, Andrew, Camille, and some of the really old people sometimes talk about the hurricane of 1926. The hurricane of 1926 was a direct hit here. My neighbor is 93 and was 14 at the time of the storm. She remembers it like yesterday. It is funny that nobody ever talks about Carmen. If she hit Morgan City, we would of got powerful winds here. Morgan City is only 25 miles due west of my house.
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#30 Postby HurricaneBill » Sat Feb 12, 2005 10:58 pm

I think Carmen was quickly weakening prior to landfall. Probably made landfall in a sparsely populated area.

I do remember reading that Carmen practically wiped out the shrimp industry that year. The hurricane Forrest Gump goes through is Hurricane Carmen. Although many often think it is Camille.

I think the situation with Carmen was similar to Hurricane Lili. She was a powerful Categry 4 and rapidly weakened before landfall. However, Carmen was still a marginal Category 3 at landfall.
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#31 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Feb 13, 2005 1:53 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:Up here in Virginia on September 18, 2003 Isabel brought us to our knees, yet it was barely a Cat 1 as she moved thru the state. Despite this, folks here think she was "the big one". I believe the Mid Atlantic is LONG overdue to a major hurricane. A strong Bermuda High along with a trough between the coast and the Appalachians would provide the perfect setting for such a scenario. Fortunately when that happens there is usually one key ingredient missing: the storm itself. With the trend toward in increase in major hurricanes, its only a matter of time :eek:


I agree... Of course being part of HIRT and living here in the Norfolk area myself, Isabel certainly did a number on the region, but it was not the "Big One" by any means. Of course I was in Atlantic Beach covering the storm where we thought she would lumber ashore.

However I have to say that the "East Coast" and this is the region north of Florida is over due. Fran was the last real threat as Floyd was weakening and being effected by the front. The carolinas could be under the gun again this year and that could have a major impact here in Va.

I see no hype to the season just yet.. All you have to do is look at the sea surface temps in the atlantic to see that they are above average once again for this time of year. And if the forecast is correct for the ridge, well, it cold be another long, long season.

Get ready now!!
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