Will SC/NC see any snow before Winter's end?

DLI2k5 · #1 Postby **DLI2k5** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 11:42 am

There has been talk on other wx boards about the possibility of an overrunning event occuting Feb.19-20, and then a bigger winter wx event on Feb. 23-25. To me it appears the temps. are trending warmer than colder and it's gonna be in the low 70's here in Columbia the next couple of days. I would like to know how both events would possibly setup and what needs to happen for all of the Carolinas to get some winter wx fun before the season is all said and done. I know that the SE does get winter events in late Feb. and March, but right now it seems like a pipe dream to me.

JETSTREAM BOB · #2 Postby **JETSTREAM BOB** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 12:15 pm

No,the groundhog needs glasses,winter is over in the S.E.--- This is the first time in 20 Years that Charlotte,N.C. has not seen at least an inch of snow...Joe Bastardi keeps saying it's coming,it's coming,and winter is almost over....Aint going to happen this year....next couple of days will be in the 70's In central N.C.----------------JSB :cry:

Stormsfury · #3 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 12:53 pm

JETSTREAM BOB wrote:No,the groundhog needs glasses,winter is over in the S.E.--- This is the first time in 20 Years that Charlotte,N.C. has not seen at least an inch of snow...Joe Bastardi keeps saying it's coming,it's coming,and winter is almost over....Aint going to happen this year....next couple of days will be in the 70's In central N.C.----------------JSB

I would put a hold on that statement for NC at least for the time being ... right now, the model guidance are not keying in on important features for that timeframe properly ... the GFS, as usual missing AG (CAD situations) and it's overeagerness to warm things up, the EC has a slight bias on the warm side at 850mb (usually 1º-2ºC) at Day 6/7.

There has been talk on other wx boards about the possibility of an overrunning event occuting Feb.19-20, and then a bigger winter wx event on Feb. 23-25. To me it appears the temps. are trending warmer than colder and it's gonna be in the low 70's here in Columbia the next couple of days. I would like to know how both events would possibly setup and what needs to happen for all of the Carolinas to get some winter wx fun before the season is all said and done. I know that the SE does get winter events in late Feb. and March, but right now it seems like a pipe dream to me.

Mon frier ... there have been numerous winter weather events in the SE even in late March in the past 20 years. In 1989, in late February and again in early March, down here in my area, I saw three winter weather events. A 4" snow event in late FEB, a ZR/IP event (<=.25" in early March), and SN-/Flurries the next day.

SF

Suncat · #4 Postby **Suncat** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 12:57 pm

Yeah, it's raining and close to 50 degrees outside. I'm ready to put in some new azaleas but I have this nagging feeling that if I do, the artic blast will return!

Maybe I'll wait until March to do any new planting...even if it feels warm enough right now! :lol:

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 2:48 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
JETSTREAM BOB wrote:No,the groundhog needs glasses,winter is over in the S.E.--- This is the first time in 20 Years that Charlotte,N.C. has not seen at least an inch of snow...Joe Bastardi keeps saying it's coming,it's coming,and winter is almost over....Aint going to happen this year....next couple of days will be in the 70's In central N.C.----------------JSB

I would put a hold on that statement for NC at least for the time being ... right now, the model guidance are not keying in on important features for that timeframe properly ... the GFS, as usual missing AG (CAD situations) and it's overeagerness to warm things up, the EC has a slight bias on the warm side at 850mb (usually 1º-2ºC) at Day 6/7.

There has been talk on other wx boards about the possibility of an overrunning event occuting Feb.19-20, and then a bigger winter wx event on Feb. 23-25. To me it appears the temps. are trending warmer than colder and it's gonna be in the low 70's here in Columbia the next couple of days. I would like to know how both events would possibly setup and what needs to happen for all of the Carolinas to get some winter wx fun before the season is all said and done. I know that the SE does get winter events in late Feb. and March, but right now it seems like a pipe dream to me.

Mon frier ... there have been numerous winter weather events in the SE even in late March in the past 20 years. In 1989, in late February and again in early March, down here in my area, I saw three winter weather events. A 4" snow event in late FEB, a ZR/IP event (<=.25" in early March), and SN-/Flurries the next day.

SF

AND 4" snow all the way to the immediate coast on March 2, 1980 !!!! :wink:

#6 Postby **Stephanie** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 3:16 pm

Remember the Superstorm of 1993 - March 12 - 13!

krysof · #7 Postby **krysof** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 3:18 pm

I bet there will be another superstorm in at least 50 or 60 years.

#8 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 3:40 pm

[quote="krysof"]I bet there will be another superstorm in at least 50 or 60 years.[/quote

Oh, brother.

krysof · #9 Postby **krysof** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 4:05 pm

what?

krysof · #10 Postby **krysof** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 4:06 pm

i'm sorry about all those posts, the computer malfuntioned.

QCWx · #11 Postby **QCWx** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 5:11 pm

The 12Z CMC is a classic look for a north carolina winter storm. Even the EC and Ukie dont look bad at this point.

DLI2k5 · #12 Postby **DLI2k5** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 6:11 pm

I'm glad to hear it looks good for a winter storm in NC as per the most recent model run, but NC has had some accumulating snow this winter. Though it hasn't been much, some is better than none. My main focus is on SC and cities like Aiken, Cola., Charleston and Myrtle Beach. Only thing most have gotten so far is some ice, no snow at all. How do you think this will impact most of SC? Will this be our last shot at winter weather or no shot at all? With temps. being in the 70's next few days, things aren't looking great. We need one heck of a arctic cold outbreak and lots of GOM moisture.

Website · #13 Postby **Brent** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 6:47 pm

krysof wrote:I bet there will be another superstorm in at least 50 or 60 years.

Will you please go away?

JenyEliza · #14 Postby **JenyEliza** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 6:48 pm

Brent wrote:
krysof wrote:I bet there will be another superstorm in at least 50 or 60 years.

Will you please go away?

Brent is "God's" right hand man!

krysof · #15 Postby **krysof** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:11 pm

no I won't leave

yoda · #16 Postby **yoda** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:14 pm

krysof wrote:no I won't leave

Then please add some analysis to your thoughts. Winter is not over.

krysof · #17 Postby **krysof** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:15 pm

could u tell me the website with models, than I'll stop nagging.

yoda · #18 Postby **yoda** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:17 pm

krysof wrote:could u tell me the website with models, than I'll stop nagging.

http://www.ecmwf.int is one... I'll get you some more in a few.

Stormsfury · #19 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:19 pm

krysof wrote:could u tell me the website with models, than I'll stop nagging.

Try starting here ... basically a one stop shop
http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/Models/Models.html

yoda · #20 Postby **yoda** » Mon Feb 14, 2005 7:22 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
krysof wrote:could u tell me the website with models, than I'll stop nagging.

Try starting here ... basically a one stop shop
http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/Models/Models.html

That is an excellent one Stormsfury. Thanks.

Will SC/NC see any snow before Winter's end?

Will SC/NC see any snow before Winter's end?

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