Winter storm possible this weekend?

[Jrodd312]

Almost all of the local mets (3 out of 4) around my area (philly) are saying that there is a good chance of significant snow from sunday night to monday.

[donsutherland1]

Jrodd312,

I'm not surprised that some of Philly's mets are pointing out the possibility for significant snow. Philly is very much in the game for snow/ice. The models might still be a little slow in firming up the details but things still look good.

[Jrodd312]

Jrodd312,

I'm not surprised that some of Philly's mets are pointing out the possibility for significant snow. Philly is very much in the game for snow/ice. The models might still be a little slow in firming up the details but things still look good.

Yes things are looking good.

[donsutherland1]

Jrodd312,

One thing to look for is the position of the high pressure. If it is over Vermont or north and west of there, look for mainly snow or ice. If it is over New Hampshire or north and least, look for a probable changeover. With the growing blocking, I don't expect the high to race eastward but the initial position will still be important. All in all, I do believe Philly will see accumulating snow. And, more importantly, I doubt that this will be the last accumulating snow of the season.

Debate over the idea of a pattern change is now effectively finished. It's coming. Now, it remains to see what the details will be: how much snow and how cold.

[CaptinCrunch]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 PM EST TUE FEB 15 2005

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
THE CLIPPER PASSING BY TO OUR NORTH FRI NIGHT OR SAT CONTS TO LOOK
UNIMPRESSIVE AND WE HAVE NOT CHANGED OUR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
REGARDING IT. THE SYSTEM THAT EVERYONE IS WATCHING FOR AROUND
PRESIDENTS' DAY IS STILL NOT RESOLVED WELL BY THE MODELS, WITH
FORECASTERS (INCLUDING MYSELF) PICKING AND CHOOSING AMONG A VARIEY
OF SOLUTIONS. WE DID BACK UP THE TIMING OF IT A BIT AS MOST MODELS
AGREE ON THAT, OTHERWISE NO BASIC CHANGES TO THE TENOR OF THE PREV
FCST.

[Jrodd312]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 PM EST TUE FEB 15 2005

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
THE CLIPPER PASSING BY TO OUR NORTH FRI NIGHT OR SAT CONTS TO LOOK
UNIMPRESSIVE AND WE HAVE NOT CHANGED OUR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
REGARDING IT. THE SYSTEM THAT EVERYONE IS WATCHING FOR AROUND
PRESIDENTS' DAY IS STILL NOT RESOLVED WELL BY THE MODELS, WITH
FORECASTERS (INCLUDING MYSELF) PICKING AND CHOOSING AMONG A VARIEY
OF SOLUTIONS. WE DID BACK UP THE TIMING OF IT A BIT AS MOST MODELS
AGREE ON THAT, OTHERWISE NO BASIC CHANGES TO THE TENOR OF THE PREV
FCST.

Thanks CC.

[therock1811]

Right now, President's Day is looking to be mainly rain with temps in the middle 40's. But, it could start as snow Sunday morning even here in Northern Kentucky.

[Jrodd312]

Right now, President's Day is looking to be mainly rain with temps in the middle 40's. But, it could start as snow Sunday morning even here in Northern Kentucky.

Yea thats for you in Kentucky, not for everyone in the east.

[NWIASpotter]

I'm looking at a good chance of seeing snow this weekend as well... Although areas of IA may also be on the line of seeing a mix of precip instead of all snow.

[Lowpressure]

Here in D.C. new forecast has changed entire Sunday thru Tuesday event to all rain, for now anyway.

[jimvb]

Here is what I get for DC (from Weather Underground - and "snow" also appears in the Richmond forecast):

Friday
Partly cloudy. Highs around 40. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds around 10 mph.
Saturday
Partly cloudy. Highs around 40.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Sunday
Partly cloudy in the morning...then becoming mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 40s.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and snow. Lows in the mid 30s.
Presidents Day
Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow in the morning...then a chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.

This forecast is as of 3:25 pm. The forecast still contains the word "snow".

[ChiTownMC]

Im pretty sure weather underground gets their data from the NWS

[Lowpressure]

I was going off the LWX, which is official. However as the story changes, they have put some snow back in the Fredericksburg area and some points south. It is like watching a bouncing ball. Snow-rain-snow-rain, where will the ball stop.

[jimvb]

Bouncy-bouncy. Now the NWS (where Wunderground gets its forecasts from) came out with a new forecast at the unusual time of 6:40 PM, and it now calls for this event to be all rain. It's like watching the ball bounce on a floor with squares marked "rain" and "snow" on it, wondering where it is going to land.