Will Cat. 5 Hit The US This Year?
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cycloneye
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Yes there will be landfalls of hurricanes someplace in the US coastline anywhere from Brownsville to Maine.But IMO those wont be cat 5 canes.
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ColdFront77
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SouthernWx
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cycloneye
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SouthernWx wrote:Landfalling category 5 hurricanes are extremely rare events; in fact, a cat-5 is rare anywhere in the Atlantic basin. A cat-3 or 4 landfalling U.S. hurricane in 2005 won't surprise me....a cat-5 would shock me.
PW
Perry even in the most active basin (WPAC) Cat 5's are rare with a handfull of Supertyphoons.
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Stormsfury
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HurricaneBill
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Most recent Category 5 landfall:
Cyclone Olaf passed directly over some of the islands that make up American Samoa.
If you mean a large landmass, then Cyclone Gafilo in 2004. Gafilo slammed into Madagascar as a Category 5.
In the Atlantic, the eye of Hurricane Ivan touched the western tip of Cuba while he was a Category 5, but not enough to qualify as a landfall.
As far as Atlantic Category 5 landfalls:
1928 Lake Okeechobee hurricane (hit Puerto Rico as a Category 5)
1935 Labor Day Hurricane (Florida Keys)
1947 Hurricane (hit Bahamas as a Category 5; borderline 4/5 in Florida)
1955 Hurricane Janet (Yucatan Peninsula)
1961 Hurricane Hattie (Belize)
1969 Hurricane Camille (Mississippi)
1979 Hurricane David (Hispaniola)
1988 Hurricane Gilbert (Yucatan Peninsula)
1992 Hurricane Andrew (Bahamas and Florida)
Cyclone Olaf passed directly over some of the islands that make up American Samoa.
If you mean a large landmass, then Cyclone Gafilo in 2004. Gafilo slammed into Madagascar as a Category 5.
In the Atlantic, the eye of Hurricane Ivan touched the western tip of Cuba while he was a Category 5, but not enough to qualify as a landfall.
As far as Atlantic Category 5 landfalls:
1928 Lake Okeechobee hurricane (hit Puerto Rico as a Category 5)
1935 Labor Day Hurricane (Florida Keys)
1947 Hurricane (hit Bahamas as a Category 5; borderline 4/5 in Florida)
1955 Hurricane Janet (Yucatan Peninsula)
1961 Hurricane Hattie (Belize)
1969 Hurricane Camille (Mississippi)
1979 Hurricane David (Hispaniola)
1988 Hurricane Gilbert (Yucatan Peninsula)
1992 Hurricane Andrew (Bahamas and Florida)
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HurricaneBill
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TexasStooge
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Opal storm
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Rainband
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Stormsfury
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Rainband wrote:Read Mwatkins post. Being overdue doesn't increase the chances of a storm.TexasStooge wrote:We're WAY overdue for a Cat. 5!
Odds are practically the same every single year.
But why did Florida get hit so often this year (and seemingly the catchup from the relatively quiet years past?)
Read Derek's and my post on this thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 335#822335
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ohiostorm
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HurricaneBill wrote:Most recent Category 5 landfall:
Cyclone Olaf passed directly over some of the islands that make up American Samoa.
If you mean a large landmass, then Cyclone Gafilo in 2004. Gafilo slammed into Madagascar as a Category 5.
In the Atlantic, the eye of Hurricane Ivan touched the western tip of Cuba while he was a Category 5, but not enough to qualify as a landfall.
As far as Atlantic Category 5 landfalls:
1928 Lake Okeechobee hurricane (hit Puerto Rico as a Category 5)
1935 Labor Day Hurricane (Florida Keys)
1947 Hurricane (hit Bahamas as a Category 5; borderline 4/5 in Florida)
1955 Hurricane Janet (Yucatan Peninsula)
1961 Hurricane Hattie (Belize)
1969 Hurricane Camille (Mississippi)
1979 Hurricane David (Hispaniola)
1988 Hurricane Gilbert (Yucatan Peninsula)
1992 Hurricane Andrew (Bahamas and Florida)
What about Mitch?
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HurricaneBill
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Mitch never made landfall as a Category 5. Believe it or not, Mitch was a Category 1 at landfall on Honduras. However, Mitch had been close enough offshore to bring Category 3 conditions to the Honduras coast.
Also, in regards to typhoons, the last typhoon to make a Category 5 landfall was Super Typhoon Bilis in 2000. Bilis was a Category 5 at landfall on Taiwan.
Incredibly, despite a record 10 super typhoons reaching Category 5 status in 1997, none of them made landfall as a Category 5.
Ironically, the deadliest typhoon of 1997 was only a weak Category 1 typhoon, Typhoon Linda.
The only EPAC system known to make a Category 5 landfall was a hurricane in 1959 which hit Mexico as a Category 5. The second strongest storm is the rarely talked about Hurricane Madeline in 1976. The third strongest was Hurricane Kenna in 2002.
Other destructive Category 4 hurricanes to hit Mexico were Hurricane Liza (1976) and Hurricane Pauline (1997).
Notice how all these intense storms seem to hit Mexico during El Nino years.
Also, in regards to typhoons, the last typhoon to make a Category 5 landfall was Super Typhoon Bilis in 2000. Bilis was a Category 5 at landfall on Taiwan.
Incredibly, despite a record 10 super typhoons reaching Category 5 status in 1997, none of them made landfall as a Category 5.
Ironically, the deadliest typhoon of 1997 was only a weak Category 1 typhoon, Typhoon Linda.
The only EPAC system known to make a Category 5 landfall was a hurricane in 1959 which hit Mexico as a Category 5. The second strongest storm is the rarely talked about Hurricane Madeline in 1976. The third strongest was Hurricane Kenna in 2002.
Other destructive Category 4 hurricanes to hit Mexico were Hurricane Liza (1976) and Hurricane Pauline (1997).
Notice how all these intense storms seem to hit Mexico during El Nino years.
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